Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Hong Kong Mile Preview
Scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Sha Tin racecourse is the Hong Kong Mile, this is one of the four races that make up the Hong Kong Internation Races. This Group 1 is contested by runners aged three or older over a distance of one mile (1,600m).
First run in 1991, the race was originally known as the Hong Kong International Bowl and was run over one furlong shorter (1,400m), the current name and distance were introduced in 1999 and it was upgraded to G1 status in 2000.
Hong Kong Mile Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Sha Tin tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races in Hong Kong section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Hong Kong Mile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2024 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Hong Kong Mile, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Hong Kong Mile Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Hong Kong Mile Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Hong Kong Mile over the last 10 renewals:
- Admire Mars (1:33.25) in 2019
- Voyage Bubble (1:33.34) in 2024
- California Spangle (1:33.41) in 2022
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Hong Kong Mile next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.55. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Hong Kong Mile see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Golden Sixty from K W Lui under the guidance of C Y Ho, won in a time of 1:34.10, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Admire Mars, trained by Yasuo Tomomichi and ridden by Christophe Soumillon set the quickest time of 1:33.25 in the 2019 renewal.
Hong Kong Mile Past Winners
Here are the Hong Kong Mile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Hong Kong Mile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:33.34 | Voyage Bubble (AUS) 6yo 9-0 (5 of 14) 8/5F | James McDonald P F Yiu (HK) |
| 2023 1:34.10 | Golden Sixty (AUS) 8yo 9-0 (14 of 14) 27/20F | C Y Ho K W Lui (HK) |
| 2022 1:33.41 | California Spangle (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 11/5 | Zac Purton A S Cruz (HK) |
| 2021 1:33.86 | Golden Sixty (AUS) 6yo 9-0 (2 of 11) 30/100F | C Y Ho K W Lui (HK) |
| 2020 1:33.45 | Golden Sixty (AUS) 5yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 30/100F | C Y Ho K W Lui (HK) |
| 2019 1:33.25 | Admire Mars (JPN) 3yo 8-13 (4 of 10) 26/1 | Christophe Soumillon Yasuo Tomomichi (JPN) |
| 2018 1:33.52 | Beauty Generation (NZ) 6yo 9-0 (12 of 14) 1/2F | Zac Purton John Moore (HK) |
| 2017 1:33.72 | Beauty Generation (NZ) 5yo 9-0 (9 of 14) 74/10 | K C Leung John Moore (HK) |
| 2016 1:33.48 | Beauty Only (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (13 of 14) 5/1 | Zac Purton A S Cruz (HK) |
| 2015 1:33.92 | Maurice (JPN) 4yo 9-0 (11 of 14) 7/2 | Ryan Moore Noriyuki Hori (JPN) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hong Kong Mile have been based:
- HK: 8 winners with an additional 14 placings from 71 runners
- JPN: 2 winners with an additional 5 placings from 28 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 7 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
- SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Hong Kong Mile Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Hong Kong Mile over the last 10 renewals is K W Lui who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Golden Sixty (2020, 2021 & 2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Hong Kong Mile are A S Cruz (2 wins) and John Moore (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Hong Kong Mile, J Size has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Hong Kong Mile trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| K W Lui | 5-3-4 | -0.05 | -0.28 |
| A S Cruz | 14-2-3 | -4.80 | +2.82 |
| John Moore | 11-2-7 | -1.10 | +1.03 |
| P F Yiu | 5-1-2 | -2.40 | +0.46 |
| Yasuo Tomomichi | 4-1-3 | +23.00 | +19.74 |
| Noriyuki Hori | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +1.90 |
| J Size | 17-0-2 | -17.00 | -12.21 |
| Yasutoshi Ikee | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -5.14 |
| A P O'Brien | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
| C Fownes | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | +4.90 |
Hong Kong Mile Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Hong Kong Mile over the last 10 renewals with both Zac Purton and C Y Ho who have both won the race three times. Zac Purton winners have been with Beauty Only (2016), Beauty Generation (2018) and California Spangle (2022). C Y Ho winners have been with Golden Sixty (2020, 2021 & 2023).
Here are some of the top Hong Kong Mile jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Purton | 8-3-4 | +2.70 | +0.31 |
| C Y Ho | 6-3-4 | -1.05 | -1.28 |
| Ryan Moore | 9-1-2 | -4.50 | -4.96 |
| K C Leung | 6-1-2 | +2.40 | +4.24 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 5-1-2 | +22.00 | +14.60 |
| James McDonald | 4-1-3 | -1.40 | +7.36 |
| Joao Moreira | 9-0-3 | -9.00 | -6.73 |
| Hugh Bowman | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -5.01 |
| Karis Teetan | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -1.50 |
| Alexis Badel | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
2025 Hong Kong Mile Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 6, 4, 1, (3, 7), 1, 1, 2, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 10 / 10 (40%) - No bigger than 29/5 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (41%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 10 / 10 (47%) - Had 2 - 7 wins (1 Year)
- 10 / 10 (49%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 10 / 10 (56%) - Carried 121 - 126lbs (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (57%) - Not in a G1/LST/Cl3-5 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (60%) - No bigger than 26/1
- 10 / 10 (60%) - Ran over 1m - 1m (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (61%) - Not on HY/SFT/GS/GF/STD (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (61%) - Not in ENG/FRA/IRL/SCO/SGP/ZAF/WAL (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (65%) - No bigger than 45/1 (Career)
- 10 / 10 (66%) - Fewer than 4 races (180 Days)
- 10 / 10 (70%) - Had 3 - 9 placings (1 Year)
- 10 / 10 (73%) - Furthest ran 1m2f - 1m4f
- 10 / 10 (79%) - Sex is not Filly/Horse/Mare
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sha Tin racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Hong Kong Mile. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Hong Kong Mile by adding a tip on the race here.
Hong Kong Mile Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.40 is when runners had 3 places in the past 90 days.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 win in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-42.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 5 (10,13) [14 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 14 (8,12) [14 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (4,9) [9 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (5,1) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 7 (6,10) [10 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Hong Kong Mile is Sha Tin, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Sha Tin last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 116 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 8 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hong Kong Mile:
- Medaglia dOro (3 Wins)
- Road To Rock (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Hong Kong Mile, that stallion is Deep Impact who has failed to produce a winner from 7 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Admire Mars in 2019, winning for Yasuo Tomomichi at odds of 26/1 under the guidance of Christophe Soumillon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Hong Kong Mile Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
