🗳️ Winchester Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 12 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on Winchester Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets.

🗳️ Winchester Elections Betting Guide
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Winchester's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Winchester Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Winchester Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Winchester Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Winchester may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

3.9 / 5 74 Ratings

Best for Politics Betting

Smarkets beat 63 other betting sites in our research to finish #1 for political betting options

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Winchester, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Winchester for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Winchester residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Winchester turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Winchester, an affluent, historically rich constituency in mid-Hampshire, has been represented in the House of Commons by Conservative Steve Brine since 2010.

Stephen brine Conservative Candidate for Winchester
Chris McAndrew, CC BY 3.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

Including Winchester city and Chandler's Ford, it's known for low poverty, a mixed population of students, academics, commuters, and professionals in high-tech and creative industries. Smaller settlements like Chandler's Ford and villages such as Micheldever add to its diversity. With low jobseeker counts (1.4% in 2012), this area has fluctuated politically but has been a battleground for tight races, notably in 1997 when a by-election shifted its "safe" status. 

🔍 Winchester: A Constituency of Rich History & Electoral Nail-Biters! 🇬🇧

🏛️ Winchester: A historic, affluent seat with a twist! Since 2010, Steve Brine (Conservative) holds it tight. From ancient capital to a 🌈 of residents & jobs, it's seen epic election battles & tight finishes! 🗳️2019 turned it into a nail-biter!

Ongoing since 1295, its representation saw significant changes with the Redistribution of Seats Act 1885 and the Registration of Political Parties Act 1998, provoked by a misleading candidate name in 1997. Recent elections have seen Brine's majority shrink, marking Winchester as a highly competitive seat.

General Election Betting

The Winchester seat was created in 1918. It has also previously contributed to the new seats of Romsey and Meon Valley.

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Winchester's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • The Conservatives retained possession of the Winchester seat after candidate Stephen Brine earned 28,430 votes.
  • Those votes managed to keep the Liberal Democrats at bay as Paula Ferguson only earned 27,445 by comparison.
  • Brine's vote share was 48.3%, which meant the Conservatives were down by 3.7% on the year before. However, the Liberal Democrats earned a 12.1% increase on the same period.
  • Labour could only finish third as George Baker collected 2,723 votes (5.9%)
  • The majority of 985 equated to 1.7% of the total vote. This also meant it was the 25th smallest of the 2019 General Election
  • The turnout for the seat was 77.9% - down 0.9% on 2017

Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 for party (percentage points)
Michelle Gildernew Sinn Fein Female 21,986 43.30% -3.9
Tom Elliott Ulster Unionist Party Male 21,929 43.20% -2.3
Adam Gannon Social Democratic and Labour Party Male 3,446 6.80% 2
Matthew Beaumont Alliance Male 2,650 5.20% 3.6
Caroline Wheeler Independent Female 751 1.50% 0

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 985 from the 58,890 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 1.7%, making Winchester the 25th closest run constituency in the 2019 election.

Fermanagh and South Tyrone Majority Data
Votes Majority 57
Percent Majority 0.10%
Rank (1 = highest %) 650

Voter turnout for the Winchester seat was at 77.9%. This figure was up 7.7% on the region as a whole and down 0.9% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was up 10.6% when compared to the average turnout for 2019

Select a constituency: Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 for party (percentage points) Fermanagh and South Tyrone Majority Data Fermanagh and South Tyrone Turnout Data
Fermanagh and South Tyrone Michelle Gildernew Sinn Fein Female 21,986 43.30% -3.9 Votes Majority 57 Constituency
Tom Elliott Ulster Unionist Party Male 21,929 43.20% -2.3 Percent Majority 0.10% Region
Result Adam Gannon Social Democratic and Labour Party Male 3,446 6.80% 2 Rank (1 = highest %) 650 UK
Party control: Matthew Beaumont Alliance Male 2,650 5.20% 3.6 Constituency in 2017
SF hold Caroline Wheeler Independent Female 751 1.50% 0 Size of electorate
Winning candidate: Valid votes cast

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Alresford and Itchen Valley
  • Badger Farm and Oliver's Battery
  • Chandler's Ford
  • Colden Common and Twyford
  • Hiltingbury
  • St Barnabas
  • St Bartholomew
  • St Luke
  • St Michael
  • St Paul
  • The Worthys
  • Upper Meon Valley
  • Wonston and Micheldever

How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG have assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.

Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

UK General Election Betting Odds

UK General Election Betting Odds

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Next Prime Minister Odds | Betting History and Trends

United Kingdom Local Elections Betting Guide (Odds, History, Contenders)

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