You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 NHK Mile Cup Preview
Established in 1996, the NHK Mile Cup is a valuable Grade I race for three-year-old colts and fillies run at the Tokyo racecourse in May of each year, where the runners compete over a distance of 1,600 metres or, as the name suggests, a mile.
The New Zealand Trophy, a Grade II race held at Nakayama racecourse in the month before this race, serves as a trial, with the top three finishing runners getting an automatic entry into this race.
Craig Williams (2011), Christophe Lemaire (2016 & 2021) and Damian Lane (2026) are the only non-Japanese jockeys to win this race.
NHK Mile Cup Information:
You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races in Japan section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the NHK Mile Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2026, when the race had an over-round of 121%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the NHK Mile Cup, the over-round has been 126%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £126 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 NHK Mile Cup Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the NHK Mile Cup Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run NHK Mile Cup races over the last 10 renewals:
- Rodeo Drive (1:31.50) in 2026
- Schnell Meister (1:31.60) in 2021
- Panja Tower (1:31.70) in 2025
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 10 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the NHK Mile Cup next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -0.30. Why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Champagne Color from Tsuyoshi Tanaka under the guidance of Hiroyuki Uchida, won in a time of 1:33.80, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Rodeo Drive, trained by Tetsuhide Tsuji and ridden by Damian Lane set the quickest time of 1:31.50 in the 2026 renewal.
NHK Mile Cup Past Winners
Here are the NHK Mile Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the NHK Mile Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:31.50 | Rodeo Drive (JPN) 3yo 9-0 (17 of 18) 18/5F | Damian Lane Tetsuhide Tsuji (JPN) |
| 2025 1:31.70 | Panja Tower (JPN) 3yo 9-0 (11 of 18) 25/1 | Kohei Matsuyama Shinsuke Hashiguchi (JPN) |
| 2024 1:32.40 | Jantar Mantar (JPN) 3yo 9-0 (16 of 18) 19/10F | Yuga Kawada Tomokazu Takano (JPN) |
| 2023 1:33.80 | Champagne Color (JPN) 3yo 9-0 (11 of 17) 212/10 | Hiroyuki Uchida Tsuyoshi Tanaka (JPN) |
| 2022 1:32.30 | Danon Scorpion (JPN) 3yo 9-0 (18 of 18) 61/10 | Yuga Kawada Takayuki Yasuda (JPN) |
| 2021 1:31.60 | Schnell Meister (GER) 3yo 9-0 (15 of 18) 27/10 | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Takahisa Tezuka (JPN) |
| 2020 1:32.50 | Lauda Sion (JPN) 3yo 9-0 (11 of 18) 29/1 | Mirco Demuro Takashi Saito (JPN) |
| 2019 1:32.40 | Admire Mars (JPN) 3yo 9-0 (17 of 18) 33/10 | Mirco Demuro Yasuo Tomomichi (JPN) |
| 2018 1:32.80 | Keiai Nautique (JPN) 3yo 9-0 (11 of 18) 118/10 | Yusuke Fujioka Osamu Hirata (JPN) |
| 2017 1:32.30 | Aerolithe (JPN) 3yo 8-9 (16 of 18) 48/10 | Norihiro Yokoyama Takanori Kikuzawa (JPN) |
2026 NHK Mile Cup Replay
NHK Mile Cup Trainer Statistics
Here are some of the top NHK Mile Cup trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Takayuki Yasuda | 6-1-2 | +1.10 | -1.45 |
| Yasuo Tomomichi | 6-1-2 | -1.70 | -2.85 |
| Takahisa Tezuka | 4-1-1 | -0.30 | -1.65 |
| Tomokazu Takano | 4-1-2 | -1.10 | -1.55 |
| Takashi Saito | 2-1-1 | +28.00 | +13.50 |
| Shinsuke Hashiguchi | 2-1-1 | +24.00 | +11.50 |
| Tetsuhide Tsuji | 2-1-1 | +2.60 | +0.80 |
| Tsuyoshi Tanaka | 1-1-1 | +21.20 | +10.60 |
| Osamu Hirata | 1-1-1 | +11.80 | +5.90 |
| Takanori Kikuzawa | 1-1-1 | +4.80 | +2.40 |
NHK Mile Cup Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the NHK Mile Cup over the last 10 renewals: Yuga Kawada and Mirco Demuro, who have each won the race twice. Yuga Kawada winners have been with Danon Scorpion (2022) and Jantar Mantar (2024). Mirco Demuro winners have been with Admire Mars (2019) and Lauda Sion (2020).
Here are some of the top NHK Mile Cup jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yuga Kawada | 9-2-3 | +1.00 | -2.50 |
| Mirco Demuro | 7-2-3 | +27.30 | +11.65 |
| Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | 8-1-3 | -4.30 | -4.65 |
| Kohei Matsuyama | 6-1-2 | +20.00 | +8.00 |
| Damian Lane | 6-1-1 | -1.40 | -3.20 |
| Yusuke Fujioka | 5-1-1 | +7.80 | +1.90 |
| Hiroyuki Uchida | 4-1-1 | +18.20 | +7.60 |
| Norihiro Yokoyama | 4-1-2 | +1.80 | -0.10 |
| Keita Tosaki | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -8.00 |
| Yutaka Take | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -7.00 |
2027 NHK Mile Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 17, 12, 5, 2, 3, 4, 5, (1, 2), 14, 1
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 10 / 10 (50%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 10 / 10 (54%) - No bigger than 29/1
- 10 / 10 (55%) - Beaten no more -2¼l (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (65%) - Achieved an RPR of 102+ (Career)
- 10 / 10 (69%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career)
- 10 / 10 (72%) - No bigger than 108/5 (Career Place)
- 10 / 10 (75%) - In a field of 9 - 16 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (75%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl2
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Beaten no more -3¾l (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - No bigger than 113/5 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (81%) - Break of 21 - 189 days (Last Place)
- 10 / 10 (82%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl2
- 10 / 10 (87%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (88%) - Off a break of 21 - 62 days
- 10 / 10 (89%) - Furthest Placed 7f - 1m2f
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101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
NHK Mile Cup Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +47.20, is when runners had 1 career place at the track.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career starts, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-45.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 17 (16,11) [18 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 11 (10,3) [18 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 16 (14,6) [18 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 11 (3,10) [17 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 18 (1,10) [18 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the NHK Mile Cup is Nakayama; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Nakayama last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 9 winners from a total of 138 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 41 runners.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the NHK Mile Cup despite multiple attempts:
- Epiphaneia (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Maurice (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- King Kamehameha (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Kizuna (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Rulership (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lauda Sion in 2020, winning for Takashi Saito at odds of 29/1 under the guidance of Mirco Demuro. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the NHK Mile Cup
Many trainers target races as preparation for the NHK Mile Cup. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Rodeo Drive Nakayama - 2nd of 15 (17/10) | New Zealand Trophy |
| 2025 - Panja Tower Chukyo - 4th of 18 (7/2) | Chunichi Sports Sho Falcon Stakes |
| 2024 - Jantar Mantar Nakayama - 3rd of 17 (61/10) | Satsuki Sho |
| 2023 - Champagne Color Nakayama - 3rd of 16 (113/5) | New Zealand Trophy |
| 2022 - Danon Scorpion Hanshin - 1st of 18 (6/4) | Arlington Cup |
| 2021 - Schnell Meister Nakayama - 2nd of 10 (49/10) | Hochi Hai Yayoi Sho Deep Impact Kinen |
| 2020 - Lauda Sion Chukyo - 2nd of 18 (27/10) | Chunichi Sports Sho Falcon Stakes |
| 2019 - Admire Mars Nakayama - 4th of 18 (57/10) | Satsuki Sho |
| 2018 - Keiai Nautique Nakayama - 2nd of 15 (11/5) | New Zealand Trophy |
| 2017 - Aerolithe Hanshin - 5th of 17 (118/5) | Oka Sho |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this NHK Mile Cup Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races in Japan
Here are some other notable races throughout Japan which take place during the racing season that we also have blogs for.
