Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 QEII Cup Preview
The QEII Cup (Queen Elizabeth II Cup) was created in 1975 to commemorate when Queen Elizabeth II and Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh visited Hong Kong and was initially held at the Happy Valley Racecourse.
This Group 1 is now held at the Sha Tin Racecourse in either late April or early May and is contested over 2,000m (1m2f) by runners aged three or older.
QEII Cup Information:
We also have a dedicated Sha Tin tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races in Hong Kong section for links to these.
How competitive is the QEII Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 121%. The race in 2021 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the QEII Cup, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.
QEII Cup Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the QEII Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.60. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 QEII Cup.
When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:58.81 was set by Win Bright in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Yoshihiro Hatakeyama and ridden by Masami Matsuoka. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Neorealism won in a time of 2:04.59, booked to ride was Joao Moreira by the trainer Noriyuki Hori.
These are the top three quickest-run QEII Cup over the last 10 renewals:
- Win Bright (1:58.81) in 2019
- Exultant (2:00.00) in 2020
- Romantic Warrior (2:00.13) in 2022
QEII Cup Past Winners
Here are the QEII Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the QEII Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:01.02 | Romantic Warrior (IRE) 6yo 9-0 (10 of 11) 9/10F | James McDonald C S Shum (HK) |
| 2023 2:01.92 | Romantic Warrior (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 13/20F | James McDonald C S Shum (HK) |
| 2022 2:00.13 | Romantic Warrior (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (4 of 10) 4/5F | Karis Teetan C S Shum (HK) |
| 2021 2:01.22 | Loves Only You (JPN) 5yo 8-10 (5 of 7) 48/10 | C Y Ho Yoshito Yahagi (JPN) |
| 2020 2:00.00 | Exultant (IRE) 6yo 9-0 (5 of 7) 11/20F | Zac Purton A S Cruz (HK) |
| 2019 1:58.81 | Win Bright (JPN) 5yo 9-0 (1 of 13) 47/1 | Masami Matsuoka Yoshihiro Hatakeyama (JPN) |
| 2018 2:00.21 | Pakistan Star (GER) 5yo 9-0 (1 of 8) 77/20 | William Buick A S Cruz (HK) |
| 2017 2:04.59 | Neorealism (JPN) 6yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 7/2 | Joao Moreira Noriyuki Hori (JPN) |
| 2016 2:01.32 | Werther (NZ) 4yo 9-0 (5 of 13) 91/20 | Hugh Bowman John Moore (HK) |
| 2015 2:02.89 | Blazing Speed (GB) 6yo 9-0 (8 of 12) 142/10 | Neil Callan A S Cruz (HK) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the QEII Cup have been based:
- HK: 7 winners with an additional 10 placings from 64 runners
- JPN: 3 winners with an additional 6 placings from 20 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
QEII Cup Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the QEII Cup over the last 10 renewals with both A S Cruz and C S Shum who have both won the race three times. A S Cruz winners have been with Blazing Speed (2015), Pakistan Star (2018) and Exultant (2020). C S Shum winners have been with Romantic Warrior (2022, 2023 & 2024).
Here are some of the top QEII Cup trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A S Cruz | 19-3-8 | +2.60 | +4.36 |
| C S Shum | 6-3-4 | -0.65 | +0.93 |
| John Moore | 11-1-3 | -5.45 | -4.07 |
| Noriyuki Hori | 3-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.10 |
| Yoshito Yahagi | 2-1-2 | +3.80 | +2.85 |
| Yoshihiro Hatakeyama | 1-1-1 | +47.00 | +28.20 |
| F C Lor | 7-0-0 | -7.00 | -7.00 |
| C Fownes | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | +2.50 |
| A T Millard | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | +3.80 |
| J Size | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
QEII Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the QEII Cup over the last 10 renewals is James McDonald who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Romantic Warrior (2023 & 2024).
Here are some of the top QEII Cup jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| James McDonald | 3-2-2 | +0.55 | -0.05 |
| Zac Purton | 9-1-3 | -7.45 | -5.67 |
| Joao Moreira | 8-1-1 | -3.50 | -4.90 |
| Karis Teetan | 7-1-3 | -5.20 | -3.41 |
| C Y Ho | 5-1-1 | +0.80 | -1.00 |
| Neil Callan | 4-1-2 | +11.20 | +8.42 |
| Hugh Bowman | 4-1-2 | +1.55 | +0.33 |
| Masami Matsuoka | 1-1-1 | +47.00 | +28.20 |
| William Buick | 1-1-1 | +3.85 | +2.31 |
| Brett Prebble | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -1.40 |
2025 QEII Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 4, 3, 8, 2, 1, 3, 1, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 10 / 10 (53%) - Beaten no more -2¼l (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (71%) - Ran in 3 - 16 races (Non-Hcps)
- 10 / 10 (72%) - Ran in 7 - 27 races (Career)
- 10 / 10 (75%) - No bigger than 171/10 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (75%) - No bigger than 47/1
- 10 / 10 (75%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Not in AUS/CHL/FRA/NZL/ZAF/WAL (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Dam is not ARG/FR/GB/NZ/SAF bred
- 10 / 10 (76%) - No bigger than 37/5 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - Not in a G1/Cl4 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (80%) - Ran in 2 - 6 races (180 Days)
- 10 / 10 (81%) - Is not AUS/CHI/FR/SAF/USA bred
- 10 / 10 (82%) - No more than +2yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Not on SFT/GS/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - In a field of 7 - 14 (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sha Tin racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the QEII Cup. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the QEII Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
QEII Cup Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +52.90 is when runners had 2 wins in the past year. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 place in the past 180 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 10 (5,3) [11 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (3) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 (2,7) [10 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 5 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 5 (1) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the QEII Cup is Sha Tin, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Sha Tin last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 9 winners from a total of 89 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 7 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the QEII Cup, that stallion Acclamation has produced 3 winners (2024,2023,2022).
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the QEII Cup, that stallion is Archipenko who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Win Bright in 2019, winning for Yoshihiro Hatakeyama at odds of 47/1 under the guidance of Masami Matsuoka. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 QEII Cup. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Other Principal Races in Hong Kong
Here are some other notable races throughout Hong Kong which take place during the racing season that we also have blogs for.
Races at Happy Valley Racecourse
Races at Sha Tin Racecourse
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this QEII Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
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