You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Hong Kong Vase Preview
This Group 1 Hong Kong Vase is run in December of each year at Sha Tin racetrack and is part of the Hong Kong International Races series. Run over a distance of one mile and four furlongs (2,400m), it is the longest of the four international series races and is open to runners aged three or older.
The race, from the four international series races, is probably the one where the European raiders have had the most success.
Hong Kong Vase Information:
We also have a dedicated Sha Tin tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races in Hong Kong section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Hong Kong Vase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2024 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Hong Kong Vase, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ123 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Hong Kong Vase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Hong Kong Vase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Hong Kong Vase races over the last 20 renewals:
- Glory Vase (2:24.77) in 2019
- Satono Crown (2:26.22) in 2016
- Highland Reel (2:26.23) in 2017
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Hong Kong Vase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -9.25. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Hong Kong Vase, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:24.77 was set by Glory Vase in 2019, trained by Tomohito Ozeki and ridden by Joao Moreira, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Junko won in a time of 2:30.12 for trainer A Fabre, who booked Maxime Guyon in the saddle.
Hong Kong Vase Past Winners
Here are the Hong Kong Vase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Hong Kong Vase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 2:28.05 | Sosie (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (8 of 11) 17/10F | Maxime Guyon A Fabre (FR) |
| 2024 2:27.53 | Giavellotto (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (5 of 13) 113/10 | Oisin Murphy Marco Botti (GB) |
| 2023 2:30.12 | Junko (GB) 4yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 91/20 | Maxime Guyon A Fabre (FR) |
| 2022 2:27.53 | Win Marilyn (JPN) 5yo 8-10 (3 of 10) 50/9 | Damian Lane Takahisa Tezuka (JPN) |
| 2021 2:27.07 | Glory Vase (JPN) 6yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 17/20F | Joao Moreira Tomohito Ozeki (JPN) |
| 2020 2:27.21 | Mogul (GB) 3yo 8-9 (4 of 7) 8/5 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 2:24.77 | Glory Vase (JPN) 4yo 9-0 (7 of 14) 36/5 | Joao Moreira Tomohito Ozeki (JPN) |
| 2018 2:26.56 | Exultant (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (10 of 14) 9/2 | Zac Purton A S Cruz (HK) |
| 2017 2:26.23 | Highland Reel (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (8 of 12) 43/20F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 2:26.22 | Satono Crown (JPN) 4yo 9-0 (9 of 14) 195/10 | Joao Moreira Noriyuki Hori (JPN) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hong Kong Vase have been based:
- FR: 5 winners with an additional 13 placings from 41 runners
- HK: 4 winners with an additional 5 placings from 75 runners
- GB: 4 winners with an additional 8 placings from 43 runners
- JPN: 4 winners with an additional 8 placings from 29 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 4 placings from 26 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 10 runners
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- NZ: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- ITY: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Hong Kong Vase Replay
Hong Kong Vase Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Hong Kong Vase over the last 20 renewals, with both A P O'Brien and A Fabre, who have both won the race three times. A P O'Brien winners have been with Highland Reel (2015 & 2017) and Mogul (2020). A Fabre winners have been with Flintshire (2014), Junko (2023) and Sosie (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Hong Kong Vase are Tomohito Ozeki (2 wins) and Richard Gibson (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Hong Kong Vase; C Fownes has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Hong Kong Vase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 16-3-5 | -4.25 | -6.42 |
| A Fabre | 11-3-7 | -0.37 | +0.41 |
| Tomohito Ozeki | 3-2-3 | +7.05 | +4.60 |
| Richard Gibson | 2-2-2 | +9.05 | +5.43 |
| John Moore | 15-1-1 | +19.00 | +5.80 |
| A S Cruz | 12-1-4 | -6.50 | -6.03 |
| A De Royer-Dupre | 10-1-6 | -3.30 | +2.03 |
| Noriyuki Hori | 5-1-3 | +15.50 | +11.49 |
| Ed Dunlop | 5-1-2 | +6.00 | +4.00 |
| M Delzangles | 5-1-2 | +1.60 | +0.76 |
Hong Kong Vase Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Hong Kong Vase over the last 20 renewals, with Ryan Moore, Joao Moreira, and Maxime Guyon having all won the race three times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Highland Reel (2015 & 2017) and Mogul (2020). Joao Moreira's winners have been with Satono Crown (2016) and Glory Vase (2019 & 2021). Maxime Guyon winners have been with Flintshire (2014), Junko (2023) and Sosie (2025). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Hong Kong Vase are Zac Purton (2 wins), Gerald Mosse (2 wins) and Olivier Peslier (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Hong Kong Vase; Christophe Soumillon has ridden 11 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Hong Kong Vase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 18-3-7 | -6.25 | -5.75 |
| Joao Moreira | 11-3-7 | +19.55 | +12.36 |
| Maxime Guyon | 7-3-5 | +3.63 | +2.46 |
| Zac Purton | 9-2-4 | +30.50 | +16.67 |
| Gerald Mosse | 8-2-3 | +9.70 | +4.03 |
| Olivier Peslier | 6-2-2 | +5.05 | +1.43 |
| Craig A Williams | 6-1-1 | +0.60 | -1.64 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-1-1 | +7.30 | +2.78 |
| Damian Lane | 4-1-2 | +2.56 | +1.30 |
| Frankie Dettori | 4-1-1 | +0.80 | -0.72 |
2026 Hong Kong Vase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 7, 1, 2, 3, 5, 5, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 5, 3, 2, 1, 5, 8, 3, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Achieved an RPR of 115+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Is not ARG/AUS/BRZ/CHI/GER/NZ/SAF/USA bred
- 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Not in ARG/AUS/BRA/CHL/DEU/HKG/ITA/NZL/ZAF (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Not in a G1/LST/Cl4 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Furthest Won 1m3f - 2m
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 54/5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in a Cl2-5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in ARG/IRL/ITA/SGP/ZAF/TUR/UAE (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Won within last 8 starts
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 14 wins (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest Placed 1m3f - 2m2f
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 103+ (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (53%) - Beaten no more -ž (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Sha Tin racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Hong Kong Vase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Hong Kong Vase by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Hong Kong Vase Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +36.04, is when runners finished in 1st on debut.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career win in Non-Handicap races, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-33.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 8 (6,4) [11 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 5 (6,13) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (2,1) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (5,4) [10 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (3,5) [8 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Hong Kong Vase are Longchamp, Sha Tin, Tokyo and Woodbine; there have been a total of 2 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 206 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 27 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hong Kong Vase:
- Galileo (3 Wins)
- Deep Impact (2 Wins)
- Muhtathir (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Hong Kong Vase; that stallion is Camelot, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dominant in 2013, winning for John Moore at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Zac Purton. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2026 Hong Kong Vase, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the Hong Kong Vase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Hong Kong Vase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Sosie Longchamp - 3rd of 17 (12/1) | Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe |
| 2024 - Giavellotto Curragh - 3rd of 6 (3/1) | Irish St Leger |
| 2023 - Junko Munich - 1st of 4 (23/10) | Grosser Allianz Preis von Bayern |
| 2022 - Win Marilyn Hanshin - 2nd of 18 (101/10) | Queen Elizabeth II Cup |
| 2021 - Glory Vase Nakayama - 3rd of 16 (31/5) | Sankei Sho All Comers |
| 2020 - Mogul Keeneland - 5th of 10 (10/3) | Breeders' Cup Turf |
| 2019 - Glory Vase Kyoto - 6th of 17 (1/1) | Kyoto Daishoten |
| 2018 - Exultant Sha Tin - 2nd of 9 (16/5) | Hong Kong Jockey Club Cup |
| 2017 - Highland Reel Del Mar - 3rd of 13 (11/10) | Breeders' Cup Turf |
| 2016 - Satono Crown Tokyo - 14th of 15 (43/2) | Tenno Sho (Autumn) |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Hong Kong Vase Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races in Hong Kong
Here are some other notable races throughout Hong Kong, which take place during the racing season that we also have blogs for.
