Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Tenno Sho (Autumn) Preview
Scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Tokyo racecourse is the Autumn Tenno Sho (天皇賞), there are two versions of this race, this one and one which is run in the Spring at Kyoto.
This G1 was inaugurated in 1937 with Happy Might winning the first-ever race, it is contested over a distance of 2,000m (1m2f) on the turf for runners aged three or older.
Along with the Japan Cup and the Arima Kinen, this is considered the first leg of the Japanese Autumn Triple Crown.
Tenno Sho (Autumn) Information:
- Tenno Sho (Autumn) Past Winners
- Tenno Sho (Autumn) Trainer Statistics
- Tenno Sho (Autumn) Jockey Statistics
You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races in Japan section for links to these.
How competitive is the Tenno Sho (Autumn) market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 126%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Tenno Sho (Autumn), the over-round has been 127%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £127 which is bet.
Tenno Sho (Autumn) Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Tenno Sho (Autumn) next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.65. Why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:55.20 was set by Equinox in 2023, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Tetsuya Kimura and ridden by Christophe-Patrice Lemaire. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Kitasan Black won in a time of 2:08.30, booked to ride was Yutaka Take by the trainer Hisashi Shimizu.
These are the top three quickest-run Tenno Sho (Autumn) over the last 10 renewals:
- Equinox (1:55.20) in 2023
- Almond Eye (1:56.20) in 2019
- Rey De Oro (1:56.80) in 2018
Tenno Sho (Autumn) Past Winners
Here are the Tenno Sho (Autumn) past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Tenno Sho (Autumn) are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:57.30 | Do Deuce (JPN) 5yo 9-2 (7 of 15) 14/5 | Yutaka Take Yasuo Tomomichi (JPN) |
| 2023 1:55.20 | Equinox (JPN) 4yo 9-2 (7 of 11) 30/100F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Tetsuya Kimura (JPN) |
| 2022 1:57.50 | Equinox (JPN) 3yo 8-11 (7 of 15) 8/5F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Tetsuya Kimura (JPN) |
| 2021 1:57.90 | Efforia (JPN) 3yo 8-11 (5 of 16) 12/5 | Takeshi Yokoyama Yuichi Shikato (JPN) |
| 2020 1:57.80 | Almond Eye (JPN) 5yo 8-11 (9 of 12) 2/5F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Sakae Kunieda (JPN) |
| 2019 1:56.20 | Almond Eye (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (2 of 16) 3/5F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Sakae Kunieda (JPN) |
| 2018 1:56.80 | Rey De Oro (JPN) 4yo 9-2 (4 of 12) 21/10 | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Kazuo Fujisawa (JPN) |
| 2017 2:08.30 | Kitasan Black (JPN) 5yo 9-2 (7 of 18) 21/10F | Yutaka Take Hisashi Shimizu (JPN) |
| 2016 1:59.30 | Maurice (JPN) 5yo 9-2 (8 of 15) 13/5F | Ryan Moore Noriyuki Hori (JPN) |
| 2015 1:58.40 | Lovely Day (JPN) 5yo 9-2 (8 of 18) 12/5F | Suguru Hamanaka Yasutoshi Ikee (JPN) |
Tenno Sho (Autumn) Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Tenno Sho (Autumn) over the last 10 renewals with both Tetsuya Kimura and Sakae Kunieda who have both won the race two times. Tetsuya Kimura winners have been with Equinox (2022 & 2023). Sakae Kunieda winners have been with Almond Eye (2019 & 2020).
Here are some of the top Tenno Sho (Autumn) trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tetsuya Kimura | 3-2-2 | +0.90 | +0.14 |
| Sakae Kunieda | 3-2-2 | +0.00 | -0.46 |
| Yasuo Tomomichi | 12-1-1 | -8.20 | -9.32 |
| Noriyuki Hori | 12-1-4 | -8.40 | -2.01 |
| Yasutoshi Ikee | 8-1-1 | -4.60 | -5.80 |
| Kazuo Fujisawa | 7-1-2 | -3.90 | -4.24 |
| Yuichi Shikato | 1-1-1 | +2.40 | +1.20 |
| Hisashi Shimizu | 1-1-1 | +2.10 | +1.05 |
| Kazuya Nakatake | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -5.32 |
| Hidetaka Otonashi | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
Tenno Sho (Autumn) Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Tenno Sho (Autumn) over the last 10 renewals is Christophe-Patrice Lemaire who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Rey De Oro (2018), Almond Eye (2019 & 2020) and Equinox (2022 & 2023). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Tenno Sho (Autumn) is Yutaka Take (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Tenno Sho (Autumn) jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | 10-5-6 | +0.00 | -1.56 |
| Yutaka Take | 8-2-2 | -1.10 | -3.27 |
| Takeshi Yokoyama | 3-1-2 | +0.40 | +3.10 |
| Ryan Moore | 1-1-1 | +2.60 | +1.56 |
| Suguru Hamanaka | 1-1-1 | +2.40 | +1.20 |
| Yuga Kawada | 9-0-5 | -9.00 | -2.63 |
| Yasunari Iwata | 9-0-1 | -9.00 | -8.50 |
| Norihiro Yokoyama | 8-0-0 | -8.00 | -8.00 |
| Yuichi Fukunaga | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -4.36 |
| Mirco Demuro | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -4.80 |
2025 Tenno Sho (Autumn) Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 10, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 13
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 10 / 10 (10%) - No bigger than 14/5
- 10 / 10 (20%) - Within the first 3 of the market
- 10 / 10 (23%) - No bigger than 14/5 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (43%) - Achieved an RPR of 118+ (Last 3)
- 10 / 10 (51%) - No bigger than 21/5 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (59%) - Had 1 - 5 wins (1 Year)
- 10 / 10 (60%) - No bigger than 78/5 (Career Place)
- 10 / 10 (61%) - Highest Placed is G1
- 10 / 10 (63%) - Won within last 4 starts
- 10 / 10 (66%) - Had 1 - 6 placings (Course)
- 10 / 10 (66%) - Ran in 2 - 6 races (Course)
- 10 / 10 (72%) - No older than a 5yo
- 10 / 10 (75%) - Beaten no more -2½l (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 10 / 10 (88%) - Break of 20 - 307 days (Last Place)
if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
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Tenno Sho (Autumn) Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +7.00 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 wins in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-60.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 7 (4,9) [15 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (6,9) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 7 (3,5) [15 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 5 (1,9) [16 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 9 (6,7) [12 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Tenno Sho (Autumn) is Tokyo, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Tokyo last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 8 winners from a total of 133 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 15 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Tenno Sho (Autumn):
- King Kamehameha (2 Wins)
- Kitasan Black (2 Wins)
- Lord Kanaloa (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Tenno Sho (Autumn) despite multiple attempts:
- Deep Impact (0 Wins from 50 runners)
- Maurice (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Do Deuce in 2024, winning for Yasuo Tomomichi at odds of 14/5 under the guidance of Yutaka Take. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Tenno Sho (Autumn) Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Other Principal Races in Japan
Here are some other notable races throughout Japan which take place during the racing season that we also have blogs for.
