2021 Hong Kong Sprint Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Nov 19, 3:13pm Last Updated: Nov 19, 3:32pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 26 Views

2021 Hong Kong Sprint Preview

Established in 1999 to be run at the Sha Tin racetrack in December of each year, the Hong Kong Sprint was, at the time, the world's richest race over five furlongs. The distance was altered to the now six furlongs (1,200m) in 2006 after being upgraded to a G1 in 2002. The race is open to runners aged three or older and is one of the four races that make up the Hong Kong International Races.

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Sha Tin Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2011 renewal when Lucky Nine from C Fownes who under the guidance of Brett Prebble, won in a time of 1:08.98, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Beat The Clock, trained by J Size and ridden by Joao Moreira set the quickest time of 1:08.12 in the 2019 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Hong Kong Sprint over the last 10 renewals:

  • 2019 - Beat The Clock (1:08.12)
  • 2013 - Lord Kanaloa (1:08.25)
  • 2017 - Mr Stunning (1:08.40)

How competitive is the Hong Kong Sprint market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Hong Kong Sprint, the over-round has been 123% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Hong Kong Sprint next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +1.10. Before placing your bet on the 2021 Hong Kong Sprint see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Hong Kong Sprint Past Winners

Here are the Hong Kong Sprint past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Hong Kong Sprint as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2020
1:08.45
Danon Smash (JPN)
5yo 9-0 (14 of 14) 218/10
Ryan Moore
Takayuki Yasuda (JPN)
2019
1:08.12
Beat The Clock (AUS)
6yo 9-0 (3 of 12) 11/2
Joao Moreira
J Size (HK)
2018
1:08.85
Mr Stunning (AUS)
6yo 9-0 (9 of 11) 13/5
Karis Teetan
F C Lor (HK)
2017
1:08.40
Mr Stunning (AUS)
5yo 9-0 (4 of 13) 19/20F
Nash Rawiller
J Size (HK)
2016
1:08.80
Aerovelocity (NZ)
8yo 9-0 (2 of 13) 66/10
Zac Purton
P O'Sullivan (HK)
2015
1:08.74
Peniaphobia (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (14 of 13) 5/1
Joao Moreira
A S Cruz (HK)
2014
1:08.57
Aerovelocity (NZ)
6yo 9-0 (7 of 14) 9/2
Zac Purton
P O'Sullivan (HK)
2013
1:08.25
Lord Kanaloa (JPN)
5yo 9-0 (12 of 14) 11/8F
Yasunari Iwata
Takayuki Yasuda (JPN)
2012
1:08.50
Lord Kanaloa (JPN)
4yo 9-0 (6 of 12) 5/1
Yasunari Iwata
Takayuki Yasuda (JPN)
2011
1:08.98
Lucky Nine (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (6 of 14) 67/20
Brett Prebble
C Fownes (HK)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hong Kong Sprint have been based:

  • HK: 7 winners with an additional 18 placings from 87 runners
  • JPN: 3 winners with an additional 1 placing from 19 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Hong Kong Sprint Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Hong Kong Sprint over the last 10 renewals is Takayuki Yasuda who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Lord Kanaloa (2012), Lord Kanaloa (2013) & Danon Smash (2020). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Hong Kong Sprint are J Size (2 wins) & P O'Sullivan (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Hong Kong Sprint, John Moore has sent a total of 15 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Hong Kong Sprint trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Takayuki Yasuda 6-3-3 +25.18 +13.91
J Size 17-2-7 -8.55 -3.91
P O'Sullivan 2-2-2 +11.10 +6.66
C Fownes 7-1-1 -2.65 -3.99
A S Cruz 6-1-3 +0.00 +0.40
F C Lor 4-1-1 -0.40 -1.44
John Moore 15-0-4 -15.00 -8.05
D Cruz 6-0-2 -6.00 +4.70
Richard Gibson 5-0-2 -5.00 -1.68
Edward Lynam 5-0-1 -5.00 -2.90

Hong Kong Sprint Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Hong Kong Sprint over the last 10 renewals with all of Zac Purton, Joao Moreira & Yasunari Iwata having all won the race 2 times. Zac Purton winners have been with Aerovelocity (2014) & Aerovelocity (2016). Joao Moreira winners have been with Peniaphobia (2015) & Beat The Clock (2019). Yasunari Iwata winners have been with Lord Kanaloa (2012) & Lord Kanaloa (2013).

Here are some of the top Hong Kong Sprint jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Zac Purton 9-2-4 +4.10 +1.51
Joao Moreira 8-2-2 +4.50 +0.30
Yasunari Iwata 4-2-3 +4.38 +3.93
Brett Prebble 7-1-2 -2.65 -3.37
Ryan Moore 6-1-2 +16.80 +9.27
Karis Teetan 4-1-2 -0.40 -0.52
Nash Rawiller 2-1-1 -0.05 -0.43
Gerald Mosse 7-0-1 -7.00 -2.10
Douglas Whyte 6-0-2 -6.00 -4.09
Hugh Bowman 5-0-1 -5.00 -3.70

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,4,9,1,2,2,2,1,9,3,7

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (48%) - Carried 122-126lbs (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (49%) - Within first 6 of market
  • 10 / 10 (52%) - Never placed off bigger than 14/1
  • 10 / 10 (52%) - Field of 13-16 (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (55%) - No bigger than 21/1
  • 10 / 10 (61%) - Never won off bigger than 17/2
  • 10 / 10 (61%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (62%) - Had 3-6 placings (Season)
  • 10 / 10 (63%) - Had 2-6 wins (Trip)
  • 10 / 10 (68%) - Horse is a bay
  • 10 / 10 (70%) - Placed with 21-91 days
  • 10 / 10 (72%) - Made 4-22 starts (Career)
  • 10 / 10 (72%) - Had 3-8 placings (1 Year)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - Made 1-3 starts (180 Days)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - Had 2-8 wins (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sha Tin racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Hong Kong Sprint. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Hong Kong Sprint by adding a tip on the race here.

Hong Kong Sprint Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.23 is when runners carried 126lbs when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 1 (G2), when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-32.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2020: Winner in 14 (3,6) [14 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 3 (1,8) [12 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 9 (2,8) [11 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 4 (12,3) [13 Runners]
  • 2016: Winner in 2 (5,1) [13 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Hong Kong Sprint is Sha Tin, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Sha Tin last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Nakayama, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Nakayama last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 121 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hong Kong Sprint:

  • Exceed And Excel (2 Wins)
  • King Kamehameha (2 Wins)
  • Pins (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Hong Kong Sprint, that stallion is Darci Brahma who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Danon Smash in 2020 when winning for Takayuki Yasuda at odds of 218/10 under the guidance of Ryan Moore. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2021 Hong Kong Sprint see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Other Principal races at Sha Tin racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Sha Tin racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in November

Races in December

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