Hong Kong Gold Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Hong Kong Triple Crown)

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Hong Kong Gold Cup Preview

Established in 1979, the Hong Kong Gold Cup is the second leg of the Hong Kong Triple Crown with the Stewards Cup coming first and the Champions & Chater Cup following. This Group 1 is open to runners who are aged three or older and is run over a distance of 2,000m (1m2f).

Our dedicated Sha Tin tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Hong Kong Gold Cup but will also have predictions for each meeting at Sha Tin throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Sha Tin Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Hong Kong Gold Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 121%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Hong Kong Gold Cup, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

Hong Kong Gold Cup Trends:

2025 Hong Kong Gold Cup Trends
Hong Kong Gold Cup Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Hong Kong Gold Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -6.35. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks daily.

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:59.97 was set by Time Warp in 2018, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by A S Cruz and ridden by Zac Purton. The slowest winning time was set in 2022 when Russian Emperor won in a time of 2:04.11, booked to ride was Blake Shinn on this Douglas Whyte trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Hong Kong Gold Cup over the last 10 renewals:

Time Warp (1:59.97) in 2018
Golden Sixty (1:59.98) in 2023
Golden Sixty (2:00.25) in 2021

What the expert says...

Considering the Gold Cup is the second leg of the Hong Kong Triple Crown, it is no surprise that most of the winners come from the Stewards Cup (the first leg). Over the last ten renewals, only twice has the winner of the Stewards Cup come here to win this race also, that was Golden Sixty on both occasions in 2021 & 2023, however, in total 6 of the last 10 winners ran in the Stewards Cup last time out. The Centenary Vase winner has twice come here to win with Designs On Rome (2015) and Exultant (2019) with the only other races to provide the winner being the January Cup when Time Warp won in 2020 and the Hong Kong Cup with Romantic Warrior winning in 2024.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Hong Kong Gold Cup Past Winners

Here are the Hong Kong Gold Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Hong Kong Gold Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Drawn)	Info
2024 2:00.31	Romantic Warrior (IRE) 6yo 9-0 (11 of 11) 13/20F	James McDonald C S Shum (HK)
2023 1:59.98	Golden Sixty (AUS) 7yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 13/10	C Y Ho K W Lui (HK)
2022 2:04.11	Russian Emperor (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (9 of 10) 11/2	Blake Shinn Douglas Whyte (HK)
2021 2:00.25	Golden Sixty (AUS) 5yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 7/20F	C Y Ho K W Lui (HK)
2020 2:02.00	Time Warp (GB) 7yo 9-0 (8 of 11) 26/1	Joao Moreira A S Cruz (HK)
2019 2:00.87	Exultant (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (9 of 11) 11/10F	Zac Purton A S Cruz (HK)
2018 1:59.97	Time Warp (GB) 5yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 2/1	Zac Purton A S Cruz (HK)
2017 2:03.78	Werther (NZ) 5yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 1/1F	Hugh Bowman John Moore (HK)
2016 2:01.51	Designs On Rome (IRE) 6yo 9-0 (5 of 11) 69/20	Tommy Berry John Moore (HK)
2015 2:01.57	Designs On Rome (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 17/20F	Joao Moreira John Moore (HK)

Hong Kong Gold Cup Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Hong Kong Gold Cup over the last 10 renewals with both A S Cruz and John Moore who have both won the race three times. A S Cruz winners have been with Time Warp (2018 & 2020) and Exultant (2019). John Moore winners have been with Designs On Rome (2015 & 2016) and Werther (2017). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Hong Kong Gold Cup is K W Lui (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Hong Kong Gold Cup trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
A S Cruz	22-3-8	+10.10	+4.48
John Moore	14-3-5	-5.70	-5.01
K W Lui	5-2-3	-1.35	-1.43
C S Shum	8-1-3	-6.35	-4.79
Douglas Whyte	2-1-2	+4.50	+8.40
C Fownes	9-0-2	-9.00	-1.40
F C Lor	8-0-0	-8.00	-8.00
A T Millard	7-0-0	-7.00	-7.00
J Size	4-0-1	-4.00	-0.40
P F Yiu	3-0-3	-3.00	+6.80

Hong Kong Gold Cup Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Hong Kong Gold Cup over the last 10 renewals with Zac Purton, Joao Moreira and C Y Ho having all won the race two times. Zac Purton winners have been with Time Warp (2018) and Exultant (2019). Joao Moreira's winners have been with Designs On Rome (2015) and Time Warp (2020). C Y Ho winners have been with Golden Sixty (2021 & 2023).

Here are some of the top Hong Kong Gold Cup jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Zac Purton	9-2-5	-3.90	-2.32
Joao Moreira	6-2-6	+22.85	+20.32
C Y Ho	5-2-3	-1.35	-1.43
Tommy Berry	5-1-1	-0.55	-1.93
Hugh Bowman	5-1-2	-3.00	-2.69
Blake Shinn	3-1-1	+3.50	+1.30
James McDonald	2-1-1	-0.35	-0.61
Karis Teetan	8-0-1	-8.00	-7.44
Alexis Badel	6-0-0	-6.00	-6.00
K C Leung	6-0-0	-6.00	-6.00

2025 Hong Kong Gold Cup Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 5, 1, 2, 1, 2, 1, 3, 2, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

10 / 10 (39%) - Had 6 - 17 placings (Non-Hcps)
10 / 10 (40%) - Achieved an RPR of 120+ (Career)
10 / 10 (54%) - Carried 126 - 132lbs (Last Win)
10 / 10 (57%) - Achieved an RPR of 115+ (Trip)
10 / 10 (59%) - Carried 125 - 132lbs (LTO)
10 / 10 (59%) - Achieved an RPR of 108+ (LTO)
10 / 10 (60%) - Achieved an RPR of 114+ (Last 3)
10 / 10 (61%) - No bigger than 26/1
10 / 10 (61%) - Not in a G2/Cl2/Cl5 (Last Win)
10 / 10 (63%) - Made 1 - 2 starts (90 Days)
10 / 10 (64%) - Furthest Won 1m2f - 1m4f
10 / 10 (66%) - Within the first 6 of the market
10 / 10 (67%) - No bigger than 67/5 (Career Win)
10 / 10 (67%) - Highest Placed is G1
10 / 10 (73%) - Highest Won is not G2/LST/Cl2

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sha Tin racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Hong Kong Gold Cup. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Hong Kong Gold Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Hong Kong Gold Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +21.95 is when runners had a USA-bred dam. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-36.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

2024: Winner in 11 (7,1) [11 Runners]
2023: Winner in 4 (6) [7 Runners]
2022: Winner in 9 (3,10) [10 Runners]
2021: Winner in 4 (3) [7 Runners]
2020: Winner in 8 (9,1) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Hong Kong Gold Cup is Sha Tin, there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Sha Tin last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hong Kong Gold Cup:

Archipenko (2 Wins)
Holy Roman Emperor (2 Wins)
Medaglia dOro (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Time Warp in 2020, winning for A S Cruz at odds of 26/1 under the guidance of Joao Moreira. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Hong Kong Gold Cup remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Other Principal races at Sha Tin Racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Sha Tin racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in January (Hong Kong Triple Crown)

Hong Kong Stewards Cup

Races in April

Races in May (Hong Kong Triple Crown)

Champions & Chater Cup

Races in November

Races in December (Hong Kong International Races)

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Hong Kong Gold Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing analyst with over 15 years of experience, delves into the intricacies of international horse racing, meticulously analyzing complex statistical data to uncover hidden trends. He spearheads the creation and management of OLBG's international horse racing trend blogs, providing valuable insights for bettors worldwide.

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