
Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Queen Elizabeth II Cup Preview
Scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Kyoto racecourse is the Queen Elizabeth II Cup, this is the only Grade 1 that is restricted to only fillies and mares who are aged three or older. The race is contested over a distance of 2,200m (1m3f) on the turf track.
Queen Elizabeth II Cup Information:
- Queen Elizabeth II Cup Past Winners
- Queen Elizabeth II Cup Trainer Statistics
- Queen Elizabeth II Cup Jockey Statistics
You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races in Japan section for links to these.
How competitive is the Queen Elizabeth II Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 125%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup, the over-round has been 126%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £126 which is bet.
Queen Elizabeth II Cup Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.90. Remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:10.30 was set by Lucky Lilac in 2020, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Mikio Matsunaga and ridden by Christophe-Patrice Lemaire. The slowest winning time was set in 2013 when Meisho Mambo won in a time of 2:16.60, booked to ride was Koshiro Take by the trainer Akihiro Iida.
These are the top three quickest-run Queen Elizabeth II Cup over the last 20 renewals:
- Lucky Lilac (2:10.30) in 2020
- Stunning Rose (2:11.10) in 2024
- Fusaichi Pandora (2:11.60) in 2006
Queen Elizabeth II Cup Past Winners
Here are the Queen Elizabeth II Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Queen Elizabeth II Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
---|---|---|
2024 2:11.10 | Stunning Rose (JPN) 5yo 8-11 (11 of 17) 17/2 | Cristian Demuro Tomokazu Takano (JPN) |
2023 2:12.60 | Brede Weg (JPN) 3yo 8-7 (1 of 15) 7/5F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Keisuke Miyata (JPN) |
2022 2:13.00 | Geraldina (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (18 of 18) 71/10 | Cristian Demuro Takashi Saito (JPN) |
2021 2:12.10 | Akai Ito (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (16 of 17) 64/1 | Hideaki Miyuki Kazuya Nakatake (JPN) |
2020 2:10.30 | Lucky Lilac (JPN) 5yo 8-11 (18 of 18) 23/10F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Mikio Matsunaga (JPN) |
2019 2:14.10 | Lucky Lilac (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (2 of 18) 22/5 | Christophe Soumillon Mikio Matsunaga (JPN) |
2018 2:13.10 | Lys Gracieux (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (12 of 17) 37/10 | Joao Moreira Yoshito Yahagi (JPN) |
2017 2:14.30 | Mozu Katchan (JPN) 3yo 8-7 (5 of 18) 67/10 | Mirco Demuro Ippo Sameshima (JPN) |
2016 2:12.90 | Queens Ring (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (3 of 15) 51/10 | Mirco Demuro Keiji Yoshimura (JPN) |
2015 2:14.90 | Marialite (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (12 of 18) 142/10 | Masayoshi Ebina Takashi Kubota (JPN) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup have been based:
- JPN: 18 winners with an additional 40 placings from 331 runners
- GB: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Queen Elizabeth II Cup Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Queen Elizabeth II Cup over the last 20 renewals with both Mikio Matsunaga and Ed Dunlop who have both won the race two times. Mikio Matsunaga winners have been with Lucky Lilac (2019 & 2020). Ed Dunlop winners have been with Snow Fairy (2010 & 2011). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Queen Elizabeth II Cup, Yasuo Tomomichi has sent a total of 16 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Mikio Matsunaga | 3-2-2 | +5.70 | +2.35 |
Ed Dunlop | 2-2-2 | +9.20 | +4.60 |
Katsuhiko Sumii | 18-1-5 | -11.20 | -11.32 |
Tomokazu Takano | 7-1-1 | +2.50 | -1.75 |
Yoshito Yahagi | 7-1-4 | -2.30 | -2.65 |
Takashi Saito | 6-1-2 | +2.10 | -0.95 |
Kunihide Matsuda | 6-1-1 | -6.00 | -5.60 |
Keiji Yoshimura | 4-1-1 | +2.10 | +0.06 |
Shigeyuki Kojima | 3-1-1 | +74.00 | +36.00 |
Kazuya Nakatake | 3-1-1 | +62.00 | +30.00 |
Queen Elizabeth II Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Queen Elizabeth II Cup over the last 20 renewals is Christophe-Patrice Lemaire who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Little Amapola (2008), Lucky Lilac (2020) and Brede Weg (2023). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Queen Elizabeth II Cup are Mirco Demuro (2 wins), Ryan Moore (2 wins) and Cristian Demuro (2 wins). Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Queen Elizabeth II Cup, Yutaka Take (0-17), Yasunari Iwata (0-15) and Suguru Hamanaka (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.
Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | 18-3-6 | +0.90 | +0.59 |
Mirco Demuro | 12-2-7 | +1.80 | -1.09 |
Ryan Moore | 8-2-2 | +3.20 | -1.40 |
Cristian Demuro | 4-2-2 | +13.60 | +5.80 |
Yuga Kawada | 15-1-4 | -8.20 | -9.03 |
Kenichi Ikezoe | 15-1-4 | -12.20 | -11.51 |
Yuichi Fukunaga | 14-1-1 | +12.00 | +2.00 |
Hideaki Miyuki | 11-1-1 | +54.00 | +22.00 |
Masayoshi Ebina | 10-1-3 | +5.20 | -0.90 |
Yoshitomi Shibata | 5-1-1 | +18.00 | +7.00 |
2025 Queen Elizabeth II Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 12, 1, 2, 3, 3, 1, 2, 10, 2, 2, 6, 5, 3, 3, 1, 6, 6, 1, 5
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 20 / 20 (65%) - Within the first 11 of the market
- 20 / 20 (73%) - No bigger than 76/1
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Off a break of 14 - 105 days
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Beaten no more -6½l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Ran in 1 - 5 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more -6¾l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 116 - 121lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran over 6f - 1m3f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in a Handicap (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 119 - 126lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 1 - 7 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Highest Run is not G3/Cl2
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not on HY/SFT/SLW (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (73%) - Placed within last 2 starts
if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
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Queen Elizabeth II Cup Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +83.00 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G2) last time out.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career win with the jockey, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-63.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 11 (16,1) [17 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (2,3) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 18 (13,15) [18 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 16 (5,2) [17 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 18 (13,11) [18 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup are Kyoto and Tokyo, there has been a total number of 6 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup:
- Agnes Tachyon (2 Wins)
- Deep Impact (2 Wins)
- Intikhab (2 Wins)
- Orfevre (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup despite multiple attempts:
- Stay Gold (0 Wins from 15 runners)
- French Deputy (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Fuji Kiseki (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Kurofune (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Epiphaneia (0 Wins from 7 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Queen Spumante in 2009, winning for Shigeyuki Kojima at odds of 76/1 under the guidance of Hiroyasu Tanaka. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Queen Elizabeth II Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Other Principal Races in Japan
Here are some other notable races throughout Japan which take place during the racing season that we also have blogs for.