QEII Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 QEII Cup Preview

The QEII Cup (Queen Elizabeth II Cup) was created in 1975 to commemorate when Queen Elizabeth II and Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh visited Hong Kong and was initially held at the Happy Valley Racecourse.

This Group 1 is now held at the Sha Tin Racecourse in either late April or early May and is contested over 2,000m (1m2f) by runners aged three or older.

If you are interested in other predictions at Sha Tin then head over to the Sha Tin tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Sha Tin Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the QEII Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 121%. The race in 2021 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the QEII Cup, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

QEII Cup Trends:

2024 QEII Cup Trends
QEII Cup Trend Analysis
QEII Cup Trend Shortlist

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the QEII Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 10 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.60. Whilst we wait for the 2024 QEII Cup remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:58.81 was set by Win Bright in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Yoshihiro Hatakeyama and ridden by Masami Matsuoka. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Neorealism won in a time of 2:04.59, booked to ride was Joao Moreira by the trainer Noriyuki Hori.

These are the top three quickest-run QEII Cup over the last 10 renewals:

Win Bright (1:58.81) in 2019
Exultant (2:00.00) in 2020
Romantic Warrior (2:00.13) in 2022

QEII Cup Past Winners

Here are the QEII Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the QEII Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Drawn)	Info
2023 2:01.92	Romantic Warrior (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 13/20F	James McDonald C S Shum (HK)
2022 2:00.13	Romantic Warrior (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (4 of 10) 4/5F	Karis Teetan C S Shum (HK)
2021 2:01.22	Loves Only You (JPN) 5yo 8-10 (5 of 7) 48/10	C Y Ho Yoshito Yahagi (JPN)
2020 2:00.00	Exultant (IRE) 6yo 9-0 (5 of 7) 11/20F	Zac Purton A S Cruz (HK)
2019 1:58.81	Win Bright (JPN) 5yo 9-0 (1 of 13) 47/1	Masami Matsuoka Yoshihiro Hatakeyama (JPN)
2018 2:00.21	Pakistan Star (GER) 5yo 9-0 (1 of 8) 77/20	William Buick A S Cruz (HK)
2017 2:04.59	Neorealism (JPN) 6yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 7/2	Joao Moreira Noriyuki Hori (JPN)
2016 2:01.32	Werther (NZ) 4yo 9-0 (5 of 13) 91/20	Hugh Bowman John Moore (HK)
2015 2:02.89	Blazing Speed (GB) 6yo 9-0 (8 of 12) 142/10	Neil Callan A S Cruz (HK)
2014 2:01.06	Designs On Rome (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (5 of 10) 6/5F	Tommy Berry John Moore (HK)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the QEII Cup have been based:

HK: 7 winners with an additional 11 placings from 63 runners
JPN: 3 winners with an additional 4 placings from 19 runners
AUS: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
SAF: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

QEII Cup Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the QEII Cup over the last 10 renewals is A S Cruz who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Blazing Speed (2015), Pakistan Star (2018) and Exultant (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the QEII Cup is C S Shum (2 wins).

Here are the QEII Cup trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
A S Cruz	18-3-8	+3.60	+5.36
C S Shum	5-2-3	-1.55	+0.39
Noriyuki Hori	2-1-1	+2.50	+1.10
C Fownes	5-0-1	-5.00	+2.50
F C Lor	5-0-0	-5.00	-5.00
Mitsumasa Nakauchida	1-0-1	-1.00	+0.33
C H Yip	1-0-0	-1.00	-1.00
William Haggas	1-0-0	-1.00	-1.00

QEII Cup Jockey Statistics

Here are the QEII Cup jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Zac Purton	9-1-3	-7.45	-5.67
C Y Ho	4-1-1	+1.80	+0.00
James McDonald	2-1-1	-0.35	-0.59
K C Leung	3-0-0	-3.00	-3.00
Alexis Badel	2-0-1	-2.00	+0.50
Damian Lane	1-0-0	-1.00	-1.00
Tom Marquand	1-0-0	-1.00	-1.00

2024 QEII Cup Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 4, 3, 8, 2, 1, 3, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

10 / 10 (55%) - Beaten no more -2¼l (LTO)
10 / 10 (72%) - Made 3 - 16 starts (Non-Hcps)
10 / 10 (72%) - Made 7 - 27 starts (Career)
10 / 10 (72%) - Made 3 - 6 starts (180 Days)
10 / 10 (73%) - No bigger than 171/10 (Debut)
10 / 10 (74%) - Not in AUS/CHL/FRA/ITA/NZL/ZAF/WAL (Debut)
10 / 10 (75%) - Not in a G1/LST/Cl4 (Debut)
10 / 10 (76%) - No bigger than 47/1
10 / 10 (76%) - No bigger than 37/5 (Last Win)
10 / 10 (77%) - Dam is not ARG/FR/GB/NZ/SAF bred
10 / 10 (78%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
10 / 10 (80%) - Is not AUS/CHI/FR/SAF/USA bred
10 / 10 (83%) - No more than +2yrs (Vs Min Age)
10 / 10 (84%) - Not on SFT/GS/STD (Last Win)
10 / 10 (84%) - In a field of 7 - 14 (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sha Tin racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the QEII Cup. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the QEII Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

QEII Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +50.90 is when runners had 2 wins in the past year. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 place in the past 180 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-22.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

2023: Winner in 4 (3) [7 Runners]
2022: Winner in 4 (2,7) [10 Runners]
2021: Winner in 5 (7) [7 Runners]
2020: Winner in 5 (1) [7 Runners]
2019: Winner in 1 (6,4) [13 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the QEII Cup is Sha Tin, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Sha Tin last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 9 winners from a total of 88 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 7 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the QEII Cup, that stallion Acclamation has produced 2 winners (2023,2022).

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the QEII Cup, that stallion is Archipenko who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Win Bright in 2019, winning for Yoshihiro Hatakeyama at odds of 47/1 under the guidance of Masami Matsuoka. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 QEII Cup. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

QEII Cup Trend Shortlist

Sha Tin will host the 2024 renewal of the QEII Cup which will be run at 9:40 am on Sunday 28th April 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

15/15 Five G Patch (33/1)
- A S Cruz (18-3-8 +3.60 / +5.36)
- Brenton Avdulla (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
14/15 Romantic Warrior (6/4)
- C S Shum (5-2-3 -1.55 / +0.39)
- James McDonald (2-1-1 -0.35 / -0.59)

Others: Massive Sovereign (13/15), Prognosis (13/15), Happy Together (12/15), North Bridge (12/15), Dubai Honour (11/15), Nimble Nimbus (11/15), Hishi Iguazu (10/15), Sword Point (10/15) and Straight Arron (9/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (11:59 am Thursday 25th April 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.

QEII Cup Scoring Trends

If you want a more in-depth way of using the QEII Cup trends from previous renewals then the scoring trends may be the ones for you, these are calculated by looking at over 100 factors including aspects of breeding, horse factors, things like runs, wins and places during their career, under certain circumstances like over the trip or on the ground and many more.

Using all of this information we can assign each horse a score based on how past runners in the QEII Cup performed when running under the same factors, we assign 80% of the score for the win statistics and 20% of the score for place statistics. Here are the top two scoring runners in the 2024 QEII Cup based on the information above, why not compare those to what the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping?

Here are the top 3 scorers at the time of posting (11:59 am Thursday 25th April 2024):

🥇 Massive Sovereign (4/1)
- C H Yip (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
- Zac Purton (9-1-3 -7.45 / -5.67)
🥈 Romantic Warrior (6/4)
- C S Shum (5-2-3 -1.55 / +0.39)
- James McDonald (2-1-1 -0.35 / -0.59)
🥉 Prognosis (3/1)
- Mitsumasa Nakauchida (1-0-1 -1.00 / +0.33)
- Yuga Kawada (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)

Others: Nimble Nimbus, North Bridge, Straight Arron, Hishi Iguazu, Dubai Honour, Happy Together, Five G Patch and Sword Point.

Other Principal races at Sha Tin Racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Sha Tin racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in January (Hong Kong Triple Crown)

Hong Kong Stewards Cup

Races in February (Hong Kong Triple Crown)

Hong Kong Gold Cup

Races in April

Races in May (Hong Kong Triple Crown)

Champions & Chater Cup

Races in November

Races in December (Hong Kong International Races)

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this QEII Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing analyst with over 15 years of experience, delves into the intricacies of international horse racing, meticulously analyzing complex statistical data to uncover hidden trends. He spearheads the creation and management of OLBG's international horse racing trend blogs, providing valuable insights for bettors worldwide.

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