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2021 Hong Kong Mile Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Nov 19, 3:14pm Last Updated: Nov 19, 3:30pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 26 Views

2021 Hong Kong Mile Preview

Scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Sha Tin racecourse is the Hong Kong Mile, this is one of the four races that make up the Hong Kong Internation Races. This Group 1 is contested by runners aged three or older over a distance of one mile (1,600m). First run in 1991, the race was originally known as the Hong Kong International Bowl and was run over one furlong shorter (1,400m), the current name and distance were introduced in 1999 and it was upgraded to G1 status in 2000.

We also have a dedicated Sha Tin Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

Over the last 10 renewals, it was the Yasuo Tomomichi trained Admire Mars ridden by Christophe Soumillon who has set the fastest winning time in the Hong Kong Mile, the runner won the race in a time of 1:33.25 that was set when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A T Millard and jockey Zac Purton with Ambitious Dragon who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:34.12 in the 2012 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Hong Kong Mile over the last 10 renewals:

  • 2019 - Admire Mars (1:33.25)
  • 2020 - Golden Sixty (1:33.45)
  • 2016 - Beauty Only (1:33.48)

How competitive is the Hong Kong Mile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Hong Kong Mile, the over-round has been 122% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Hong Kong Mile next time out then you would have back a total of 4 winners. Backing all 10 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.30. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2021 Hong Kong Mile.

Hong Kong Mile Past Winners

Here are the Hong Kong Mile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Hong Kong Mile as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2020
1:33.45
Golden Sixty (AUS)
5yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 30/100F
C Y Ho
K W Lui (HK)
2019
1:33.25
Admire Mars (JPN)
3yo 8-13 (4 of 10) 26/1
Christophe Soumillon
Yasuo Tomomichi (JPN)
2018
1:33.52
Beauty Generation (NZ)
6yo 9-0 (12 of 14) 1/2F
Zac Purton
John Moore (HK)
2017
1:33.72
Beauty Generation (NZ)
5yo 9-0 (9 of 14) 74/10
K C Leung
John Moore (HK)
2016
1:33.48
Beauty Only (IRE)
5yo 9-0 (13 of 14) 5/1
Zac Purton
A S Cruz (HK)
2015
1:33.92
Maurice (JPN)
4yo 9-0 (11 of 14) 7/2
Ryan Moore
Noriyuki Hori (JPN)
2014
1:33.49
Able Friend (AUS)
5yo 9-0 (11 of 10) 4/6F
Joao Moreira
John Moore (HK)
2013
1:33.60
Glorious Days (AUS)
6yo 9-0 (13 of 14) 14/1
Douglas Whyte
J Size (HK)
2012
1:34.12
Ambitious Dragon (NZ)
6yo 9-0 (11 of 12) 7/2
Zac Purton
A T Millard (HK)
2011
1:33.98
Able One (NZ)
9yo 9-0 (7 of 14) 66/1
Jeff Lloyd
John Moore (HK)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hong Kong Mile have been based:

  • HK: 8 winners with an additional 16 placings from 71 runners
  • JPN: 2 winners with an additional 3 placings from 22 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 12 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 9 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 7 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • NZ: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Hong Kong Mile Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Hong Kong Mile over the last 10 renewals is John Moore who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Able One (2011), Able Friend (2014), Beauty Generation (2017) & Beauty Generation (2018).

Here are some of the top Hong Kong Mile trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
John Moore 21-4-11 +57.57 +40.78
J Size 15-1-4 +0.00 -0.01
A S Cruz 12-1-1 -6.00 -8.00
A T Millard 4-1-1 +0.50 -0.90
Yasuo Tomomichi 3-1-3 +24.00 +20.74
Noriyuki Hori 2-1-1 +2.50 +1.10
K W Lui 1-1-1 +0.30 +0.18
Yasutoshi Ikee 5-0-0 -5.00 -5.00
C Fownes 4-0-3 -4.00 +6.00
Richard Gibson 4-0-3 -4.00 +0.80

Hong Kong Mile Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Hong Kong Mile over the last 10 renewals is Zac Purton who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Ambitious Dragon (2012), Beauty Only (2016) & Beauty Generation (2018).

Here are some of the top Hong Kong Mile jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Zac Purton 8-3-4 +4.00 +1.09
Joao Moreira 7-1-3 -5.33 -4.19
Ryan Moore 6-1-2 -1.50 -1.96
Douglas Whyte 5-1-4 +10.00 +10.55
Christophe Soumillon 4-1-2 +23.00 +15.60
K C Leung 3-1-1 +5.40 +2.44
C Y Ho 2-1-1 -0.70 -0.82
Jeff Lloyd 1-1-1 +66.00 +39.60
Gerald Mosse 6-0-1 -6.00 -4.10
Brett Prebble 4-0-1 -4.00 -1.90

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,2,6,1,3,6,4,1,(3,7),1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (56%) - Had 2-6 wins (Trip)
  • 10 / 10 (57%) - Had 3-8 placings (Trip)
  • 10 / 10 (58%) - Ran over 1m (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (59%) - Debut no in ENG, FR or IRE
  • 10 / 10 (59%) - Carried 121-127lbs (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (66%) - Fewer than 3 starts (180 days)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - Either a colt or gelding
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - Had 1-5 wins (Hcp Type)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - No bigger than 17/2 (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (74%) - Made 4-18 starts (Hcp Type)
  • 10 / 10 (75%) - Never placed off 33/1+
  • 10 / 10 (77%) - Field of 7-14 (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (79%) - Had 3-13 wins (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sha Tin racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Hong Kong Mile. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races which are you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Hong Kong Mile by adding a tip on the race here.

Hong Kong Mile Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +65.87 is when runners ran over 1m when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career win over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-33.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2020: Winner in 7 (6,10) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (10,5) [10 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 12 (7,10) [14 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 9 (7,2) [14 Runners]
  • 2016: Winner in 13 (5,11) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Hong Kong Mile is Sha Tin, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Sha Tin last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 115 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 11 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hong Kong Mile, that stallion is Road To Rock who has produced 2 winners (2018,2017).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Hong Kong Mile despite multiple attempts:

  • Deep Impact (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Footstepsinthesand (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Able One in 2011 when winning for John Moore at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Jeff Lloyd. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2021 Hong Kong Mile remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Other Principal races at Sha Tin racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Sha Tin racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in November

Races in December

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