2023 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Preview

Scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Musselburgh racecourse is the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, a race which is run over a trip of one mile, seven furlongs and one hundred and twenty-four yards in which nine hurdles are to be jumped with the race being open to four-year-old runners only.

Scottish Triumph Hurdle Content:

We also have a dedicated Musselburgh Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

Over the last 17 renewals, it was the Charlie Longsdon trained Forth Bridge ridden by Noel Fehily who has set the fastest winning time in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, the runner won the race in a time of 3:37.60 that was set when winning the race in 2017. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Howard Johnson and jockey Richard Johnson with Act Sirius who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:15.80 in the 2008 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Scottish Triumph Hurdle over the last 17 renewals:

  • 2017 - Forth Bridge (3:37.60)
  • 2015 - Hargam (3:37.80)
  • 2022 - Impulsive One (3:41.97)

How competitive is the Scottish Triumph Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 17 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 17 renewals of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 17 if you had followed the winner of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -13.00. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Scottish Triumph Hurdle see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Scottish Triumph Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Scottish Triumph Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Scottish Triumph Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: The race was abandoned in 2004 & 2019.

Year Horse Info
2022
3:41.97
Impulsive One (USA)
4yo 11-0 13/8F
James Bowen
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2021
3:47.08
Fiveandtwenty (GB)
4yo 10-10 6/4F
Brian Hughes
Donald McCain (GB)
2020
3:54.60
Thyme White (FR)
4yo 11-0 2/1F
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2018
3:45.70
We Have A Dream (FR)
4yo 11-5 1/5F
Daryl Jacob
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2017
3:37.60
Forth Bridge (GB)
4yo 11-8 9/1
Noel Fehily
Charlie Longsdon (GB)
2016
3:50.50
Tommy Silver (FR)
4yo 11-0 4/6F
Sam Twiston-Davies
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2015
3:37.80
Hargam (FR)
4yo 11-8 4/11F
A P McCoy
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2014
3:43.60
Broughton (GER)
4yo 11-0 5/6F
Denis O'Regan
John Ferguson (GB)
2013
3:48.90
Sametegal (FR)
4yo 11-8 5/4F
Daryl Jacob
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2012
3:52.40
West Brit (IRE)
4yo 10-12 8/1
Paddy Brennan
Charlie Longsdon (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle have been based:

  • GB: 16 winners with an additional 18 placings from 107 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 8 runners

Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle over the last 17 renewals is Nicky Henderson who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Giorgio Quercus (2009), Hargam (2015), We Have A Dream (2018) & Impulsive One (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle are Paul Nicholls (3 wins) & Charlie Longsdon (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Scottish Triumph Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 17 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Nicky Henderson 6-4-4 +1.57 +0.24
Paul Nicholls 6-3-4 +0.92 +0.41
Charlie Longsdon 3-2-2 +16.00 +9.43
Donald McCain 4-1-3 -1.50 +0.15
Nicky Richards 3-1-2 +0.50 +1.41
Gordon Elliott 3-1-2 -1.00 -0.17
James Ewart 1-1-1 +7.00 +4.20
Brian Ellison 9-0-1 -9.00 -7.13
Lucinda Russell 7-0-2 -7.00 -2.00
Keith Dalgleish 5-0-1 -5.00 -2.30

Scottish Triumph Hurdle Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle over the last seventeen renewals with both Paddy Brennan & Daryl Jacob who have both won the race 2 times. Paddy Brennan winners have been with Degas Art (2007) & West Brit (2012). Daryl Jacob winners have been with Sametegal (2013) & We Have A Dream (2018).

Here are some of the top Scottish Triumph Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 17 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paddy Brennan 4-2-3 +6.40 +4.11
Daryl Jacob 3-2-2 +0.45 -0.09
Brian Hughes 7-1-2 -4.50 -3.79
Denis O'Regan 3-1-2 -1.17 -0.19
Harry Cobden 2-1-1 +1.00 +0.25
Sam Twiston-Davies 2-1-1 -0.33 -1.00
James Bowen 1-1-1 +1.63 +1.02
Graham Lee 5-0-1 -5.00 -3.30
A P Heskin 3-0-2 -3.00 -0.56
Danny Cook 3-0-0 -3.00 -2.00

2023 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,1,1,PU,1,1,3,5,1,1,1,1,3,1,1,1,(1,5)

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 17 / 17 (67%) - No bigger than 23/1 (Career Run)
  • 17 / 17 (68%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 17 / 17 (73%) - Within first 5 of market
  • 17 / 17 (80%) - Ran over 7f+ (Debut)
  • 17 / 17 (80%) - Made 1-3 starts (90 Days)
  • 17 / 17 (81%) - Off a break of 10-77 days
  • 17 / 17 (83%) - Made 1-5 starts (Season)
  • 17 / 17 (84%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
  • 17 / 17 (85%) - Fewer than 15 starts (Career)
  • 17 / 17 (85%) - In at least a Class 4 (LTO)
  • 16 / 17 (51%) - Beaten no more than 3l (LTO)
  • 16 / 17 (67%) - A best in 3 of at least 2nd
  • 16 / 17 (68%) - Field of no more than 10 (LTO)
  • 16 / 17 (76%) - Had placed (Hurdles)
  • 16 / 17 (77%) - Fewer than 6 starts (180 days)
  • 16 / 17 (77%) - Carried 147-160lbs (LTO)
  • 16 / 17 (80%) - Ran over 1m7½f - 2m1f (LTO)
  • 16 / 17 (83%) - Ran over hurdles (LTO)
  • 16 / 17 (83%) - Ran in a non-hcp (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Musselburgh racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races which are you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Scottish Triumph Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 9+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.45 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle is Musselburgh, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Musselburgh last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 102 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winners from a total of 13 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 17 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Act Sirius in 2008 when winning for Howard Johnson at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Richard Johnson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 17 renewals there has been a total of 13 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2023 Scottish Triumph Hurdle remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Other Principal races at Musselburgh racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Musselburgh racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in February

Races in April

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