Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
The jockey plays an important part, but how much of our horse racing betting decisions should we attribute to the man or woman on board the horse?
Below is the PJA Jockey of the Year table since 2010.
Year | NH Jockey Of The Year | Flat Jockey Of The Year | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023/24 | Harry Cobden | William Buick | ||||||||
2022/23 | Brian Hughes | William Buick | ||||||||
2021/22 | Brian Hughes | Oisin Murphy | ||||||||
2020/21 | Harry Skelton | Oisin Murphy | ||||||||
2019/20 | Brian Hughes | Oisin Murphy | ||||||||
2018/19 | Richard Johnson | Silvestre De Sousa | ||||||||
2017/18 | Richard Johnson | Silvestre De Sousa | ||||||||
2016/17 | Richard Johnson | Jim Crowley | ||||||||
2015/16 | Richard Johnson | Silvestre De Sousa | ||||||||
2014/15 | AP McCoy | Richard Hughes | ||||||||
2013/14 | AP McCoy | Richard Hughes | ||||||||
2012/13 | AP McCoy | Richard Hughes | ||||||||
2011/12 | AP McCoy | Paul Hanagan | ||||||||
2010/11 | AP McCoy | Paul Hanagan |
As you can see the same jockeys won numerous times whilst riding at the peak of their careers.
The current Jockey Championship (Summer 2024) shows the following names at the head of the table.
NH Jockey | Wins | Rides | Percentage | Flat Jockey | Wins | Rides | Percentage |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harry Skelton | 34 | 124 | 27% | Oisin Murphy | 83 | 368 | 23% |
Sean Bowen | 34 | 200 | 17% | William Buick | 54 | 254 | 21% |
Henry Brooke | 22 | 105 | 21% | Rossa Ryan | 54 | 299 | 18% |
Jack Tudor | 18 | 85 | 21% | Tom Marquand | 48 | 310 | 15% |
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
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For many punters the best horse is always going to win the race and the jockey shouldn't make too much difference but that's actually rarely the case.
Would the same punters say that the driver doesn't make too much difference in Formula 1?
The leading bookmakers with their wealth of stable contacts will certainly keep specific jockeys onside, especially at the major meetings.
William Buick
Jockey Rich List - The worldβs highest-earning jockeys
The Jockey Evidence
It was a race at Lingfield that inspired me to look more into jockeys.
The race was a 10f handicap in which a horse I had been following, Robin Hoods Bay, won under Ryan Moore.
Robin Hoods Bay had won in November and then run well without winning from a higher mark in three subsequent handicaps, never beaten more than 1.5 lengths.
Horsepower
He didn't look badly handicapped but certainly didn't look well handicapped either, until Ryan Moore took the riding duties for the first time and won cosily by 1.25 lengths.
The race didn't look any weaker than the three previous races so it seems Ryan Moore was able to bring about a significant improvement from the horse.
At the start of year, many of the top jockeys return to the all-weather in order to get ‘race fit' in time for the flat turf season, there will then be opportunity's to back the better jockeys against poorer jockeys on the Polytrack or Fibresand.
Let's use Ryan Moore as an example.
His all-weather record in selected years was as follows:
Ryan Moore
Course | Record | Win % |
---|---|---|
Kempton | 18/89 | 20% |
Lingfield | 22/77 | 29% |
Wolverhampton | 5/16 | 31% |
Newcastle | 1/2 | 50% |
Now those stats don't look amazing and I'm certainly not saying back all his rides but I'm sure that compared favourably with the next two ‘average' all-weather jockeys I am going to pick at random.
Let's take a decent jockey who is regularly on the all-weather in Shane Kelly
Shane Kelly
Course | Record | Win % |
---|---|---|
Kempton | 23/478 | 5% |
Lingfield | 36/397 | 9% |
Wolverhampton | 37/405 | 9% |
Newcastle | 0/16 | 0% |
Here is the record for what is considered one of the best all-weather jockeys in Luke Morris.
Luke Morris
Course | Record | Win % |
---|---|---|
Kempton | 76/841 | 9% |
Lingfield | 97/810 | 12% |
Wolverhampton | 125/1034 | 12% |
Newcastle | 45/378 | 12% |
You can see the difference the booking of a top jockey makes to the win %.
Jockeys need to be a major consideration when you start your daily horse racing form study.
Now, of course, jockeys like Ryan Moore get booked on the best horses, and their rides tend to go off at shorter prices but they can make the difference between you losing and winning your bet.
What This Means
Now I realise all I have done there is highlight the fact that Ryan Moore is a more successful and has a better strike rate than Shane Kelly or Luke Morris.
Hardly groundbreaking, but my point is that the better jockeys will get more out of horses that are averagely handicapped.
During the winter the all-weather horses have been largely ridden by the average all-weather jockeys.
When they have bigger meetings especially at Wolverhampton and Lingfield don't be surprised to see some seemingly unlikely improvement from certain horses when the top jockeys get on board.
This can be less of a factor when the flat turf season is in full swing, the bigger meetings are populated by the bigger jockeys and in many cases a very well handicapped horse ridden by Rob Hornby will beat a pretty well-handicapped horse ridden by Ryan Moore .
Ranking By Jockey
However we've seen jockeys like Richard Hughes dominate smaller meetings, on October 15th 2012 Richard Hughes rode 7 out of 8 winners at Windsor, a meeting that most top jockeys ignored.
His biggest priced winner was 7/1 so some might argue he was entitled to win all of those races but it is hard to argue that his talent didn't give him as much of an edge in those races as the horses' ability.
So DON'T just back the top jockeys blindly, even at smaller meetings, but DO upgrade the chances of their mounts as one or two top jockeys amongst average jockeys should have a major advantage.
Responsible Gambling
However you choose your selections please make sure you gamble responsibly, the following articles were created with this in mind.
Responsible Gambling Features, Function and Help
How to be Sensible and Gamble Responsibly (Examples)
Editorial Information
OLBG betting expert Andy Powell created this article with recent updates by Nigel Skinner another of the OLBG experts.