🗳️ Carshalton and Wallington Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 28 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide onYour ultimate guide on Carshalton and Wallington Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets. Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets.

🗳️ Carshalton and Wallington Elections Betting Guide

By David Woolfall - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4775/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4775/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikime

Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Carshalton and Wallington's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Carshalton and Wallington Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Carshalton and Wallington Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Carshalton and Wallington Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Carshalton and Wallington may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

3.9 / 5 74 Ratings

Best for Politics Betting

Smarkets beat 63 other betting sites in our research to finish #1 for political betting options

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Carshalton and Wallington, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Carshalton and Wallington for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Carshalton and Wallington residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Carshalton and Wallington turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Carshalton and Wallington, a UK parliamentary constituency since 1983, has been represented by Conservative Elliot Colburn since 2019.

Elliot Colburn
By David Woolfall - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4775/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4775/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86630296

Initially formed to replace Carshalton seat, it saw Liberal Democrat dominance from 1997 to 2010 with marginal victories. Post-2015, its results became highly competitive. The 2010-2015 Liberal Democrats' coalition, marked by unmet promises and austerity measures, led to significant national losses for the party, though Carshalton and Wallington remained an exception until 2015. By 2019, amidst a backdrop of Brexit and local Leave vote, it was one of the few Liberal Democrat seats gained by Conservatives. The constituency, part of London's stockbroker belt, is characterized by private housing and scenic parks.

Shifting Sands of Carshalton and Wallington: A Political Rollercoaster 🎢

From Liberal Democrat stronghold 💪 to Conservative gain in 2019 🔄. Elliot Colburn now represents this London seat, known for its scenic views🏡

General Election Betting

The Carshalton and Wallington seat was created from Carshalton in 1983. The population of the constituency currently stands at 95,322.

By Wereon - Own work, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=4372902

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Carshalton and Wallington's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • The Conservatives won the seat from the Liberal Democrats, as Elliott Colburn returned a majority of 629 seats.
  • Colburn's 20,822 votes managed to beat the Liberal Democrats' Thomas Brake into second with 20,193 votes by comparison
  • Both the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats saw an increase in vote share when compared to the 2017 General Election - up 4.1% and 0.1% respectively.
  • Labour had to make do with only finishing third and their vote share was down by 6.1% when compared to the previous election.
  • The majority of 629 equated to 1.3% of the total vote. This also meant it was the 18th smallest of the 2019 General Election
  • The turnout for the seat was 67.3% - down 4.3% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Elliot Colburn Conservative Male 20,822 42.40% 4.1
Thomas Brake Liberal Democrat Male 20,193 41.10% 0.1
Ahmad Wattoo Labour Male 6,081 12.40% -6.1
James Woudhuysen Brexit Party Male 1,043 2.10% 0
Tracey Hague Green Female 759 1.50% 0.6
Ashley Dickenson Christian Peoples Alliance Party Male 200 0.40% 0

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 629 from the 49,098 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 1.3%, making Carshalton and Wallington the 18th closest run constituency in the 2019 election.

Carshalton and Wallington Majority Data
Votes 629
Percent 1.30%
Rank (1 = highest %) 633

Voter turnout for the Carshalton and Wallington seat was at 67.3%. This figure was down 0.2% on the region as a whole and down 4.3% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was equal to the average turnout for 2019

Carshalton and Wallington Turnout Data
Constituency 67.30%
Region 67.50%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 71.60%
Size of electorate 72,941
Valid votes cast 49,098

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Beddington
  • Carshalton Central
  • Carshalton South & Clockhouse
  • Hackbridge
  • South Beddington & Roundshaw
  • St Helier East
  • St Helier West
  • Sutton Central
  • Sutton North
  • The Wrythe
  • Wallington North
  • Wallington South

How to bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG have assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.

Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

UK General Election Betting Odds

UK General Election Betting Odds

Next Prime Minister Odds | Betting History and Trends

Next Prime Minister Odds | Betting History and Trends

United Kingdom Local Elections Betting Guide (Odds, History, Contenders)

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