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Welcome to Winchester's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Winchester Constituency betting and general election betting..
Bet Smart on Winchester Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!
Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK
Current Betting Odds
Betting odds for the constituency of Winchester may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.
Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets
Things to Consider
When betting on local elections in Winchester, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.
👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.
📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Winchester for trends.
🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Winchester residents.
📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.
🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.
📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.
👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Winchester turnout could impact the election results.
💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.
💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.
🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.
🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.
📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.
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Constituency Information
Winchester, an affluent, historically rich constituency in mid-Hampshire, has been represented in the House of Commons by Conservative Steve Brine since 2010.
Stephen brine Conservative Candidate for Winchester
Chris McAndrew, CC BY 3.0 , via Wikimedia Commons
Including Winchester city and Chandler's Ford, it's known for low poverty, a mixed population of students, academics, commuters, and professionals in high-tech and creative industries. Smaller settlements like Chandler's Ford and villages such as Micheldever add to its diversity. With low jobseeker counts (1.4% in 2012), this area has fluctuated politically but has been a battleground for tight races, notably in 1997 when a by-election shifted its "safe" status.
🔍 Winchester: A Constituency of Rich History & Electoral Nail-Biters! 🇬🇧
Ongoing since 1295, its representation saw significant changes with the Redistribution of Seats Act 1885 and the Registration of Political Parties Act 1998, provoked by a misleading candidate name in 1997. Recent elections have seen Brine's majority shrink, marking Winchester as a highly competitive seat.
General Election Betting
The Winchester seat was created in 1918. It has also previously contributed to the new seats of Romsey and Meon Valley.
2019 Election Results
Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Winchester's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.
Voting Data
- The Conservatives retained possession of the Winchester seat after candidate Stephen Brine earned 28,430 votes.
- Those votes managed to keep the Liberal Democrats at bay as Paula Ferguson only earned 27,445 by comparison.
- Brine's vote share was 48.3%, which meant the Conservatives were down by 3.7% on the year before. However, the Liberal Democrats earned a 12.1% increase on the same period.
- Labour could only finish third as George Baker collected 2,723 votes (5.9%)
- The majority of 985 equated to 1.7% of the total vote. This also meant it was the 25th smallest of the 2019 General Election
- The turnout for the seat was 77.9% - down 0.9% on 2017
| Candidate Data | Party | Gender | Number of votes | Share (%) | Change vs. 2017 for party (percentage points) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Gildernew | Sinn Fein | Female | 21,986 | 43.30% | -3.9 |
| Tom Elliott | Ulster Unionist Party | Male | 21,929 | 43.20% | -2.3 |
| Adam Gannon | Social Democratic and Labour Party | Male | 3,446 | 6.80% | 2 |
| Matthew Beaumont | Alliance | Male | 2,650 | 5.20% | 3.6 |
| Caroline Wheeler | Independent | Female | 751 | 1.50% | 0 |
Statistics & Turnout Information
With a votes majority of 985 from the 58,890 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 1.7%, making Winchester the 25th closest run constituency in the 2019 election.
| Fermanagh and South Tyrone Majority Data | ||
|---|---|---|
| Votes Majority | 57 | |
| Percent Majority | 0.10% | |
| Rank (1 = highest %) | 650 |
Voter turnout for the Winchester seat was at 77.9%. This figure was up 7.7% on the region as a whole and down 0.9% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was up 10.6% when compared to the average turnout for 2019
By Election Betting and Wards
The wards within the Constituency are currently:
- Alresford and Itchen Valley
- Badger Farm and Oliver's Battery
- Chandler's Ford
- Colden Common and Twyford
- Hiltingbury
- St Barnabas
- St Bartholomew
- St Luke
- St Michael
- St Paul
- The Worthys
- Upper Meon Valley
- Wonston and Micheldever
How To Bet
Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:
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Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.
Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.
Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.
Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.
Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.
Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.
Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.
Editorial Team and Resources
OLBG have assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.
Political Editor
Data Collection and Fact Checking
Edited and Published by
Data Sources:
A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.
Further Resources
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