🗳️ Bradford West Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 31 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on Bradford West Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was a safe seat in 2019 but may have changed now.

🗳️ Bradford West Elections Betting Guide

By Richard Townshend - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4409/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4409/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wik

Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Bradford West's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Bradford West Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Bradford West Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Bradford West Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Bradford West may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Bradford West, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Bradford West for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Bradford West residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Bradford West turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Bradford West, a West Yorkshire constituency, has been represented by Naz Shah of the Labour Party since 2015. Characterized by a significant Pakistani and majority Muslim population, this area includes Bradford city center, Manningham, Allerton, and Clayton.

By Richard Townshend - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4409/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4409/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86683994

Historically, the seat has flipped between Labour and Conservative until Labour consistently won from 1974, with exceptions in 1981 and 2012. The 1997 election saw an unexpected swing towards the Conservatives, attributed to the Labour Party's selection of a Sikh candidate in a predominantly Muslim area. George Galloway won in 2012 for the Respect Party but lost to Shah in 2015, who has since achieved record vote shares, significantly in 2019 by 11.5%, marking Bradford West as the safest Labour seat in Yorkshire and the Humber.

🗳️✨ Bradford West stands with Naz Shah of Labour since 2015!

Covering vibrant areas with a strong Pakistani and Muslim majority, this constituency defies trends with record vote shares in recent elections, making it Yorkshire's safest Labour seat. 🌹

General Election Betting

The Bradford West seat was created in 1974 from the previous Bradford Central and Bradford North and Bradford South seats.

Wereon, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Bradford West's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • Labour held on to the seat after Naz Shah earned 76.2% of the vote
  • In doing so, it meant that Hackney South and Shoreditch was Labour's thirteenth-safest seat in the 2019 General Election
  • Shah would pick up a majority of 27,019 with the Conservatives trailing way behind in second with just 6,717 votes by comparison.
  • Labour's vote share was up 11.5% on the previous election, with the Conservatives having to make do with a 1.4% decrease.
  • The Brexit Party would finish third, with Derrick Hodgson earning 3.5% of the total vote.
  • The turnout for the seat was 62.6% - down 4.8% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Naz Shah Labour Female 33,736 76.20% 11.5
Mohammed Afzal Conservative Male 6,717 15.20% -1.4
Derrick Hodgson Brexit Party Male 1,556 3.50% 0
Mark Christie Liberal Democrat Male 1,349 3.00% 1.5
Darren Parkinson Green Male 813 1.80% 0.8
Azfar Bukhari Independent Male 90 0.20% 0
Share

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 27,019 from the 44,261 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 61.0%, making Bradford West the sixteenth-safest seat in the 2019 election.

Bradford West Majority Data
Votes 27,019
Percent 61.00%
Rank (1 = highest %) 16
Share

Voter turnout for the Bradford West seat was at 62.6%. This figure was down 1.7% on the region as a whole and down 4.8% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 4.7% when compared to the average turnout for 2019

Bradford West Turnout Data
Constituency 62.60%
Region 64.30%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 67.40%
Size of electorate 70,694
Valid votes cast 44,261
Share

Bradford West By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • City
  • Clayton and Fairweather Green
  • Heaton
  • Manningham
  • Thornton and Allerton
  • Toller


How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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