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2026 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Preview
Scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Musselburgh racecourse is the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, a race which is run over a trip of one mile, seven furlongs and one hundred and twenty-four yards, in which nine hurdles are to be jumped, with the race being open to four-year-old runners only.
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Information:
- Scottish Triumph Hurdle Past Winners
- Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trainer Statistics
- Scottish Triumph Hurdle Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Musselburgh, then head over to the Musselburgh tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Musselburgh Racecourse section for links to these.
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How competitive is the Scottish Triumph Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Scottish Triumph Hurdle races over the last 20 renewals:
- Forth Bridge (3:37.60) in 2017
- Hargam (3:37.80) in 2015
- St Pancras (3:41.42) in 2025
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -17.00. Ahead of the 2026 Scottish Triumph Hurdle, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2008 renewal when Act Sirius from Howard Johnson under the guidance of Richard Johnson, won in a time of 4:15.80, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Forth Bridge, trained by Charlie Longsdon and ridden by Noel Fehily set the quickest time of 3:37.60 in the 2017 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Past Winners
Here are the Scottish Triumph Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Scottish Triumph Hurdle are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: The race was abandoned in 2004 & 2019.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 3:41.42 | St Pancras (GB) 4yo 11-0 33/1 | Kevin Brogan Toby Lawes (GB) |
| 2024 3:44.70 | Liari (FR) 4yo 11-5 10/11F | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2023 3:45.39 | Afadil (FR) 4yo 11-0 7/2 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2022 3:41.97 | Impulsive One (USA) 4yo 11-0 13/8F | James Bowen Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2021 3:47.08 | Fiveandtwenty (GB) 4yo 10-10 6/4F | Brian Hughes Donald McCain (GB) |
| 2020 3:54.60 | Thyme White (FR) 4yo 11-0 2/1F | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2018 3:45.70 | We Have A Dream (FR) 4yo 11-5 1/5F | Daryl Jacob Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2017 3:37.60 | Forth Bridge (GB) 4yo 11-8 9/1 | Noel Fehily Charlie Longsdon (GB) |
| 2016 3:50.50 | Tommy Silver (FR) 4yo 11-0 4/6F | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2015 3:37.80 | Hargam (FR) 4yo 11-8 4/11F | A P McCoy Nicky Henderson (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 22 placings from 127 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 4 placings from 12 runners
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Sametegal (2013), Tommy Silver (2016), Thyme White (2020), Afadil (2023) and Liari (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle are Nicky Henderson (4 wins) and Charlie Longsdon (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle; Brian Ellison has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording a single win.
Here are some of the top Scottish Triumph Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 9-5-6 | +4.33 | +2.15 |
| Nicky Henderson | 6-4-4 | +1.57 | +0.24 |
| Charlie Longsdon | 3-2-2 | +16.00 | +9.43 |
| Donald McCain | 5-1-3 | -2.50 | -0.85 |
| Nicky Richards | 3-1-2 | +0.50 | +1.41 |
| Gordon Elliott | 3-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.17 |
| Toby Lawes | 1-1-1 | +33.00 | +19.80 |
| James Ewart | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
| Brian Ellison | 10-0-1 | -10.00 | -8.13 |
| Lucinda Russell | 9-0-3 | -9.00 | -2.50 |
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Harry Cobden, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Thyme White (2020), Afadil (2023) and Liari (2024).
Here are some of the top Scottish Triumph Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 4-3-3 | +5.41 | +2.99 |
| Brian Hughes | 10-1-2 | -7.50 | -6.79 |
| James Bowen | 2-1-1 | +0.63 | +0.02 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 2-1-1 | -0.33 | -1.00 |
| Kevin Brogan | 1-1-1 | +33.00 | +19.80 |
| Callum Bewley | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Danny Cook | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| Harry Skelton | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| Dougie Costello | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Jack Quinlan | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
2026 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, PU, 1, 1, 3, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 1, 1, (1, 5), 6, 1, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 28/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Ran over 7f - 2m (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Off a break of 10 - 77 days
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran in 1 - 5 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more -20l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran over 1m6f - 2m1f (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 2 - 14 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 8 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a Cl5-6 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Won within last 6 starts
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 1 - 7 races (Hurdle)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - In a field of 4 - 13 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 28/1 (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Musselburgh racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Scottish Triumph Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.
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Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +25.79, is when runners had 1 start in the past 90 days.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a race worth ÂŁ5,000 on debut, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-24.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle is Musselburgh; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Musselburgh last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 126 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 13 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was St Pancras in 2025, winning for Toby Lawes at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Kevin Brogan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 14 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Scottish Triumph Hurdle
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Scottish Triumph Hurdle. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - St Pancras Ascot - 5th of 7 (29/1) | BetMGM Juvenile Hurdle |
| 2024 - Liari Aintree - 1st of 8 (11/4) | Boylesports Daily Money Back 2nd Juvenile Hurdle |
| 2023 - Afadil Taunton - 1st of 9 (8/15) | Invest Southwest Maiden Hurdle |
| 2022 - Impulsive One Wolverhampton (AW) - 4th of 5 (6/4) | Betway Handicap |
| 2021 - Fiveandtwenty Musselburgh - 1st of 9 (1/4) | Betway First Foot Juvenile Hurdle |
| 2020 - Thyme White Kempton - 2nd of 6 (10/3) | Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boosts Introductory Juvenile Hurdle |
| 2018 - We Have A Dream Chepstow - 1st of 5 (8/11) | Coral Future Champions Finale Juvenile Hurdle |
| 2017 - Forth Bridge Musselburgh - 1st of 8 (3/10) | Racing UK Anywhere Introductory Juvenile Hurdle |
| 2016 - Tommy Silver Newbury - 2nd of 7 (7/1) | Betfred Mobile Juvenile Hurdle |
| 2015 - Hargam Cheltenham - 1st of 7 (8/11) | JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Scottish Triumph Hurdle Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal races at Musselburgh Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Musselburgh racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
