🗳️ Bury North Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 21 Politics & Current Affairs

Your complete guide on Bury North Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets.

🗳️ Bury North Elections Betting Guide
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Bury North's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Bury North Constituency betting and general election betting.

Bet Smart on Bury North Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Bury North Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Bury North may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Bury North for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Bury North residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Bury North Constituency Information

Bury North, a borough constituency in Greater Manchester, was established in 1983 and is represented in the UK Parliament's House of Commons. As of the 2019 general election, it has a Conservative majority of just 105 votes, making it the most marginal constituency for a sitting MP across the United Kingdom.

James Daly, Conservative MP for Bury North
By David Woolfall - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4854/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4854/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86631540

Throughout its history, Bury North has been a battleground between Labour and the Conservatives, often serving as a bellwether constituency. The party winning Bury North has frequently gone on to win the general election. However, 2017 saw an exceptional Labour gain, only for the Conservatives to reclaim the seat in 2019. The constituency, and the town of Bury itself, did not elect a Labour MP until 1964, since which Bury North has been recognised as a key marginal seat.

The 2010 election saw the Conservatives' only gain in Greater Manchester at Bury North. The 2015 election further highlighted its marginal nature, producing the fifth-most marginal Conservative majority of their 331 seats by percentage. The 2019 general election underscored its status as the most marginal constituency in Great Britain, with a mere 105-vote majority. Sinn Fein's narrower majority of 57 votes in Fermanagh and South Tyrone is the only smaller majority in the UK; however, as Sinn Fein MPs do not take their seats, the majority held by the sitting MP in Bury North is effectively the smallest.

General Election Betting

The Bury North Seat was created from Rossendale and Bury & Radcliffe in 1983 and has a population of 87,218 according to the 2011 census.

By Wereon - Own work, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=4311869

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Bury North's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • Bury North saw the seat change hands from Labour to Conservative with a majority of just 105 votes.
  • James Daly's majority was the second smallest of the 2019 General Election and equated to 0.2% of the total vote
  • With 46.2% of the vote, it also meant the Conversative's share was up 1.8% on the previous election in 2017.
  • As for the outgoing Labour party, their vote share was 46% - although this was down 7.6%
  • Gareth Lloyd-Johnson and the Liberal Democrats finished third with just 1.5% of the overall vote.
  • The turnout for the seat was 68.1% - down 2.8% on 2017.
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 for party (percentage points)
James Daly Conservative Male 21,660 46.20% 1.8
James Frith Labour Male 21,555 46.00% -7.6
Gareth Lloyd-Johnson Liberal Democrat Male 1,584 3.40% 1.5
Alan McCarthy Brexit Party Male 1,240 2.60% 0
Charlie Allen Green Female 802 1.70% 0
Share

Statistics & Turnout Information


With a votes majority of 105 from the 46,841 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 0.2%, making Bury North the second closest run constituency in the 2019 election.

Bury Majority Data
Votes 105
Percent 0.20%
Rank (1 = highest %) 649
Share

Voter turnout for the Bury North seat was at 68.1%. This figure was up 2.5% on the region as a whole but down 2.8% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was up 0.8% on the average turnout for 2019.

Bury Turnout Data
Constituency 68.10%
Region 65.60%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 70.90%
Size of electorate 68,802
Valid votes cast 46,841
Share

Bury North By-Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Bury East
  • Bury West
  • Elton
  • Moorside
  • North Manor
  • Ramsbottom
  • Redvales
  • Tottington
  • Unsworth

How to bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG have assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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