🗳️ Birmingham, Hodge Hill Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 27 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on Birmingham, Hodge Hill Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was a safe seat in 2019 but may have changed now.

🗳️ Birmingham, Hodge Hill Elections Betting Guide

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Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Birmingham, Hodge Hill's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Birmingham, Hodge Hill Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Birmingham, Hodge Hill Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Birmingham, Hodge Hill Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Birmingham, Hodge Hill may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Birmingham, Hodge Hill, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Birmingham, Hodge Hill for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Birmingham, Hodge Hill residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Birmingham, Hodge Hill turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Hodge Hill and Solihull North, represented by Labour's Liam Byrne since 2004, will undergo significant boundary adjustments after the 2023 review, incorporating parts of Solihull and changing its name to Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North for the upcoming general election.

By Chris McAndrew - https://api20170418155059.azure-api.net/photo/0oHwMeHW.jpeg?crop=MCU_3:2&quality=80&download=trueGallery: https://beta.parliament.uk/media/0oHwMeHW, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=61322370

Covering diverse Birmingham areas, it's marked by socioeconomic contrasts, with high deprivation levels in central areas. Byrne succeeded Terry Davis, who had represented the area since 1983, following the seat's creation from much of the abolished Birmingham Stechford. The 2004 by-election, prompted by Davis's departure for a Council of Europe role, was narrowly won by Labour, making it one of the party's safest seats by 2015.

🚀 Big changes for Hodge Hill & Solihull North!

Liam Byrne to represent the new Birmingham Hodge Hill & Solihull North after 2023 review. 🌍 Diverse, facing challenges, but standing strong in unity. Labour's stronghold since 2004! 🌹

General Election Betting

The Birmingham, Hodge Hill seat was created in 1983 from the previous Birmingham Hodge Hill seats. As of 2011, the population is 121,678.

Wereon, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Birmingham, Hodge Hill's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • Labour held on to the seat after Liam Byrne earned 78.7% of the vote
  • In doing so, it meant that Birmingham, Hodge Hill was Labour's tenth-safest seat in the 2019 General Election
  • Byrne would pick up a majority of 28,665 with the Conservatives trailing way behind in second with just 6,742 votes by comparison.
  • Labour's 78.7% vote share was down 2.4% on the previous election, with the Conservatives also seeing their own vote share increase by 0.8%
  • The Brexit Party would finish third, with Jill Dagnan earning 3.4% of the total vote.
  • The turnout for the seat was 57.5% - down 3.8% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Liam Byrne Labour Male 35,397 78.70% -2.4
Akaal Sidhu Conservative Male 6,742 15.00% 0.8
Jill Dagnan Brexit Party Female 1,519 3.40% 0
Waheed Rafiq Liberal Democrat Male 760 1.70% 0
Jane McKears Green Female 328 0.70% -0.1
Hilda Johani Christian Peoples Alliance Party Female 257 0.60% 0

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 28,665 from the 45,003 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 63.7%, making Birmingham, Hodge Hill the tenth-safest seat in the 2019 election.

Birmingham, Hodge Hill Majority Data
Votes 28,655
Percent 63.70%
Rank (1 = highest %) 10

Voter turnout for the Birmingham, Hodge Hill seat was at 57.5%. This figure was down 7.2% on the region as a whole and down 3.8% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 9.8% when compared to the average turnout for 2019

Birmingham, Hodge Hill Turnout Data
Constituency 57.50%
Region 64.70%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 61.30%
Size of electorate 78,295
Valid votes cast 45,003

Birmingham, Hodge Hill By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Alum Rock
  • Bordesley & Highgate
  • Bordesley Green
  • Bromford & Hodge Hill
  • Glebe Farm & Tile Cross
  • Heartlands
  • Shard End
  • Small Heath
  • Ward End

How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.

Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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