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2022 Scarbrough Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis (St Leger Festival)

Published: Aug 31, 12:53pm Last Updated: Sep 13, 2:32pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 77 Views

2022 Scarbrough Stakes Preview

The Scarbrough Stakes is a Listed race that is run over a trip of five furlongs for the two-year-old runners, the race takes place in September of each year at Doncaster during the St Leger Festival.

If you are interested in other predictions at Doncaster then head over to the Doncaster Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 57.28 was set by Celtic Mill in 2004, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by D W Barker and ridden by Frankie Dettori. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Encore DOr won in a time of 1:01.91, booked to ride was Ryan Moore on this Robert Cowell trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Scarbrough Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2004 - Celtic Mill (57.28)
  • 2021 - Khaadem (57.30)
  • 2009 - Strike The Deal (57.49)

How competitive is the Scarbrough Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2006 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Scarbrough Stakes, the over-round has been 115% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Scarbrough Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.24. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Scarbrough Stakes.

Scarbrough Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Scarbrough Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Scarbrough Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
57.30
Khaadem
5yo 9-11 (2 of 6) 5/4F
William Buick
Charles Hills
2020
58.95
Tarboosh
7yo 9-13 (7 of 8) 8/1
Kevin Stott
Paul Midgley
2019
59.23
Equilateral
4yo 9-11 (5 of 7) 9/4
Ryan Moore
Charles Hills
2018
59.78
Global Applause
4yo 9-11 (3 of 3) 2/1F
Gerald Mosse
Robert Cowell
2017
1:01.91
Encore DOr
5yo 9-11 (4 of 3) 13/2
Ryan Moore
Robert Cowell
2016
58.85
Priceless
3yo 9-7 (4 of 3) 4/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Clive Cox
2015
57.85
Cotai Glory
3yo 9-10 (2 of 3) 11/4F
George Baker
Charles Hills
2014
57.73
Meccas Angel
3yo 9-5 (2 of 3) 7/1
Paul Mulrennan
Michael Dods
2013
59.92
Justineo
4yo 9-11 (6 of 3) 4/1F
William Buick
Roger Varian
2012
58.69
Sole Power
5yo 9-9 (9 of 3) 5/2F
Johnny Murtagh
Edward Lynam

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Scarbrough Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 3 placings from 173 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Scarbrough Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Scarbrough Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Robert Cowell & Charles Hills who have both won the race 3 times. Robert Cowell winners have been with Prohibit (2010), Encore DOr (2017) & Global Applause (2018). Charles Hills winners have been with Cotai Glory (2015), Equilateral (2019) & Khaadem (2021).

Here are some of the top Scarbrough Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Robert Cowell 11-3-6 +5.00 +8.41
Charles Hills 4-3-3 +5.25 +3.84
Paul Midgley 9-1-1 +0.00 +3.80
Andrew Balding 6-1-2 +11.00 +9.80
Clive Cox 5-1-2 +0.00 +5.03
Michael Dods 3-1-3 +5.00 +4.45
Roger Varian 3-1-2 +2.00 +2.50
William Haggas 2-1-2 +0.63 +1.28
George Baker 1-1-1 +14.00 +8.40
Edward Lynam 1-1-1 +2.50 +1.50

Scarbrough Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Scarbrough Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Galeota (2007), Galeota (2008), Encore DOr (2017) & Equilateral (2019). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Scarbrough Stakes are Frankie Dettori (3 wins), Jamie Spencer (2 wins) & William Buick (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Scarbrough Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 9-4-5 +11.75 +10.17
Frankie Dettori 10-3-7 +17.83 +15.31
Jamie Spencer 8-2-2 +0.13 +2.68
William Buick 5-2-2 +2.25 +3.18
Paul Mulrennan 6-1-1 +2.00 +3.20
Silvestre De Sousa 2-1-2 +3.00 +2.80
Martin Dwyer 1-1-1 +16.00 +9.60
Kevin Stott 1-1-1 +8.00 +4.80
Gerald Mosse 1-1-1 +2.00 +1.25
David Allan 7-0-0 -7.00 -2.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,4,3,6,1,6,4,6,4,3,3,1,(1,2),2,1,2,4,1,4,3,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (70%) - Within first six of market
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - 6-32 Starts (Non-Handicaps)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Held an OR of 95+
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - 8-66 Starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Break of 11-121 days
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - 4-26 Placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 121-140lbs (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Not a Mare or Horse

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Scarbrough Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Scarbrough Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Scarbrough Stakes Trend Analysis

The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career places in Non-Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-32.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (1,5) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (1) [7 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 3 (5) [7 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 4 (2) [6 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Scarbrough Stakes are Newmarket (July) and York, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 127 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 58 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Scarbrough Stakes:

  • Oasis Dream (3 Wins)
  • Bahamian Bounty (2 Wins)
  • Celtic Swing (2 Wins)
  • Dark Angel (2 Wins)
  • Exceed And Excel (2 Wins)
  • Mujadil (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Scarbrough Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Cadeaux Genereux (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Compton Place (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Green Desert (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Medicean (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Dubaian Gift in 2003 when winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Martin Dwyer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Scarbrough Stakes see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Wednesday 7th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 8th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 9th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 10th September 2022

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