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2021 Hong Kong Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Nov 19, 3:25pm Last Updated: Nov 19, 3:27pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 23 Views

2021 Hong Kong Cup Preview

One of four of the Hong Kong International Races that are run at Sha Tin is the Hong Kong Cup, this Group 1 is run in December of each year and is open to runners aged three or older. Run over a distance of one mile and two furlongs (2,000m) the race was introduced in 1988 and originally ran over one furlong shorter (1,800m).

The race was originally restricted to runners from either Hong Kong, Malaysia or Singapore and then in 1989 horses from both Australia and New Zealand were then invited. The invitations extended further to European trained horses in 1990 and then a year the US-trained horses, finally in 1992 horses from both Canada and Japan were also permitted entry.

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Sha Tin Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 2:00.50 was set by Normcore in 2020, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Kiyoshi Hagiwara and ridden by Zac Purton. The slowest winning time was set in 2011 when California Memory won in a time of 2:04.57, booked to ride was Matthew Chadwick on this A S Cruz trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Hong Kong Cup over the last 10 renewals:

  • 2020 - Normcore (2:00.50)
  • 2019 - Win Bright (2:00.52)
  • 2015 - A Shin Hikari (2:00.60)

How competitive is the Hong Kong Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Hong Kong Cup, the over-round has been 122% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Hong Kong Cup next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 8 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +5.05. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Hong Kong Cup Past Winners

Here are the Hong Kong Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Hong Kong Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2020
2:00.50
Normcore (JPN)
5yo 8-10 (3 of 8) 10/1
Zac Purton
Kiyoshi Hagiwara (JPN)
2019
2:00.52
Win Bright (JPN)
5yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 22/5
Masami Matsuoka
Yoshihiro Hatakeyama (JPN)
2018
2:01.71
Glorious Forever (GB)
4yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 68/10
Silvestre De Sousa
F C Lor (HK)
2017
2:01.63
Time Warp (GB)
4yo 9-0 (5 of 12) 61/20
Zac Purton
A S Cruz (HK)
2016
2:00.95
Maurice (JPN)
5yo 9-0 (8 of 12) 3/4F
Ryan Moore
Noriyuki Hori (JPN)
2015
2:00.60
A Shin Hikari (JPN)
4yo 9-0 (12 of 13) 25/1
Yutaka Take
Masanori Sakaguchi (JPN)
2014
2:01.96
Designs On Rome (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (3 of 12) 7/4F
Joao Moreira
John Moore (HK)
2013
2:01.96
Akeed Mofeed (GB)
4yo 9-0 (1 of 12) 7/2
Douglas Whyte
Richard Gibson (HK)
2012
2:03.09
California Memory (USA)
6yo 9-0 (1 of 11) 9/4F
Matthew Chadwick
A S Cruz (HK)
2011
2:04.57
California Memory (USA)
5yo 9-0 (1 of 10) 69/20
Matthew Chadwick
A S Cruz (HK)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hong Kong Cup have been based:

  • HK: 6 winners with an additional 7 placings from 52 runners
  • JPN: 4 winners with an additional 6 placings from 21 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 11 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 9 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 5 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Hong Kong Cup Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Hong Kong Cup over the last 10 renewals is A S Cruz who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from California Memory (2011), California Memory (2012) & Time Warp (2017).

Here are some of the top Hong Kong Cup trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A S Cruz 16-3-5 -4.25 -5.64
John Moore 14-1-3 -11.25 -9.23
F C Lor 4-1-1 +3.80 +1.08
Masanori Sakaguchi 2-1-1 +24.00 +14.00
Yoshihiro Hatakeyama 2-1-2 +3.40 +3.04
Richard Gibson 2-1-1 +2.50 +1.10
Noriyuki Hori 2-1-2 -0.25 +0.58
Kiyoshi Hagiwara 1-1-1 +10.00 +6.00
C Fownes 6-0-2 -6.00 -4.33
Hideaki Fujiwara 5-0-1 -5.00 -2.80

Hong Kong Cup Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Hong Kong Cup over the last 10 renewals with both Zac Purton & Matthew Chadwick who have both won the race 2 times. Zac Purton winners have been with Time Warp (2017) & Normcore (2020). Matthew Chadwick winners have been with California Memory (2011) & California Memory (2012).

Here are some of the top Hong Kong Cup jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Zac Purton 8-2-5 +7.05 +5.19
Matthew Chadwick 3-2-2 +4.70 +2.42
Ryan Moore 8-1-4 -6.25 -3.67
Joao Moreira 6-1-2 -3.25 -2.82
Yutaka Take 4-1-2 +22.00 +13.90
Douglas Whyte 3-1-1 +1.50 +0.10
Silvestre De Sousa 2-1-1 +5.80 +3.08
Masami Matsuoka 2-1-2 +3.40 +3.04
Gerald Mosse 6-0-0 -6.00 -6.00
Christophe Soumillon 5-0-3 -5.00 -0.70

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,4,1,4,1,13,1,2,2,(3,4),3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (49%) - Furthest place of 1m2f
  • 10 / 10 (57%) - Furthest won over 1m1f - 1m2f
  • 10 / 10 (71%) - Had 1-3 wins (Season)
  • 10 / 10 (71%) - Had 5-14 placings (Career)
  • 10 / 10 (72%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 10 / 10 (72%) - Had 1-5 placings (Trip)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - Had 3-8 wins (Career)
  • 10 / 10 (76%) - Off a break of 21-42 days
  • 10 / 10 (77%) - Ran over 1m2f - 1m3f (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (77%) - Won within last 5 starts
  • 9 / 10 (37%) - Dam either JPN or USA bred

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sha Tin racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Hong Kong Cup. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Hong Kong Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Hong Kong Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +40.10 is when runners were grey in colour. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a furthest trip placed of 1m4f, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-29.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2020: Winner in 3 (8,1) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 8 (2,3) [8 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 1 (2,7) [9 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 5 (3,1) [12 Runners]
  • 2016: Winner in 8 (3,7) [12 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Hong Kong Cup is Sha Tin, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Sha Tin last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Tokyo, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Tokyo last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 9 winners from a total of 96 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 11 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hong Kong Cup:

  • Archipenko (2 Wins)
  • Highest Honor (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest priced winner was A Shin Hikari in 2015 when winning for Masanori Sakaguchi at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Yutaka Take. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Other Principal races at Sha Tin racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Sha Tin racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in November

Races in December

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