With over 20 years in betting, Nigel has insider experience and sharp research skills to decode football and political markets — helping OLBG users stay ahead, especially on next managers.
- Conservatives are now odds-on to hold the Portsmouth North seat with bookies changing round the market
- Latest polling figures suggest a 4.09% majority for the Conservatives in the Portsmouth North constituency
- Labour are the clear favourites to win the General Election in July
Conservatives are now odds-on to hold the Portsmouth North seat with bookies changing round the market
Betting is now open on how the UK's local constituencies will vote at the General Election next month with Portsmouth North one of several that are extremely close in the betting odds.
Bookies have made the Conservatives favourites to win the seat once again thanks to a mixture of local councillors backing the party and latest polls putting them in the lead.
Leader of the House of Commons Penny Mordaunt is the MP for Portsmouth North having been voted in all the way back in 2010 and she's stayed in that position ever since.
The latest odds put Mordaunt as the favourite to win it once again with Bet365's latest betting market putting her at 8/11 to win the seat for a fifth consecutive time.
| Portsmouth North Constituency Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 8/11 | 57.9% |
| Labour | 1/1 | 50.0% |
| Reform | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Liberal Democrats | 100/1 | 1.0% |
| Green | 125/1 | 0.8% |
Latest polling figures suggest a 4.09% majority for the Conservatives in the Portsmouth North constituency
Polling figures have been posted by UK Polling Report on X on Thursday with their figures from the UKPR Default putting Mordaunt in the lead in the latest polls.
Those latest figures give Mordaunt a 4.09% majority ahead of Labour who are only slightly behind but as always these polls can be taken with a pinch of salt.
This will be a big reason though why Conservatives have moved from odds-against to odds-on in the betting market to hold the Portsmouth North seat at the upcoming election.
UK General Election Betting Odds
Labour are the clear favourites to win the General Election in July
Labour remain the big favourites to win the upcoming General Election with their odds not changing in recent weeks to win at the polls on 4 July.
The latest odds put them well ahead in the betting market above the Tories with an 88% difference in implied probability given of winning judging by the latest odds.
Sir Keir Starmer will be hoping that his party steam-rolls the opposition at the polls in July with a massive win expected according to various reports.
| UK General Election Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 1/33 | 97.1% |
| Conservative | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Reform UK | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Liberal Democrat | 200/1 | 0.5% |
| Greens | 500/1 | 0.2% |
The Current Safe Seats with the biggest majorities in the 2019 General Election are shown below
Safe Seats
The Closest-Fought constituencies in the 2019 General Election feature some big areas
Close Seats
| These were the closest-fought constituency seats in the 2019 general elections. | ||
|---|---|---|
| Fermanagh and South Tyrone | Bury North | Bedford |
| Coventry North West | Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | Dagenham and Rainham |
| Bury South | Bolton North East | Coventry South |
| High Peak | Wimbledon | Sheffield, Hallam |
| Carshalton and Wallington | Gedling | Warwick and Leamington |
| West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine | Winchester | Cheltenham |
Political Betting Author Information
Political Betting Expert
Jake Ashton
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