Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Real Madrid star Vinicius Junior now 1/6 favourite to win this year's Ballon d'Or
- Injury to Man City midfielder Rodri sees his odds drift in the market
- Lionel Messi won the Ballon d'Or last year after winning the World Cup
Real Madrid star Vinicius Junior now 1/6 favourite to win this year's Ballon d'Or
Betting odds continue to be offered on the 2024 Ballon d'Or winner with Real Madrid superstar Vinicius Junior now shortening into 1/6 with betting sites to win the award.
Vini Jr has been the favourite for a number of months now after winning the UEFA Champions League which saw his odds tumble into just 2/5 to be crowned Ballon d'Or winner.
His odds have shortened even further though in the last few weeks following injury to his main competitor in the market Rodri which sees him ruled out for the rest of the season.
Real Madrid dominate the Ballon d'Or market with four of the five contenders in the betting odds all playing for the Spanish giants after Kylian Mbappe joined in the summer.
It truly looks like it's Vini Jr's year though with the latest betting odds now giving an implied probability of 85.7% that he wins the Ballon d'Or this year.
| Ballon d'Or 2024 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Vinícius Júnior | 1/6 | 85.7% |
| Rodri | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Jude Bellingham | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Dani Carvajal | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Kylian Mbappe | 50/1 | 2.0% |
What the expert says...
Injury to Man City midfielder Rodri sees his odds drift in the market
Manchester City midfielder Rodri has now drifted out to 7/2 in the betting market to win the Ballon d'Or award after a season-ending injury sustained a fortnight ago.
Rodri had been the big contender to Vini Jr for the Ballon d'Or but that injury now makes it impossible for him to make a final push to win the award.
The Spanish midfielder has had a massive year with the summer seeing his Spain side win the European Championship after beating England in the final.
Rodri had an extended break this season before he suffered an ACL injury against Arsenal in September to rule him out for the season.
Ballon d'Or Betting Odds and History Of Winners
Lionel Messi won the Ballon d'Or last year after winning the World Cup
The 2023 Ballon d'Or award was handed to Lionel Messi after he won the 2022 World Cup for Argentina in Qatar the winter prior to that.
Messi's win was a record-extending eighth time that he was voted as the Ballon d'Or winner with the win coming in somewhat controversial fashion.
Many were backing Manchester City forward Erling Haaland to win the award after a treble-winning campaign saw him break goalscoring records in the Premier League.
Messi though eventually was crowned winner with a total of 462 points against Haaland's 357.
