
Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Hong Kong Vase Preview
This Group 1 Hong Kong Vase is run in December of each year at Sha Tin racetrack and is part of the Hong Kong International Races series. Run over a distance of one mile and four furlongs (2,400m) it is the longest of the four international series races and is open to runners aged three or older. The race, from the four international series races, is probably the one where the European raiders have had the most success.
Hong Kong Vase Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Sha Tin then head over to the Sha Tin tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races in Hong Kong section for links to these.

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Hong Kong Vase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2019 when the race had an over-round of 121%. The race in 2024 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Hong Kong Vase, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Hong Kong Vase Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Hong Kong Vase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Hong Kong Vase over the last 10 renewals:
- Glory Vase (2:24.77) in 2019
- Satono Crown (2:26.22) in 2016
- Highland Reel (2:26.23) in 2017
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Hong Kong Vase next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 8 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.25. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Hong Kong Vase see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 10 renewals, it was Glory Vase, trained by Tomohito Ozeki and ridden by Joao Moreira who set the fastest winning time in the Hong Kong Vase, the runner won the race in a time of 2:24.77 when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A Fabre and jockey Maxime Guyon with Junko who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:30.12 in the 2023 renewal.
Hong Kong Vase Past Winners
Here are the Hong Kong Vase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Hong Kong Vase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
---|---|---|
2024 2:27.53 | Giavellotto (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (5 of 13) 113/10 | Oisin Murphy Marco Botti (GB) |
2023 2:30.12 | Junko (GB) 4yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 91/20 | Maxime Guyon A Fabre (FR) |
2022 2:27.53 | Win Marilyn (JPN) 5yo 8-10 (3 of 10) 50/9 | Damian Lane Takahisa Tezuka (JPN) |
2021 2:27.07 | Glory Vase (JPN) 6yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 17/20F | Joao Moreira Tomohito Ozeki (JPN) |
2020 2:27.21 | Mogul (GB) 3yo 8-9 (4 of 7) 8/5 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
2019 2:24.77 | Glory Vase (JPN) 4yo 9-0 (7 of 14) 36/5 | Joao Moreira Tomohito Ozeki (JPN) |
2018 2:26.56 | Exultant (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (10 of 14) 9/2 | Zac Purton A S Cruz (HK) |
2017 2:26.23 | Highland Reel (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (8 of 12) 43/20F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
2016 2:26.22 | Satono Crown (JPN) 4yo 9-0 (9 of 14) 195/10 | Joao Moreira Noriyuki Hori (JPN) |
2015 2:28.43 | Highland Reel (IRE) 3yo 8-9 (9 of 13) 5/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hong Kong Vase have been based:
- JPN: 4 winners with an additional 6 placings from 19 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 3 placings from 17 runners
- HK: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 39 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 6 placings from 18 runners
- GB: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 15 runners
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- NZ: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Hong Kong Vase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Hong Kong Vase over the last 10 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Highland Reel (2015 & 2017) and Mogul (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Hong Kong Vase is Tomohito Ozeki (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Hong Kong Vase trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
A P O'Brien | 13-3-5 | -1.25 | -3.42 |
Tomohito Ozeki | 3-2-3 | +7.05 | +4.60 |
A S Cruz | 11-1-3 | -5.50 | -6.13 |
A Fabre | 6-1-4 | -0.45 | +0.61 |
Noriyuki Hori | 1-1-1 | +19.50 | +11.70 |
Marco Botti | 1-1-1 | +11.30 | +6.78 |
Takahisa Tezuka | 1-1-1 | +5.56 | +3.34 |
John Moore | 8-0-0 | -8.00 | -8.00 |
C Fownes | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
J Size | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
Hong Kong Vase Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Hong Kong Vase over the last 10 renewals with both Joao Moreira and Ryan Moore who have both won the race three times. Joao Moreira winners have been with Satono Crown (2016) and Glory Vase (2019 & 2021). Ryan Moore winners have been with Highland Reel (2015 & 2017) and Mogul (2020).
Here are some of the top Hong Kong Vase jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Joao Moreira | 10-3-7 | +20.55 | +13.36 |
Ryan Moore | 10-3-5 | +1.75 | -0.42 |
Zac Purton | 7-1-3 | -1.50 | -2.13 |
Oisin Murphy | 4-1-1 | +8.30 | +3.78 |
Damian Lane | 4-1-2 | +2.56 | +1.30 |
Maxime Guyon | 4-1-2 | +1.55 | +0.66 |
C Y Ho | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
Christophe Soumillon | 4-0-4 | -4.00 | +2.79 |
William Buick | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -2.71 |
James McDonald | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
2025 Hong Kong Vase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, 1, 5, 3, 2, 1, 5, 8, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 10 / 10 (35%) - Achieved an RPR of 118+ (Season)
- 10 / 10 (55%) - No bigger than 39/2
- 10 / 10 (61%) - Is not ARG/AUS/BRZ/CHI/FR/GER/NZ/SAF/USA bred
- 10 / 10 (62%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 10 / 10 (68%) - Furthest Won 1m3f - 1m6f
- 10 / 10 (73%) - Highest Placed is G1
- 10 / 10 (74%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Ran in 7 - 26 races (Career)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - Ran in 2 - 21 races (Class)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - No more than +2yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Not in a G1/LST/Cl4/Cl6 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Not in a LST/Cl2-5 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (79%) - Won within last 6 starts
- 10 / 10 (79%) - No bigger than 17/2 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (82%) - No bigger than 100/1 (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sha Tin racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Hong Kong Vase. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Hong Kong Vase by adding a tip on the race here.
Hong Kong Vase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor that produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +31.11 is when runners had 1 career place over the trip.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places in the class, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-30.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 5 (6,13) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (2,1) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (5,4) [10 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (3,5) [8 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 4 (5) [7 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Hong Kong Vase are Curragh, Kyoto, Sha Tin, Del Mar, Munich, Tokyo, Nakayama, Hanshin, Keeneland and Moonee Valley, there has been a total number of 1 winner from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 9 winners from a total of 99 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 14 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hong Kong Vase:
- Galileo (3 Wins)
- Deep Impact (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Satono Crown in 2016, winning for Noriyuki Hori at odds of 195/10 under the guidance of Joao Moreira. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Hong Kong Vase head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Hong Kong Vase Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.