🗳️ South Down Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 63 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on South Down Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was one of the closest three-way marginals in 2019 but may have changed now.

🗳️ South Down Elections Betting Guide
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to South Down's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on South Down Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on South Down Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the South Down Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of South Down may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

3.9 / 5 74 Ratings

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Smarkets beat 63 other betting sites in our research to finish #1 for political betting options

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in South Down, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in South Down for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting South Down residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how South Downturnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

South Down is a parliamentary constituency in the UK House of Commons, currently represented by Chris Hazzard of Sinn Féin. Covering the Mourne Mountains and Downpatrick, the constituency was first created in 1885 from the southern section of Down. After being merged back into Down in 1922, South Down was re-established in 1950, composed mainly of the mid and southern areas of County Down.


The constituency was scaled down in 1983 due to an expansion of Northern Ireland's constituencies. Following recommended boundary modifications and subsequent public consultations, the most recent changes resulted in the transfer of four wards around Ballynahinch to Strangford in 2008.


General Election Betting

The South Antrim seat was re-created in 1950. The seat was created from the previous Down seat.

By Wereon - Own work, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=1875314

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from South Down 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • Sinn Fein held the seat after Chris Hazzard earned 32.4% of the vote
  • Hazzard would pick up 16,137 votes and by comparison Michael Savage of the SDLP would collect 14,517.
  • This meant a majority of 1,620 votes and a difference of 3.3% in percentage terms.
  • Even though Sinn Fein would hold onto their seat, their vote share would decrease by 7.5%
  • The seat was keenly contested by three parties and the DUP would finish third, with Glynn Hanna earning 7,619 votes 
  • The turnout for the seat was 62.9% - down 4.3% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Chris Hazzard Sinn Fein Male 16,137 32.40% -7.5
Michael Savage Social Democratic and Labour Party Male 14,517 29.20% -6
Glyn Hanna Democratic Unionist Party Male 7,619 15.30% -2.1
Patrick Brown Alliance Male 6,916 13.90% 10.3
Jill Macauley Ulster Unionist Party Female 3,307 6.60% 2.7
Paul Brady Aontú Male 1,266 2.50% 0
Share

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 1,620 from the 49,762 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 3.3%, making South Down the 605th safest seat in the 2019 General Election.

South Down Majority Data
Votes 1,620
Percent 3.30%
Rank (1 = highest %) 605
Share

Voter turnout for the South Down seat was at 62.9%. This figure was up 1.1% on the region as a whole and down 4.3% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 4.4% when compared to the average turnout for 2017.

South Down Turnout Data
Constituency 62.90%
Region 61.80%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 67.20%
Size of electorate 79,175
Valid votes cast 49,762
Share

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Abbey
  • Annalong
  • Ballydugan
  • Ballyward
  • Banbridge East
  • Binnian
  • Burren
  • Castlewellan
  • Cathedral
  • Crossgar and Killyleagh
  • Damolly
  • Derryboy
  • Derryleckagh
  • Donard
  • Dromara
  • Drumaness
  • Dundrum
  • Gransha
  • Hilltown
  • Kilkeel
  • Knocknashinna
  • Lecale
  • Lisnacree
  • Loughbrickland
  • Mayobridge
  • Murlough
  • Quoile
  • Rathfriland
  • Rostrevor
  • St. Patrick's
  • Strangford
  • Tollymore
  • Warrenpoint

How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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