🗳️ South Holland and The Deepings Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 39 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on South Holland and The Deepings Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was a safe seat in 2019 but may have changed now.

🗳️ South Holland and The Deepings Elections Betting Guide

By Chris McAndrew, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=61324920

Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to South Holland and The Deepings's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on South Holland and The Deepings Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on South Holland and The Deepings Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the South Holland and The Deepings Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of South Holland and The Deepings may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in South Holland and The Deepings, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in South Holland and The Deepings for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting South Holland and The Deepings residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how South Holland and The Deepings turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

John Hayes has served as the MP for South Holland and The Deepings in Lincolnshire since its formation in 1997. It's known as the Conservative stronghold, achieving the highest Conservative vote share since 1970 with 69.9% in the 2017 general election.

By Chris McAndrew, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=61324920

 In the 2016 EU referendum, 73.6% of voters supported "Leave," the second-highest in the UK. The 2019 general election saw the Conservatives secure a 62.7% majority, their largest since 1955, with Hayes winning 75.9% of the vote. The constituency is predominantly rural, focusing on agriculture, bulb growing, and food processing, with below-average incomes and house prices. Its historical non-Conservative representation last occurred with Sir Herbert Butcher until 1966. Richard Body, who served until 1997, was previously an MP for Billericay and authored books on agriculture.

🇬🇧✅ South Holland & The Deepings stands as a Conservative bastion!

Since 1997, John Hayes represents the area, hitting record Conservative votes 📈 in 2017 & 2019 elections. It's a rural heartland of agriculture 🚜, with a strong push for Brexit in 2016.

General Election Betting

The South Holland and the Deepings seat was created in 1997 from the previous Holland with Boston and Stamford and Spalding seats.

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2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from South Holland and The Deepings's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • The Conservatives held on to the seat after John Hayes earned 75.9% of the vote
  • In doing so, it meant that South Holland and the Deepings was the party's safest seat in the 2019 General Election
  • Hayes would pick up a majority of 30,838 with Labour trailing way behind in second with just 6,500 votes by comparison.
  • The Conservatives 75.9% vote share was up 6.0% on the previous election, while Labour's own vote share decreased by 7.2%
  • The Liberal Democrats would finish third, with Davina Kirby earning 3.7% of the total vote.
  • The turnout for the seat was 64.7% - down 1.2% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
John Hayes Conservative Male 37,338 75.90% 6
Mark Popple Labour Male 6,500 13.20% -7.2
Davina Kirby Liberal Democrat Female 3,225 6.60% 3.7
Martin Blake Green Male 1,613 3.30% 1.5
Rick Stringer Independent Male 503 1.00% 0

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 30,838 from the 49,179 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 62.7%, making South Holland and the Deepings the eleventh-safest seat in the 2019 election.

South Holland and The Deepings Majority Data
Votes 30,838
Percent 62.70%
Rank (1 = highest %) 11

Voter turnout for the South Holland and the Deepings seat was at 64.7%. This figure was down 2.5% on the region as a whole and down 1.2% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 2.6% when compared to the average turnout for 2019

South Holland and The Deepings Turnout Data
Constituency 64.70%
Region 67.20%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 65.90%
Size of electorate 75,975
Valid votes cast 49,179

South Holland and The Deepings By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Crowland and Deeping St Nicholas
  • Deeping St James
  • Donington, Quadring and Gosberton
  • Fleet
  • Gedney
  • Holbeach Hurn
  • Holbeach Town
  • Long Sutton
  • Market & West Deeping
  • Moulton, Weston and Cowbit
  • Pinchbeck and Surfleet
  • Spalding Castle
  • Spalding Monks House
  • Spalding St John's
  • Spalding St Mary's
  • Spalding St Paul's
  • Spalding Wygate
  • Sutton Bridge
  • The Saints
  • Whaplode and Holbeach St John's

How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.

Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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