Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Bookies make it 4/5 that a no confidence vote is trigged in Liz Truss before the next general election
- Truss is expected to stay in the role as PM until at least 2024
- Betting odds are available for the term that Truss serves compared to previous Prime Minister's
Bookies make it 4/5 that a no confidence vote is trigged in Liz Truss before the next general election
Liz Truss has had a whirlwind start to her life as Prime Minister with party divisions and a disastrous economic policy already asking questions about her role.
Bookies are already giving odds on Truss receiving a no confidence vote before the next general election with odds of 4/5 that it happens.
Smarkets give a 55% chance that there will be a no confidence vote, with the odds at just under evens that there won't be a no confidence vote triggered.
It seems early for any Next Prime Minister talk, but if Truss does leave the role in the near future it would mean that a new replacement will be needed.
Truss is expected to stay in the role as PM until at least 2024
Truss is expected to stay in the role as Prime Minister until 2024 at least according to the betting odds.
Bookies make 2024 the 11/10 favourite to be the exit date in her role as Prime Minister, with 2025 just behind in the market at 15/8.
The next General Election isn't due until January 2025 but it may well be that we get one sooner with Truss hinting at a 2024 election last month.
| When will Liz Truss be replaced as PM? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| 2023 | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| 2024 | 11/10 | 47.6% |
| 2025 or Later | 15/8 | 34.8% |
Betting odds are available for the term that Truss serves compared to previous Prime Minister's
Liz Truss has been Prime Minister for 36 days and will be looking to stay there for many years to come.
Betting odds are available on her outlasting former Prime Ministers in her length in the role.
Betway make it 1/20 that she at least outlasts George Canning, whose 119 day spell remains the shortest in history.
| Liz Truss To Serve Longer than which former PM? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| George Canning (119 days) | 1/20 | 95.2% |
| Gordon Brown (2 years 318 days) | 2/5 | 71.4% |
| Theresa May (3 years 11 days) | 13/8 | 38.1% |
| Boris Johnson (3 years 44 days) | 7/4 | 36.4% |
| Ted Heath (3 years 259 days) | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| David Cameron (6 years 63 days) | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| John Major (6 years 155 days) | 11/2 | 15.4% |
Liz Truss has been Prime Minister for 36 days now and it's already been a rollercoaster in her reign.
Just two days after The Queen requested Truss to form a new administration as PM, Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully.
