Scarbrough Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (St Leger Festival)

Updated: 413 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Scarbrough Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Doncaster during the St Leger Festival with the race being run over a distance of 5f, see which trends the past winners of the Scarbrough Stakes have set for this year.

Scarbrough Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (St Leger Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Scarbrough Stakes Preview

The Scarbrough Stakes is a Listed race that is run over a trip of five furlongs for two-year-old runners, the race takes place in September of each year at Doncaster during the St Leger Festival.

Scarbrough Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Doncaster tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Scarbrough Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2006 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Scarbrough Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Scarbrough Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Scarbrough Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.24. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Scarbrough Stakes.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the D W Barker trained Celtic Mill ridden by Frankie Dettori who set the fastest winning time in the Scarbrough Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 57.28 was set when winning the race in 2004. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Robert Cowell and jockey Ryan Moore with Encore DOr who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:01.91 in the 2017 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Scarbrough Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2004 - Celtic Mill (57.28)
  • 2021 - Khaadem (57.30)
  • 2009 - Strike The Deal (57.49)

Scarbrough Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Scarbrough Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Scarbrough Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
59.33
Rogue Lightning (IRE)
3yo 9-12 (2 of 4) 9/4
Daniel Tudhope
Tom Clover (GB)
2022
58.47
Manaccan (GB)
3yo 10-0 (2 of 8) 13/8F
Ryan Moore
John Ryan (GB)
2021
57.30
Khaadem (IRE)
5yo 9-11 (2 of 6) 5/4F
William Buick
Charles Hills (GB)
2020
58.95
Tarboosh (GB)
7yo 9-13 (7 of 8) 8/1
Kevin Stott
Paul Midgley (GB)
2019
59.23
Equilateral (GB)
4yo 9-11 (5 of 7) 9/4
Ryan Moore
Charles Hills (GB)
2018
59.78
Global Applause (GB)
4yo 9-11 (3 of 7) 2/1F
Gerald Mosse
Robert Cowell (GB)
2017
1:01.91
Encore DOr (GB)
5yo 9-11 (4 of 6) 13/2
Ryan Moore
Robert Cowell (GB)
2016
58.85
Priceless (GB)
3yo 9-7 (4 of 9) 4/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Clive Cox (GB)
2015
57.85
Cotai Glory (GB)
3yo 9-10 (2 of 12) 11/4F
George Baker
Charles Hills (GB)
2014
57.73
Meccas Angel (IRE)
3yo 9-5 (2 of 11) 7/1
Paul Mulrennan
Michael Dods (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Scarbrough Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 32 placings from 163 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Scarbrough Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Scarbrough Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Robert Cowell and Charles Hills who have both won the race three times. Robert Cowell winners have been with Prohibit (2010), Encore DOr (2017) and Global Applause (2018). Charles Hills winners have been with Cotai Glory (2015), Equilateral (2019) and Khaadem (2021).

Here are some of the top Scarbrough Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Robert Cowell 11-3-6 +5.00 +8.41
Charles Hills 5-3-3 +4.25 +2.84
Paul Midgley 9-1-1 +0.00 +3.80
Clive Cox 5-1-2 +0.00 +5.03
Michael Dods 3-1-3 +5.00 +4.45
Roger Varian 3-1-2 +2.00 +2.50
William Haggas 2-1-2 +0.63 +1.28
George Baker 1-1-1 +14.00 +8.40
Edward Lynam 1-1-1 +2.50 +1.50
Tom Clover 1-1-1 +2.25 +0.00

Scarbrough Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Scarbrough Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Galeota (2007 & 2008), Encore DOr (2017), Equilateral (2019) and Manaccan (2022). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Scarbrough Stakes are Frankie Dettori (2 wins), Jamie Spencer (2 wins) and William Buick (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Scarbrough Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 10-5-6 +13.38 +11.15
Frankie Dettori 9-2-6 +14.50 +13.99
Jamie Spencer 8-2-2 +0.13 +2.68
William Buick 7-2-2 +0.25 +2.18
Paul Mulrennan 6-1-1 +2.00 +3.20
Daniel Tudhope 4-1-3 -0.75 +1.20
Silvestre De Sousa 2-1-2 +3.00 +2.80
Kevin Stott 1-1-1 +8.00 +4.80
Gerald Mosse 1-1-1 +2.00 +1.25
David Allan 7-0-0 -7.00 -2.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 6, 1, 6, 4, 6, 4, 3, 3, 1, (1, 2), 2, 1, 2, 4, 1, 4, 3, 1, 1, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (59%) - Held an OR of 101+
  • 20 / 20 (60%) - Achieved an RPR of 106+ (Last 5)
  • 20 / 20 (70%) - Achieved an RPR of 102+ (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 20 / 20 (71%) - Within the first 6 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (73%) - Held an OR of 98+ (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved a TS of 94+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 85+ (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 7 starts (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Made 4 - 29 starts (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 4 - 26 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Made 7 - 66 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Placed within last 5 starts
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - Held an OR of 87+ (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (77%) - Not in a G3 or Cl2 (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Scarbrough Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Scarbrough Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Scarbrough Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +12.13 is when runners ran in a Class 4 on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 2, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-29.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 [4 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (4,8) [8 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (1,5) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (1) [7 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Scarbrough Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is York, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 122 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 53 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Scarbrough Stakes:

  • Exceed And Excel (3 Wins)
  • Oasis Dream (3 Wins)
  • Celtic Swing (2 Wins)
  • Dark Angel (2 Wins)
  • Mujadil (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Scarbrough Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Compton Place (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Cadeaux Genereux (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Green Desert (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Medicean (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Humidor in 2011, winning for George Baker at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Frankie Dettori. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 7 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Scarbrough Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 12th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 13th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 14th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Sunday 15th September 2024

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