Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Manchester City midfielder Rodri is now clear favourite to win Ballon d'Or
- Vinicius Junior was 1/6 favourite for the award at the weekend
- Lionel Messi won the Ballon d'Or last year after winning the World Cup
Manchester City midfielder Rodri is now clear favourite to win Ballon d'Or
Rodri is now the clear favourite to win the 2024 Ballon d'Or after various reports suggest that Vinicius Junior will not win the award this evening.
Popular football journalist Fabrizio Romano posted on X on Monday afternoon saying that the Real Madrid entourage will not attend the event in Paris.
Betting sites are still offering odds on who will win the award including on Betfair's Exchange with Rodri now as short as 1/10 to win.
Those odds give a 90% chance of Rodri winning the award in what would be a massive shock after weeks of Vini Jr being the clear favourite.
| Ballon d'Or Winner 2024 | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Rodri | 1/10 | 90.9% |
| Vinicius Junior | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Jude Bellingham | 40/1 | 2.4% |
| Lamine Yamal | 40/1 | 2.4% |
What the expert says...
Vinicius Junior was 1/6 favourite for the award at the weekend
Long-time favourite Vinicius Jr is now out to 12/1 to win the Ballon d'Or after various reports that he has not won the award.
The Real Madrid superstar had been as short as 1/6 to win the award over the weekend but has now drifted right out in the market.
Reports say that Real Madrid president Florentino Pérez will not attend the ceremony due to the shunning of Vini Jr.
Ballon d'Or Betting Odds and History Of Winners
Lionel Messi won the Ballon d'Or last year after winning the World Cup
Last year's Ballon d'Or award was handed to Lionel Messi after he won the 2022 World Cup for Argentina in Qatar the winter prior to that.
Messi's win was a record-extending eighth time that he was crowned Ballon d'Or winner with the win coming in somewhat controversial fashion.
Many were backing Manchester City forward Erling Haaland to win the award after a treble-winning campaign saw him break goalscoring records in the Premier League.
Messi though eventually was crowned winner with a total of 462 points against Haaland's 357.
