Hong Kong Mile Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Hong Kong International Races)

Get ready for the Hong Kong Mile, run at Sha Tin during the Hong Kong International Races over 1 mile. Here we look back through the race's history, showcasing the most successful trainers and jockeys, and identifying the statistical trends that could help you find the next winner.
Hong Kong Mile Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Hong Kong International Races)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2025 Hong Kong Mile Preview

Scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Sha Tin racecourse is the Hong Kong Mile. This is one of the four races that make up the Hong Kong International Races. This Group 1 is contested by runners aged three or older over a distance of one mile (1,600m).

First run in 1991, the race was originally known as the Hong Kong International Bowl and was run over one furlong shorter (1,400m). The current name and distance were introduced in 1999, and it was upgraded to G1 status in 2000.

Hong Kong Mile Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Sha Tin tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races in Hong Kong section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Hong Kong Mile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Hong Kong Mile, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ123 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Hong Kong Mile Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Hong Kong Mile Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Hong Kong Mile races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Good Ba Ba (1:32.71) in 2008
  2. Admire Mars (1:33.25) in 2019
  3. Voyage Bubble (1:33.34) in 2024

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Hong Kong Mile next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -7.15. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Hong Kong Mile, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:32.71 was set by Good Ba Ba in 2008, trained by A Schutz and ridden by Christophe Soumillon, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2005 when Hat Trick won in a time of 1:34.80 for trainer Katsuhiko Sumii, who booked Olivier Peslier in the saddle.

What the expert says...
The Hong Kong Jockey Club Mile has supplied eleven of the last fourteen winners of this race, with six of those doing the double, Voyage Bubble being the most recent to do so in 2024.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Hong Kong Mile Past Winners

Here are the Hong Kong Mile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Hong Kong Mile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
1:33.34
Voyage Bubble (AUS)
6yo 9-0 (5 of 14) 8/5F
James McDonald
P F Yiu (HK)
2023
1:34.10
Golden Sixty (AUS)
8yo 9-0 (14 of 14) 27/20F
C Y Ho
K W Lui (HK)
2022
1:33.41
California Spangle (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 11/5
Zac Purton
A S Cruz (HK)
2021
1:33.86
Golden Sixty (AUS)
6yo 9-0 (2 of 11) 30/100F
C Y Ho
K W Lui (HK)
2020
1:33.45
Golden Sixty (AUS)
5yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 30/100F
C Y Ho
K W Lui (HK)
2019
1:33.25
Admire Mars (JPN)
3yo 8-13 (4 of 10) 26/1
Christophe Soumillon
Yasuo Tomomichi (JPN)
2018
1:33.52
Beauty Generation (NZ)
6yo 9-0 (12 of 14) 1/2F
Zac Purton
John Moore (HK)
2017
1:33.72
Beauty Generation (NZ)
5yo 9-0 (9 of 14) 74/10
K C Leung
John Moore (HK)
2016
1:33.48
Beauty Only (IRE)
5yo 9-0 (13 of 14) 5/1
Zac Purton
A S Cruz (HK)
2015
1:33.92
Maurice (JPN)
4yo 9-0 (11 of 14) 7/2
Ryan Moore
Noriyuki Hori (JPN)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hong Kong Mile have been based:

  • HK: 15 winners with an additional 27 placings from 138 runners
  • JPN: 3 winners with an additional 6 placings from 41 runners
  • FR: 2 winners with an additional 4 placings from 23 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 26 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 13 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • NZ: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2024 Hong Kong Mile Replay


Hong Kong Mile Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Hong Kong Mile over the last 20 renewals is John Moore, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Able One (2011), Able Friend (2014) and Beauty Generation (2017 & 2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Hong Kong Mile are A S Cruz (3 wins), K W Lui (3 wins) and A Schutz (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Hong Kong Mile trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
John Moore28-4-13+50.57+36.57
A S Cruz27-3-5-7.70-2.39
K W Lui5-3-4-0.05-0.28
A Schutz2-2-2+6.24+3.74
J Size28-1-5-13.00-12.39
C Fownes10-1-5+5.20+13.32
P F Yiu6-1-2-3.40-0.54
Yasuo Tomomichi4-1-3+23.00+19.74
A T Millard4-1-1+0.50-0.90
Noriyuki Hori3-1-2+1.50+1.90

Hong Kong Mile Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Hong Kong Mile over the last 20 renewals is Zac Purton, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Ambitious Dragon (2012), Beauty Only (2016), Beauty Generation (2018) and California Spangle (2022). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Hong Kong Mile are Olivier Doleuze (3 wins), C Y Ho (3 wins) and Christophe Soumillon (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Hong Kong Mile jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Zac Purton13-4-6+2.20+0.11
Olivier Doleuze7-3-4+15.69+8.66
C Y Ho6-3-4-1.05-1.28
Christophe Soumillon10-2-5+21.40+15.63
Ryan Moore12-1-2-7.50-7.96
Douglas Whyte11-1-5+4.00+5.17
Gerald Mosse11-1-2-0.90-2.64
Joao Moreira10-1-4-8.33-6.33
K C Leung6-1-2+2.40+4.24
Olivier Peslier5-1-2+1.50+2.10

Hong Kong Mile Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +56.44, is when runners ran in Hong Kong on debut.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 7f when last winning, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-46.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 5 (10,13) [14 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 14 (8,12) [14 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (4,9) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 2 (5,1) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (6,10) [10 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Hong Kong Mile is Sha Tin; there have been a total of 16 winners of this race who ran at Sha Tin last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 236 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 19 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hong Kong Mile:

  • Lear Fan (3 Wins)
  • Medaglia dOro (3 Wins)
  • Road To Rock (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Hong Kong Mile despite multiple attempts:

  • Deep Impact (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Footstepsinthesand (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Able One in 2011, winning for John Moore at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Jeff Lloyd. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Hong Kong Mile, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.

Route to the Hong Kong Mile

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Hong Kong Mile. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - Voyage Bubble
Sha Tin - 1st of 9 (71/20)
Hong Kong Jockey Club Mile
2023 - Golden Sixty
Sha Tin - 1st of 8 (29/20)
Champions Mile
2022 - California Spangle
Sha Tin - 2nd of 7 (8/5)
Hong Kong Jockey Club Mile
2021 - Golden Sixty
Sha Tin - 1st of 7 (23/20)
Hong Kong Jockey Club Mile
2020 - Golden Sixty
Sha Tin - 1st of 7 (23/20)
Hong Kong Jockey Club Mile
2019 - Admire Mars
Tokyo - 9th of 18 (11/10)
Fuji Stakes
2018 - Beauty Generation
Sha Tin - 1st of 8 (1/2)
Hong Kong Jockey Club Mile
2017 - Beauty Generation
Sha Tin - 3rd of 12 (34/5)
Hong Kong Jockey Club Mile
2016 - Beauty Only
Sha Tin - 1st of 10 (33/10)
Hong Kong Jockey Club Mile
2015 - Maurice
Kyoto - 1st of 18 (57/10)
Mile Championship

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Hong Kong Mile Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing analyst with over 15 years of experience, delves into the intricacies of international horse racing, meticulously analyzing complex statistical data to uncover hidden trends. He spearheads the creation and management of OLBG's international horse racing trend blogs, providing valuable insights for bettors worldwide.

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