🗳️ Warwick and Leamington Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 10 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on Warwick and Leamington Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets.

🗳️ Warwick and Leamington Elections Betting Guide
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Warwick and Leamington's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Warwick and Leamington Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Warwick and Leamington Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Warwick and Leamington Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Warwick and Leamington may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

3.9 / 5 74 Ratings

Best for Politics Betting

Smarkets beat 63 other betting sites in our research to finish #1 for political betting options

Smarkets Review

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Warwick and Leamington, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Warwick and Leamington for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Warwick and Leamington residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Warwick and Leamington turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Matt Western of the Labour Party has represented Warwick and Leamington in the UK Parliament since 2017.

Matt Western

The constituency, formed in 1885, includes the affluent towns of Warwick and Royal Leamington Spa within the River Avon's upper valley. These towns offer a mix of historic and diverse cultural attractions, with Warwick known for its castle and Leamington for its industry. Unemployment in the area, as of November 2012, was significantly below the national average at 2.2%. Historically, the seat was a Conservative stronghold from 1910 to 1997, but has seen closer contests and a shift towards Labour in more recent elections. Notably, Anthony Eden, a former Prime Minister, represented the constituency from 1923 to 1957.

🔴 Labour's Legacy Continues in Warwick & Leamington 🏰💼

From historic Warwick Castle 🏰 to diverse Leamington, the constituency shines. Unemployment? Way below average at 2.2%! 📉 A mix of history and vibrant culture

General Election Betting

The Warwick and Leamington seat was created from Warwick in 1885. It has been in the possession of all three major parties since its inception.

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Warwick and Leamington's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

Labour held onto the seat after earning a majority 789 votes.
Matt Western's 23,718 votes would equate to 43.8% of the total vote. By comparison, the Conservatives and Jack Rankin would only collect 42.3%
Both Labour and the Conservative's vote share was down when compared to the 2017 General Election. The former seeing a 2.9% decrease and the latter 2.1%
The Liberal Democrats would finish third, as Louis Adam would earn a 4% increase in vote share.
The majority of 789 equated to 1.5% of the total vote. This also meant it was the 21st smallest of the 2019 General Election
The turnout for the seat was 71.0% - down 1.8% on 2017

Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Matt Western Labour Male 23,718 43.80% -2.9
Jack Rankin Conservative Male 22,929 42.30% -2.1
Louis Adam Liberal Democrat Male 4,995 9.20% 4
Jonathan Chilvers Green Male 1,536 2.80% 0.6
Tim Griffiths Brexit Party Male 807 1.50% 0
Bob Dhillon Independent Male 153 0.30% 0
Xander Bennett Social Democratic Party Male 67 0.10% 0

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 789 from the 54,205 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 1.5%, making Warwick and Leamington the 21st closest run constituency in the 2019 election.

Warwick and Leamington Majority Data
Votes 789
Percent 1.50%
Rank (1 = highest %) 630

Voter turnout for the Gedling seat was at 71.0%. This figure was up 6.3% on the region as a whole and down 1.8% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was up 3.7% when compared to the average turnout for 2019

Warwick and Leamington Turnout Data
Constituency 71.00%
Region 64.70%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 72.80%
Size of electorate 76,362
Valid votes cast 54,205

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Bishop's Tachbrook
  • Budbrooke
  • Cubbington & Leek Wootton
  • Leamington Brunswick
  • Leamington Clarendon
  • Leamington Lillington
  • Leamington Milverton
  • Leamington Willes
  • Warwick All Saints & Woodloes
  • Warwick Aylesford
  • Warick Myton & Heathcote
  • Warwick Saltisford
  • Whitnash

How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.

Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

UK General Election Betting Odds

UK General Election Betting Odds

Next Prime Minister Odds | Betting History and Trends

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United Kingdom Local Elections Betting Guide (Odds, History, Contenders)

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