🗳️ Manchester, Gorton Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 12 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on Manchester, Gorton Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was a safe seat in 2019 but may have changed now.

🗳️ Manchester, Gorton Elections Betting Guide

By Richard Townshend - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4671/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4671/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wik

Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Manchester, Gorton's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Manchester, Gorton Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Manchester, Gorton Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Manchester, Gorton Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Manchester, Gorton may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Manchester, Gorton, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Manchester, Gorton for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Manchester, Gorton residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Manchester, Gorton turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

The Manchester Gorton constituency, represented by Labour MP Afzal Khan since 2017, is set to be abolished before the next general election.

By Richard Townshend - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4671/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4671/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86665789

It's Greater Manchester's safest Labour seat and among the safest nationally. Covering diverse and liberal suburbs like Gorton, Fallowfield, Levenshulme, and more, it's characterized by its ethnic diversity, lower-than-average wealth, red brick houses, a significant student population, and landmarks like the Curry Mile and Gorton Monastery. 

Labour MP Afzal Khan, serving since 2017, led with major victories 🎉. The area boasts landmarks like Curry Mile & diverse communities 🌍.

Manchester Gorton has been a Labour stronghold since 1935, with Sir Gerald Kaufman serving from 1983 until his death in 2017, which led to Khan's election. Khan secured his position with overwhelming leads in 2017 and 2019, establishing Manchester Gorton as a key Labour constituency with conservative vote shares in the single digits.

General Election Betting

The Manchester, Gorton seat was created in 1918 from the previous Manchester, Rusholme and Gorton and Denton seats.

Wereon, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Manchester, Gorton's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • Labour held on to the seat after Afzal Khan earned 77.6% of the vote
  • In doing so, it meant that Manchester, Gorton was Labour's sixth-safest seat in the 2019 General Election
  • Afzal would pick up a majority of 30,339 with the Conservatives trailing way behind in second with just 4,244 votes by comparison.
  • Labour's 77.6% vote share was up 1.3% on the previous election, with the Conservatives also seeing their own vote share increase by 2.2%
  • The Liberal Democrats would finish third, with Jackie Pearcey earning 5.5% of the total vote.
  • The turnout for the seat was 58.3% - down 2.7% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Afzal Khan Labour Male 34,583 77.60% 1.3
Sebastian Lowe Conservative Male 4,244 9.50% 2.2
Jackie Pearcey Liberal Democrat Female 2,448 5.50% -0.2
Eliza Tyrrell Green Female 1,697 3.80% 1.6
Lesley Kaya Brexit Party Female 1,573 3.50% 0
Share

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 30,339 from the 44,545 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 68.1%, making Manchester, Gorton the sixth-safest seat in the 2019 election.

Manchester, Gorton Majority Data
Votes 30,339
Percent 68.10%
Rank (1 = highest %) 6
Share

Voter turnout for the Manchester, Gorton seat was at 58.3%. This figure was down 7.3% on the region as a whole and down 2.7% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 9.0% when compared to the average turnout for 2019

Manchester, Gorton Turnout Data
Constituency 58.30%
Region 65.60%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 61.00%
Size of electorate 76,419
Valid votes cast 44,545
Share

Manchester, Gorton By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Burnage
  • Chorlton
  • Chorlton Park
  • Fallowfield
  • Gorton & Abbey Hey
  • Levenshulme
  • Longsight
  • Moss Side
  • Rusholme
  • Whalley Range


How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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