🗳️ Cities of London and Westminster Elections Betting Guide

Your ultimate guide on Cities of London and Westminster Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was one of the closest three-way marginals in 2019 but may have changed now.
🗳️ Cities of London and Westminster Elections Betting Guide
Nigel Skinner
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Cities of London and Westminster's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Cities of London and Westminster Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Cities of London and Westminster Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Cities of London and Westminster Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!
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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Cities of London and Westminster may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Cities of London and Westminster, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Cities of London and Westminster for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Cities of London and Westminster residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Cities of London and Westminster turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

The Cities of London and Westminster is a constituency that returns a single Member of Parliament (MP) to the House of Commons in the UK Parliament. It functions as a borough constituency for the purpose of election expenses and the type of the returning officer. The election is always decided by the first past the post system. From 1950 until now, candidates from the Conservative Party have always been elected.

By David Woolfall - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4741/Portrait?cropType=ThreeFourGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4741/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86618222Before 1950, the City of London was a separate two-member constituency. However, after the Representation of the People Bill in 1948, the City of London ceased to be a separate constituency and merged with the City of Westminster. This bill also removed the right of business owners to have a second vote. These changes were implemented in the 1950 election. Between 1974 and 1997, the constituency was known as the City of London and Westminster South.


General Election Betting

The Cities of London and Westminster seat was created in 1950. The seat was created from the previous City of London (1298-1950), Westminster Abbey and Westminster St George's seats.

By Sam Blacketer - Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=7687166

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Cities of London and Westminster 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • The Conservatives held the seat after Nickie Aiken earned 39.9% of the vote
  • Aiken would pick up 17,049 votes and by comparison the Liberal Democrats Chuka Umunna would collect 13,096.
  • This meant a majority of 3,953 votes and a difference of 9.3% in percentage terms.
  • Even though the Conservatives would hold onto their seat, their vote share would decrease by 6.7%
  • The seat was keenly contested by three parties and Labour would finish third, with Gordon Nardell earning 11,624 votes
  • The turnout for the seat was 67.1% - up 4.3% on 2017
Candidate DataPartyGenderNumber of votesShare (%)Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Nickie AikenConservativeFemale17,04939.90%-6.7
Chuka UmunnaLiberal DemocratMale13,09630.70%19.6
Gordon NardellLabourMale11,62427.20%-11.2
Zack PolanskiGreenMale7281.70%-0.4
Jill McLachlanChristian Peoples Alliance PartyFemale1250.30%0
Dirk van HeckLiberalMale1010.20%0

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 3,953 from the 42,723 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 9.3%, making Cities of London and Westminster the 526th safest seat in the 2019 General Election.

Cities Of London and Westminster Majority Data
Votes3,953
Percent9.30%
Rank (1 = highest %)526

Voter turnout for the Cities of London and Westminster seat was at 54.8%. This figure was down 0.4% on the region as a whole and up 4.3% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 0.2% when compared to the average turnout for 2017.

Cities Of London and Westminster Turnout Data
Constituency67.10%
Region67.50%
UK67.30%
Constituency in 201762.80%
Size of electorate63,700
Valid votes cast42,723

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Aldersgate
  • Aldgate
  • Bassishaw
  • Billingsgate
  • Bishopsgate
  • Bloomsbury
  • Bread Street
  • Bridge
  • Broad Street
  • Candlewick
  • Castle Baynard
  • Cheap
  • Coleman Street
  • Cordwainer
  • Cornhill
  • Cripplegate
  • Dowgate
  • Farringdon Within
  • Farringdon Without
  • Holborn & Covent Garden
  • Hyde Park
  • Knightsbridge & Belgravia
  • Lancaster Gate
  • Langbourn
  • Lime Street
  • Marylebone
  • Pimlico North
  • Pimlico South
  • Portsoken
  • Queenhithe
  • Regent's Park
  • St James's
  • Tower
  • Vincent Square
  • Vintry
  • Walbrook
  • West End

How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog Content Manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data Scientist and Football Editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-In-Chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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