πŸ—³οΈ Manchester Central Elections Betting Guide

Your ultimate guide on Manchester Central Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was a safe seat in 2019 but may have changed now.
πŸ—³οΈ Manchester Central Elections Betting Guide

By David Woolfall - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4263/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4263/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikime

Nigel Skinner
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Manchester Central's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Manchester Central Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Manchester Central Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

πŸ“ŠπŸŽ² Ready to place a bet on the Manchester Central Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!
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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Manchester Central, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Manchester Central for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Manchester Central residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Manchester Central turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Manchester Central, established in 1974, is a Greater Manchester parliamentary constituency. Represented by Labour and Co-operative Party's Lucy Powell since a 2012 by-election, it encompasses the city center, major attractions, universities, and areas like Hulme and Ancoats.

By David Woolfall - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4263/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4263/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86680071

The constituency has seen regeneration, features expensive city center flats but also deprived areas, and has a diverse population including the highest proportion of Chinese residents in the UK. Historically a Labour stronghold, it has had the lowest election turnout since WWII at 18% in 2012. The seat has witnessed significant swings towards parties like the Green Party and fluctuating results for the Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties over the years.

Manchester Central: A Beacon of Diversity and Labour Strength πŸŒΉπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§

A diverse & dynamic constituency since 1974! πŸ™οΈπŸŽ“ Home to city attractions, universities & a rich multicultural community, consistently choosing Labour's Lucy Powell since 2012. 🌹 Turnouts vary

General Election Betting

The Manchester Central seat was created in 1974 from the previous Manchester Exchange and Manchester Cheetham seats.

Wereon, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Manchester Central's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • Labour and the Co-operative Party held on to the seat after Lucy Powell earned 70.4% of the vote
  • In doing so, it meant that Manchester Central was Labour's seventeenth-safest seat in the 2019 General Election
  • Powell would pick up a majority of 29,089 with the Conservatives trailing way behind in second with just 7,734 votes by comparison.
  • Labour's vote share was down 7.0% on the previous election, while the Conservatives saw an decrease of 0.6% .
  • The Liberal Democrats would finish third, with John Bridges earning 3.2% of the total vote.
  • The turnout for the seat was 56.7% - up 1.6% on 2017
Candidate DataPartyGenderNumber of votesShare (%)Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Lucy PowellLabour and Co-operativeFemale36,82370.40%-7
Shaden JaradatConservativeMale7,73414.80%0.6
John BridgesLiberal DemocratMale3,4206.50%3.2
Sarah ChadwickBrexit PartyFemale2,3354.50%0
Melanie HorrocksGreenFemale1,8703.60%1.9
Dennis LeechSocialist Equality PartyMale1070.20%0

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 29,089 from the 52,289 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 55.6%, making Manchester Central the 28th-safest seat in the 2019 election.

Manchester Central Majority Data
Votes29,089
Percent55.60%
Rank (1 = highest %)28

Voter turnout for the Manchester Central seat was at 56.7%. This figure was down 8.9% on the region as a whole and up 1.6% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 10.6% when compared to the average turnout for 2019

Manchester Central Turnout Data
Constituency56.70%
Region65.60%
UK67.30%
Constituency in 201755.10%
Size of electorate92,247
Valid votes cast52,289

Manchester Central By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Ancoats & Beswick
  • Ardwick
  • Charlestown
  • Clayton & Openshaw
  • Deansgate
  • Fallowfield
  • Hulme
  • Miles Platting & Newton Heath
  • Moss Side
  • Moston
  • Piccadilly
  • Whalley Range

How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog Content Manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data Scientist and Football Editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-In-Chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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