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2025 Tenno Sho (Autumn) Preview
Scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Tokyo racecourse is the Autumn Tenno Sho (天皇賞). There are two versions of this race, this one and one which is run in the Spring at Kyoto.
This G1 was inaugurated in 1937 with Happy Might winning the first-ever race; it is contested over a distance of 2,000m (1m2f) on the turf for runners aged three or older.
Along with the Japan Cup and the Arima Kinen, this is considered the first leg of the Japanese Autumn Triple Crown.
Tenno Sho (Autumn) Information:
- Tenno Sho (Autumn) Past Winners
- Tenno Sho (Autumn) Trainer Statistics
- Tenno Sho (Autumn) Jockey Statistics
You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races in Japan section for links to these.
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How competitive is the Tenno Sho (Autumn) market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 126%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Tenno Sho (Autumn), the over-round has been 127%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £127 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Tenno Sho (Autumn) Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Tenno Sho (Autumn) Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Tenno Sho (Autumn) races over the last 10 renewals:
- Equinox (1:55.20) in 2023
- Almond Eye (1:56.20) in 2019
- Rey De Oro (1:56.80) in 2018
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 10 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Tenno Sho (Autumn) next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 10 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +1.95. Remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2017 renewal when Kitasan Black from Hisashi Shimizu under the guidance of Yutaka Take, won in a time of 2:08.30, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Equinox, trained by Tetsuya Kimura and ridden by Christophe-Patrice Lemaire set the quickest time of 1:55.20 in the 2023 renewal.
Tenno Sho (Autumn) Past Winners
Here are the Tenno Sho (Autumn) past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Tenno Sho (Autumn) are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:57.30 | Do Deuce (JPN) 5yo 9-2 (7 of 15) 14/5 | Yutaka Take Yasuo Tomomichi (JPN) |
| 2023 1:55.20 | Equinox (JPN) 4yo 9-2 (7 of 11) 30/100F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Tetsuya Kimura (JPN) |
| 2022 1:57.50 | Equinox (JPN) 3yo 8-11 (7 of 15) 8/5F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Tetsuya Kimura (JPN) |
| 2021 1:57.90 | Efforia (JPN) 3yo 8-11 (5 of 16) 12/5 | Takeshi Yokoyama Yuichi Shikato (JPN) |
| 2020 1:57.80 | Almond Eye (JPN) 5yo 8-11 (9 of 12) 2/5F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Sakae Kunieda (JPN) |
| 2019 1:56.20 | Almond Eye (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (2 of 16) 3/5F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Sakae Kunieda (JPN) |
| 2018 1:56.80 | Rey De Oro (JPN) 4yo 9-2 (4 of 12) 21/10 | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Kazuo Fujisawa (JPN) |
| 2017 2:08.30 | Kitasan Black (JPN) 5yo 9-2 (7 of 18) 21/10F | Yutaka Take Hisashi Shimizu (JPN) |
| 2016 1:59.30 | Maurice (JPN) 5yo 9-2 (8 of 15) 13/5F | Ryan Moore Noriyuki Hori (JPN) |
| 2015 1:58.40 | Lovely Day (JPN) 5yo 9-2 (8 of 18) 12/5F | Suguru Hamanaka Yasutoshi Ikee (JPN) |
2024 Tenno Sho (Autumn) Replay
Tenno Sho (Autumn) Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Tenno Sho (Autumn) over the last 10 renewals, with both Tetsuya Kimura and Sakae Kunieda, who have both won the race two times. Tetsuya Kimura winners have been with Equinox (2022 & 2023). Sakae Kunieda winners have been with Almond Eye (2019 & 2020).
Here are some of the top Tenno Sho (Autumn) trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tetsuya Kimura | 3-2-2 | +0.90 | +0.14 |
| Sakae Kunieda | 3-2-2 | +0.00 | -0.46 |
| Yasuo Tomomichi | 12-1-1 | -8.20 | -9.32 |
| Noriyuki Hori | 12-1-4 | -8.40 | -2.01 |
| Yasutoshi Ikee | 8-1-1 | -4.60 | -5.80 |
| Kazuo Fujisawa | 7-1-2 | -3.90 | -4.24 |
| Yuichi Shikato | 1-1-1 | +2.40 | +1.20 |
| Hisashi Shimizu | 1-1-1 | +2.10 | +1.05 |
| Kazuya Nakatake | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -5.32 |
| Hidetaka Otonashi | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
Tenno Sho (Autumn) Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Tenno Sho (Autumn) over the last 10 renewals is Christophe-Patrice Lemaire, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Rey De Oro (2018), Almond Eye (2019 & 2020) and Equinox (2022 & 2023). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Tenno Sho (Autumn) is Yutaka Take (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Tenno Sho (Autumn) jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | 10-5-6 | +0.00 | -1.56 |
| Yutaka Take | 8-2-2 | -1.10 | -3.27 |
| Takeshi Yokoyama | 3-1-2 | +0.40 | +3.10 |
| Ryan Moore | 1-1-1 | +2.60 | +1.56 |
| Suguru Hamanaka | 1-1-1 | +2.40 | +1.20 |
| Yuga Kawada | 9-0-5 | -9.00 | -2.63 |
| Yasunari Iwata | 9-0-1 | -9.00 | -8.50 |
| Norihiro Yokoyama | 8-0-0 | -8.00 | -8.00 |
| Yuichi Fukunaga | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -4.36 |
| Mirco Demuro | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -4.80 |
2025 Tenno Sho (Autumn) Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 10, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 13
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 10 / 10 (10%) - No bigger than 14/5
- 10 / 10 (20%) - Within the first 3 of the market
- 10 / 10 (23%) - No bigger than 14/5 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (43%) - Achieved an RPR of 118+ (Last 3)
- 10 / 10 (51%) - No bigger than 21/5 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (59%) - Had 1 - 5 wins (1 Year)
- 10 / 10 (60%) - No bigger than 78/5 (Career Place)
- 10 / 10 (61%) - Highest Placed is G1
- 10 / 10 (63%) - Won within last 4 starts
- 10 / 10 (66%) - Had 1 - 6 placings (Course)
- 10 / 10 (66%) - Ran in 2 - 6 races (Course)
- 10 / 10 (72%) - No older than a 5yo
- 10 / 10 (75%) - Beaten no more -2½l (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 10 / 10 (88%) - Break of 20 - 307 days (Last Place)
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Tenno Sho (Autumn) Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +7.00, is when runners were 1st in the betting market.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 wins in the past year, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-60.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 7 (4,9) [15 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (6,9) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 7 (3,5) [15 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 5 (1,9) [16 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 9 (6,7) [12 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Tenno Sho (Autumn) is Tokyo; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Tokyo last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 8 winners from a total of 133 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 15 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Tenno Sho (Autumn):
- King Kamehameha (2 Wins)
- Kitasan Black (2 Wins)
- Lord Kanaloa (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Tenno Sho (Autumn) despite multiple attempts:
- Deep Impact (0 Wins from 50 runners)
- Maurice (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Do Deuce in 2024, winning for Yasuo Tomomichi at odds of 14/5 under the guidance of Yutaka Take. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the Tenno Sho (Autumn)
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Tenno Sho (Autumn). These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Do Deuce Kyoto - 6th of 13 (23/10) | Takarazuka Kinen |
| 2023 - Equinox Hanshin - 1st of 17 (3/10) | Takarazuka Kinen |
| 2022 - Equinox Tokyo - 2nd of 18 (19/5) | Tokyo Yushun |
| 2021 - Efforia Tokyo - 2nd of 17 (17/10) | Tokyo Yushun |
| 2020 - Almond Eye Tokyo - 2nd of 14 (3/10) | Yasuda Kinen |
| 2019 - Almond Eye Tokyo - 3rd of 16 (17/10) | Yasuda Kinen |
| 2018 - Rey De Oro Nakayama - 1st of 12 (1/1) | Sankei Sho All Comers |
| 2017 - Kitasan Black Hanshin - 9th of 11 (2/5) | Takarazuka Kinen |
| 2016 - Maurice Sapporo - 2nd of 16 (8/5) | Sapporo Kinen |
| 2015 - Lovely Day Kyoto - 1st of 10 (31/10) | Kyoto Daishoten |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Tenno Sho (Autumn) Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
