🗳️ South Antrim Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 26 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on South Antrim Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was one of the closest three-way marginals in 2019 but may have changed now.

🗳️ South Antrim Elections Betting Guide
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to South Antrim's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on South Antrim Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on South Antrim Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the South Antrim Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of South Antrim may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in South Antrim, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in South Antrim for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting South Antrim residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how South Antrim turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

South Antrim is a parliamentary constituency in the UK, currently represented in the House of Commons by Paul Girvan from the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP).

Chris McAndrew, CC BY 3.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

Traditionally a strong Unionist area, it was consistently held by the Conservative and Unionist party from 1886 to 1974. Following gas significant electoral shifts and competitive elections between the DUP and the Ulster Unionist Party since 2000, the seat changed hands several times. Danny Kinahan from the Ulster Unionist Party won the seat in 2015, but it was later reclaimed by the DUP's Paul Girvan in the 2017 general election.


General Election Betting

The South Antrim seat was re-created in 1950. The seat was created from the previous Antrim seat.

By Wereon - Own work, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=1875313

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from South Antrim 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • The DUP held the seat after Paul Girvan earned 35.3% of the vote
  • Girvan would pick up 15,149 votes and by comparison Danny Kinahan of the UUP would collect 12,460.
  • This meant a majority of 2,689 votes and a difference of 6.3% in percentage terms.
  • Even though the DUP would hold onto their seat, their vote share would decrease by 3.0%
  • The seat was keenly contested by three parties and the Alliance would finish third, with Natalie Fleet earning 8,190 votes 
  • The turnout for the seat was 59.9% - down 3.4% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Paul Girvan Democratic Unionist Party Male 15,149 35.30% -3
Danny Kinahan Ulster Unionist Party Male 12,460 29.00% -1.8
John Blair Alliance Male 8,190 19.10% 11.6
Declan Kearney Sinn Fein Male 4,887 11.40% -6.7
Roisin Lynch Social Democratic and Labour Party Female 2,288 5.30% -0.1
Share

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 2,689 from the 42,974 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 6.3%, making South Antrim the 571st safest seat in the 2019 General Election.

South Antrim Majority Data
Votes 2,689
Percent 6.30%
Rank (1 = highest %) 571
Share

Voter turnout for the South Antrim seat was at 59.9%. This figure was down 1.9% on the region as a whole and down 3.4% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 7.4% when compared to the average turnout for 2017.

South Antrim Turnout Data
Constituency 59.90%
Region 61.80%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 63.30%
Size of electorate 71,711
Valid votes cast 42,974
Share

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Aldergrove
  • Antrim Centre
  • Ballyclare East
  • Ballyclare West
  • Ballyduff
  • Ballyhenry
  • Ballynure
  • Ballyrobert
  • Burnthill
  • Carnmoney
  • Carnmoney Hill
  • Clady
  • Cranfield
  • Crumlin
  • Doagh
  • Fairview
  • Fountain Hill
  • Glenavy
  • Glengormley
  • Greystone
  • Hightown
  • Jordanstown
  • Mallusk
  • Mossley
  • Parkgate
  • Randalstown
  • Shilvodan
  • Springfarm
  • Steeple
  • Stiles
  • Stonyford
  • Templepatrick
  • Toome

How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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