2023 Coral Trophy Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Coral Trophy Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Coral Trophy Preview

The Coral Trophy Handicap Chase is better known as the Racing Post Chase, they sponsored the race between 1988 till 2011. The race is run over three miles in late February at the Kempton racecourse and is a race that gives a few pointers for both the Cheltenham Festival and Grand National.

The runners must be aged at least 5yo to enter the race and they will face a total of eighteen fences during the race. Both Rhyme 'n' Reason (1988) and Rough Quest (1996) went on to win the Grand National after success in this race, they both also competed in the Cheltenham Gold Cup.

Coral Trophy Content:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Kempton Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:49.70 was set by Marlborough in 2004, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Nicky Henderson and ridden by R Walsh. The slowest winning time was set in 2007 when Simon won in a time of 6:42.34, booked to ride was Andrew Thornton on this John Spearing trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Coral Trophy over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2004 - Marlborough (5:49.70)
  • 2021 - Clondaw Castle (5:51.00)
  • 2003 - La Landiere (5:53.90)

How competitive is the Coral Trophy market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Coral Trophy, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Coral Trophy next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -15.75. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Coral Trophy Past Winners

Here are the Coral Trophy past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Coral Trophy as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
6:02.70
Cap Du Nord (FR)
9yo 10-0 13/2
Jack Tudor (3lbs)
Christian Williams (GB)
2021
5:51.00
Clondaw Castle (IRE)
9yo 11-8 17/2
Jonathan Burke
Tom George (GB)
2020
6:05.20
Mister Malarky (GB)
7yo 11-0 9/1
Jonjo O'Neill Jr
Colin Tizzard (GB)
2019
5:58.60
Walt (IRE)
8yo 10-6 14/1
Sam Twiston-Davies
Neil Mulholland (GB)
2018
6:02.40
Master Dee (IRE)
9yo 11-5 8/1
Barry Geraghty
Fergal O'Brien (GB)
2017
5:56.20
Pilgrims Bay (IRE)
7yo 10-2 25/1
James Best
Neil Mulholland (GB)
2016
5:59.00
Theatre Guide (IRE)
9yo 10-6 6/1
Paddy Brennan
Colin Tizzard (GB)
2015
6:24.70
Rocky Creek (IRE)
9yo 11-11 8/1
Sam Twiston-Davies
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2014
6:11.00
Bally Legend (GB)
9yo 10-12 28/1
Ian Popham
Caroline Keevil (GB)
2013
6:05.00
Opening Batsman (IRE)
7yo 10-5 12/1
Noel Fehily
Harry Fry (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Coral Trophy have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 42 placings from 271 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 5 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Coral Trophy Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Coral Trophy over the last 20 renewals is Tom George who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Nacarat (2009), Nacarat (2012) & Clondaw Castle (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Coral Trophy are Paul Nicholls (2 wins), Philip Hobbs (2 wins), Colin Tizzard (2 wins) & Neil Mulholland (2 wins). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Coral Trophy, Venetia Williams (0-15), Alan King (0-13) & David Pipe (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Coral Trophy trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Tom George 14-3-8 +12.00 +10.57
Paul Nicholls 39-2-11 -25.00 -13.18
Philip Hobbs 18-2-7 -3.00 -1.84
Colin Tizzard 10-2-6 +7.00 +16.64
Neil Mulholland 5-2-2 +36.00 +21.03
Nigel Twiston-Davies 18-1-3 -6.00 -6.81
Nicky Henderson 16-1-1 -7.00 -10.20
Harry Fry 7-1-2 +6.00 +4.50
Christian Williams 4-1-2 +3.50 +3.56
Caroline Keevil 2-1-2 +27.00 +20.13

Coral Trophy Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Coral Trophy over the last 20 renewals is Paddy Brennan who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Razor Royale (2010), Nacarat (2012) & Theatre Guide (2016). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Coral Trophy is Sam Twiston-Davies (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Coral Trophy, Tom O'Brien has had a total of 10 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Coral Trophy jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paddy Brennan 12-3-5 +12.50 +7.34
Sam Twiston-Davies 11-2-3 +13.00 +5.46
Jonathan Burke 4-1-2 +5.50 +3.61
Jonjo O'Neill Jr 2-1-1 +8.00 +4.63
Jack Tudor 2-1-1 +5.50 +3.06
James Best 1-1-1 +25.00 +15.63
Tom O'Brien 10-0-2 -10.00 -4.62
Aidan Coleman 8-0-1 -8.00 -1.25
Harry Skelton 8-0-1 -8.00 -5.50
Jamie Moore 7-0-2 -7.00 -2.50

2023 Coral Trophy Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,(1,2),6,F,4,4,1,3,UR,PU,PU,11,3,PU,UR,9,9,(5,6),2,F,(8,F)

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Made 3-8 starts (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 6-17 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Made 2-6 starts (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - On SFT, GS or GD (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 28/1
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Was in England (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 2-6 starts (180 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Field of 5-17 (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career Run)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Previously won over 2m5f+
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Not claimer in the saddle
  • 18 / 20 (80%) - Fewer than 4 wins (Hcp)
  • 18 / 20 (90%) - Fewer than 3 falls (Career)
  • 17 / 20 (64%) - Finished in first 5 (LTO)
  • 17 / 20 (71%) - At least a 2nd within last 3
  • 17 / 20 (72%) - Aged between 7yo & 9yo

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Kempton racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Coral Trophy. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Coral Trophy by adding a tip on the race here.

Coral Trophy Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +57.00 is when runners ran in a race worth £2,000 on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a race restricted to 3yo on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-51.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Coral Trophy is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Kempton and Newbury, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 275 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 3 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Coral Trophy:

  • Kings Theatre (3 Wins)
  • Oscar (2 Wins)
  • Smadoun (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Coral Trophy despite multiple attempts:

  • Presenting (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Milan (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Bob Back (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Getaway (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Lost World (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Saint Des Saints (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Bally Legend in 2014 when winning for Caroline Keevil at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Ian Popham. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2023 Coral Trophy remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Other Principal races at Kempton racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Kempton racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in January

Races in December

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