🗳️ Bet on Fermanagh and South Tyrone Elections: Data, Insights & Tips

Updated: 15 Politics & Current Affairs

Your complete guide on Fermanagh and South Tyrone Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets.

🗳️ Bet on Fermanagh and South Tyrone Elections: Data, Insights & Tips

By Sinn Féin - https://www.flickr.com/photos/sinnfeinireland/49073472231/, CC BY 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86794650

Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Fermanagh and South Tyrone's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Fermanagh and South Tyrone Constituency betting and general election betting.

Bet Smart on Fermanagh and South Tyrone Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Fermanagh and South Tyrone Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Fermanagh and South Tyrone may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Fermanagh & South Tyrone for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Fermanagh & South Tyrone residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Fermanagh and South Tyrone Constituency Information

Fermanagh and South Tyrone is a constituency represented in the British House of Commons, with Michelle Gildernew of Sinn Féin currently serving as its MP.

Michelle Gildernew, Sinn Féin MP for Fermanagh and South Tyron
By Sinn Féin - https://www.flickr.com/photos/sinnfeinireland/49073472231/, CC BY 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86794650
From 1950 to 1983, its boundaries included the entirety of Fermanagh county, the Urban District of Dungannon, the Clogher and Dungannon Rural Districts, plus parts of the Omagh Rural District, specifically the district electoral divisions named Aghafad, Dervaghroy, Dromore, Drumharvey, Ecclesville, Fallaghearn, Fintona, Greenan, Killskerry, Lifford, Moorfield, Rahoney, Seskinore, Tattymoyle, and Trillick.

Between 1983 and 1997, the constituency was defined as the District of Fermanagh and the District of Dungannon. From 1997 onwards, it has been comprised of the District of Fermanagh and specific wards within the District of Dungannon: Augher, Aughnacloy, Ballygawley, Ballysaggart, Benburb, Caledon, Castlecaulfield, Clogher, Coolhill, Drumglass, Fivemiletown, Killyman, Killymeal, Moy, Moygashel, and Mullaghmore.

The constituency emerged in 1950, replacing the dual-member Fermanagh and Tyrone seat as part of a wider move towards single-member constituencies. It encompasses all of County Fermanagh and the southern part of County Tyrone, including initially all areas of Fermanagh, and Dungannon and South Tyrone post-1973. A boundary review in 1995 led to adjustments, transferring an area around Coalisland from Dungannon and South Tyrone (then known as Dungannon) to the Mid Ulster constituency.

General Election Betting

The Fermanagh and South Tyrone Seat was created from Fermanagh and Tyrone in 1950 and has a population of 69,413 according to the 2011 census.

By Wereon - Own work, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=1875305

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Fermanagh & South Tyrone's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • Michelle Gildernew won the Fermanagh and South Tyrone seat by just 57 seats - the smallest majority of the 2019 election. 
  • Representing Sinn Fein, Gildernew collected 43.3% of the overall vote.
  • Just 0.1% more than Tom Elliott and the Ulster Unionist party in second.
  • Both Gildernew and Elliott's parties would see a decrease in vote share from the 2017 General Election. The former seeing Sinn Fein's vote down by 3.9%, the latter seing the Ulster Unionist's down by 2.3%

  • Although the Social Democrats were a considerable distance behind in third, Adam Gannon did manage to earn a 2% increase on the parties vote share when compared to 2017.
  • The overall turnout was 69.7% - down 6.1% on the previous election.
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 for party (percentage points)
Michelle Gildernew Sinn Fein Female 21,986 43.30% -3.9
Tom Elliott Ulster Unionist Party Male 21,929 43.20% -2.3
Adam Gannon Social Democratic and Labour Party Male 3,446 6.80% 2
Matthew Beaumont Alliance Male 2,650 5.20% 3.6
Caroline Wheeler Independent Female 751 1.50% 0
Share

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 57 from the 50,762 cast, the majority in percentage terms was just 0.1%, the smallest gained anywhere throughout the 2019 election.

Fermanagh and South Tyrone Majority Data
Votes Majority 57
Percent Majority 0.10%
Rank (1 = highest %) 650
Share

Voter turnout was recorded at 69.7%. This was up 7.9% when compared to the region as a whole but down 6.1% when compared to the 2017 General Election. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 2.4% on the average turnout for 2019.

Fermanagh and South Tyrone Turnout Data
Constituency 69.70%
Region 61.80%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 75.80%
Size of electorate 72,848
Valid votes cast 50,762
Share

Fermanagh and South Tyrone By-Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Augher  
  • Aughnacloy  
  • Ballygawley  
  • Ballysaggart  
  • Benburb  
  • Caledon  
  • Castlecaulfield  
  • Clogher  
  • Coolhill  
  • Drumglass  
  • Fivemiletown  
  • Killyman  
  • Killymeal  
  • Moy  
  • Moygashel  
  • Mullaghmore 

How to Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Sources

OLBG have assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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