Summer 3 year olds

Updated: 1753 Other

Now is the time of year where in general the 3yo's start to takemore advantage of their weight for age allowance in handicaps.During the early part of the year, the majority of 3yo's haven'tstrengthened up enough to take on their

Summer 3 year olds
Darren Brett Tipster Competition Manager

Horse Racing, greyhounds and snooker specialist with thirty years experience of writing about sport across multiple platforms. A QPR and Snooker fan

Now is the time of year where in general the 3yo's start to take more advantage of their weight for age allowance in handicaps.
During the early part of the year, the majority of 3yo's haven't strengthened up enough to take on their elders.
The majority of punters will usually wait until after the Royal Ascot meeting, before taking note of the 3yo's running in 3yo and upwards handicaps, as they are now more able to take advantage of their allowances.
It wouldn't pay to follow all 3yo's blindly, from now until the end of the season but some targeted strikes could prove a nice boost to the betting bank over the summer.
Taking all handicap results over the past 10 years, the 3yo's show a good 2% improvement in their win rate during July and August, as the year progresses the weight for age scale of allowances reduces, giving the 3yo's less of an advantage.
Other things to note are that its more productive to stay clear of sprint races and concentrate on those races over a mile or longer.
There will be plenty of races, with more than one 3yo taking on their elders and rather than trying to cover all of the runners, I've come up with a points system, based on set criteria, that will try to pin point which of the 3yo runners could be the best one to invest your stake.
This system is based on 3yo+ handicaps only, I won't be betting on any maiden or selling handicaps, nor any handicaps solely for amateurs or apprentices.
I will be basing the points issued to each qualifier using the following Criteria
On Course Betting Odds

PRICE

Favourite = 5 points
2nd Fav = 3 points
3rd fav = 2 points
All others 1 point

These prices as always will be subject to changes in the market, for the purpose of the Blog I will use the SP's stated, around 11am time.

GENDER

Colt = 5 points
Gelding = 3 points
Filly = 1 point

WEIGHT

9-1 and above = 5 points
8-7 to 9-0 = 3 points
8-6 and below = 1 point

FITNESS

Days since last run

1 to 14 days = 5 points
15 to 28 days = 3 points
29 to 56 days = 2 points
57 days + = 1 point
In order to track these results and see if the points based system is working or may require any modifications, I will set up a Blog on the Betting Blogs and Systems area
Summer 3yo's Results of the Blog

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