Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Preview
Scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Musselburgh Racecourse is the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle, a race contested over three miles for novice hurdlers.
The race is a class two which was established in 2013 and serves as a trial for the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival a month later, Bardenstown Lad the winner of this race in 2022 went on to finish third in the Albert Bartlett at 20/1.
Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Information:
- Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Past Winners
- Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics
- Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Musselburgh tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Musselburgh Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 11 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 105%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 113%, whilst on average over the last 11 renewals of the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle, the over-round has been 110%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £110 which is bet.
Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 11 if you had followed the winner of the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 10 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.00. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 11 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when I K Brunel from Olly Murphy under the guidance of A P Heskin, won in a time of 6:06.80, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Seeyouatmidnight, trained by Sandy Thomson and ridden by Ryan Mania set the quickest time of 5:36.20 in the 2014 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle over the last 11 renewals:
- Seeyouatmidnight (5:36.20) in 2014
- Shanroe Santos (5:42.00) in 2015
- Monbeg Charmer (5:47.80) in 2017
Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Past Winners
Here are the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 5:59.10 | Ottizzini (IRE) 7yo 10-12 14/1 | Sean Quinlan S R B Crawford (IRE) |
| 2023 5:56.60 | Inis Oirr (IRE) 6yo 11-0 15/2 | Derek Fox Lucinda Russell (GB) |
| 2022 6:03.38 | Bardenstown Lad (GB) 7yo 11-8 8/15F | Brian Hayes John C McConnell (IRE) |
| 2021 5:56.58 | Threeunderthrufive (IRE) 6yo 11-8 11/10F | A P Heskin Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2020 6:06.80 | I K Brunel (GB) 6yo 11-5 8/5 | A P Heskin Olly Murphy (GB) |
| 2018 6:05.20 | Red River (IRE) 5yo 11-5 3/1 | David Bass Kim Bailey (GB) |
| 2017 5:47.80 | Monbeg Charmer (IRE) 6yo 11-10 100/30 | Brian Hughes Charlie Longsdon (GB) |
| 2016 5:59.90 | O O Seven (IRE) 6yo 11-13 11/10F | Andrew Tinkler Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2015 5:42.00 | Shanroe Santos (IRE) 6yo 11-7 11/4F | Leighton Aspell Lucy Wadham (GB) |
| 2014 5:36.20 | Seeyouatmidnight (GB) 6yo 11-1 22/1 | Ryan Mania Sandy Thomson (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle have been based:
- GB: 9 winners with an additional 8 placings from 51 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 1 placing from 8 runners
Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle over the last 11 renewals is Charlie Longsdon who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Superior Quality (2013) and Monbeg Charmer (2017).
Here are some of the top Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 11 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Longsdon | 3-2-2 | +12.33 | +8.33 |
| Paul Nicholls | 7-1-2 | -4.90 | -3.53 |
| Lucinda Russell | 5-1-3 | +3.50 | +3.75 |
| Nicky Henderson | 4-1-2 | -1.90 | -2.40 |
| Sandy Thomson | 3-1-1 | +20.00 | +11.75 |
| John C McConnell | 2-1-1 | -0.47 | -1.00 |
| S R B Crawford | 1-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.75 |
| Kim Bailey | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.88 |
| Lucy Wadham | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.72 |
| Olly Murphy | 1-1-1 | +1.60 | +0.00 |
Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle over the last 11 renewals is A P Heskin who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from I K Brunel (2020) and Threeunderthrufive (2021).
Here are some of the top Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 11 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P Heskin | 3-2-2 | +1.70 | +0.66 |
| Brian Hughes | 6-1-2 | -1.67 | -1.00 |
| Derek Fox | 3-1-2 | +5.50 | +3.75 |
| Ryan Mania | 1-1-1 | +22.00 | +13.75 |
| Sean Quinlan | 1-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.75 |
| David Bass | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.88 |
| Brian Hayes | 1-1-1 | +0.53 | +0.00 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -2.90 |
| Danny Cook | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| Bryony Frost | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.19 |
2025 Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 6, 2, (1, 4), 1, 4, 2, 2, 1, 1, F, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 11 / 11 (68%) - Carried 152 - 161lbs (LTO)
- 11 / 11 (73%) - Not in FRA/SCO/WAL (Debut)
- 11 / 11 (75%) - Break of 25 - 106 days (Last Place)
- 11 / 11 (75%) - Ran over 2m - 2m5½f (Debut)
- 11 / 11 (75%) - Highest Placed is not G2-3/Cl3
- 11 / 11 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 75+ (Last 3)
- 11 / 11 (81%) - Off a break of 25 - 106 days
- 11 / 11 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 116+ (Non-Hcps)
- 11 / 11 (83%) - Ran over 2m - 3m (LTO)
- 11 / 11 (85%) - No bigger than 22/1
- 11 / 11 (86%) - Beaten no more -20l (LTO)
- 11 / 11 (86%) - In a field of 6 - 17 (Debut)
- 10 / 11 (59%) - Not on HY/GS/GF (Last Win)
- 10 / 11 (61%) - Not in SCO (Last Win)
- 10 / 11 (64%) - Carried 152 - 160lbs (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Musselburgh racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.
Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 6+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +40.45 is when runners ran on Soft ground when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in Scotland when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-16.
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle are Ludlow and Sandown, there has been a total number of 2 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 58 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 1 runner.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle, that stallion Midnight Legend has produced 2 winners (2020,2014).
Looking at the winning odds over the last 11 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Seeyouatmidnight in 2014, winning for Sandy Thomson at odds of 22/1 under the guidance of Ryan Mania. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 11 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Other Principal races at Musselburgh Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Musselburgh racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in February (Scottish Cheltenham Trials)
Races in April
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Scottish Stayers Novices Hurdle Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
