Winter Hill Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Updated: 653 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Winter Hill Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Windsor with the race being run over a distance of 1m2f, see which trends the past winners of the Winter Hill Stakes have set for this year.

Winter Hill Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Winter Hill Stakes Preview

The Winter Hill Stakes is one of the top races at the Windsor racecourse, a Group 3 race which is run over one mile and two furlongs, the race is open to runners who are aged three or older and it takes place in August of each year.

Winter Hill Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Windsor tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

How competitive is the Winter Hill Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Winter Hill Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Winter Hill Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Winter Hill Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -0.25. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:01.62 was set by Al Kazeem in 2014, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Roger Charlton and ridden by George Baker. The slowest winning time was set in 2020 when Extra Elusive won in a time of 2:11.38, booked to ride was Hollie Doyle on this Roger Charlton trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Winter Hill Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2014 - Al Kazeem (2:01.62)
  • 2009 - Campanologist (2:02.44)
  • 2016 - Chain Of Daisies (2:02.58)

Winter Hill Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Winter Hill Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Winter Hill Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:03.94
Passenger (USA)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 6) 3/1
Richard Kingscote
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2022
2:03.01
Regal Reality (GB)
7yo 9-7 (2 of 6) 9/1
Richard Kingscote
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2021
2:07.46
Solid Stone (IRE)
5yo 9-5 (3 of 4) 9/4
Richard Kingscote
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2020
2:11.38
Extra Elusive (GB)
5yo 9-8 (5 of 5) 3/1
Hollie Doyle
Roger Charlton (GB)
2019
2:04.24
Desert Encounter (IRE)
7yo 9-8 (1 of 5) 4/1
Jamie Spencer
David Simcock (GB)
2018
2:08.03
Fabricate (GB)
6yo 9-5 (4 of 5) 11/10F
James Doyle
Michael Bell (GB)
2017
2:04.25
Fabricate (GB)
5yo 9-1 (7 of 6) 11/2
Gerald Mosse
Michael Bell (GB)
2016
2:02.58
Chain Of Daisies (GB)
4yo 8-12 (2 of 6) 15/2
Fergus Sweeney
Henry Candy (GB)
2015
2:07.75
Racing History (IRE)
3yo 8-7 (1 of 8) 9/2
William Buick
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2014
2:01.62
Al Kazeem (GB)
6yo 9-1 (1 of 7) 8/11F
George Baker
Roger Charlton (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Winter Hill Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 26 placings from 130 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • UAE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Winter Hill Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Winter Hill Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Tam Lin (2006), Queens Best (2007), Solid Stone (2021), Regal Reality (2022) and Passenger (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Winter Hill Stakes are Saeed bin Suroor (4 wins), Roger Charlton (2 wins) and Michael Bell (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Winter Hill Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Sir Michael Stoute 15-5-9 +14.75 +7.03
Saeed bin Suroor 10-4-7 +18.60 +11.00
Roger Charlton 4-2-3 +1.73 +1.97
Michael Bell 3-2-2 +5.60 +3.13
Andrew Balding 7-1-2 -2.00 -1.90
Henry Candy 2-1-1 +6.50 +3.69
Tom Tate 2-1-1 +5.00 +2.75
Marco Botti 2-1-1 -0.50 -0.69
David Simcock 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.50
Hughie Morrison 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00

Winter Hill Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Winter Hill Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Richard Kingscote who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Solid Stone (2021), Regal Reality (2022) and Passenger (2023). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Winter Hill Stakes are Jamie Spencer (2 wins), Frankie Dettori (2 wins) and Ryan Moore (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Winter Hill Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Richard Kingscote 3-3-3 +14.25 +7.51
Jamie Spencer 8-2-4 +4.00 +2.16
Frankie Dettori 7-2-4 -3.40 -2.34
Ryan Moore 6-2-5 +6.50 +4.64
Adam Kirby 4-1-1 +2.00 +0.00
William Buick 4-1-2 +1.50 +0.53
Kerrin McEvoy 2-1-2 +4.00 +2.80
Gerald Mosse 1-1-1 +5.50 +3.44
Hollie Doyle 1-1-1 +3.00 +1.88
James Doyle 1-1-1 +1.10 +0.69

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 7, 1, 2, 5, 1, 2, 2, 3, 1, 1, 5, 2, 5, 1, 4, 2, 2, 2, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Not 3-4 starts (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 93+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 103+ (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Carried 121 - 132lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran in England (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 78+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Within the first 6 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Made 1 - 5 starts (90 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/SFT (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 3 - 28 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 51+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 39+ (Going)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - Held an OR of 86+ (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - Beaten no more -8¼l (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Windsor racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Winter Hill Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Winter Hill Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Winter Hill Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +30.00 is when runners had 1 win in the past 90 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career starts over further, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-19.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 4 (7) [6 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (4) [6 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 [4 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (6) [5 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (2) [5 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Winter Hill Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Salisbury, Haydock and Newbury, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 117 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 20 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Winter Hill Stakes, that stallion Makfi has produced 2 winners (2018,2017).

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Prince Siegfried in 2011, winning for Saeed bin Suroor at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Ted Durcan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Winter Hill Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

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