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Daily Racing
Selection | Win Tips | % | |
---|---|---|---|
Jeriko Du Reponet | 3 / 20 | 15% | |
Doddiethegreat | 3 / 20 | 15% | |
Bill Joyce | 3 / 20 | 15% | |
Other | 11 / 20 | 55% |
Daily Racing
+1761 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
EW @
Monbeg Park has been mainly chasing of late, including a listed win in March. He gets back to hurdling and its lower mark today and could be in the mix at the end of this one. EW 6P.
+1353 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
EW @
Beat The Bat has been running consistently well all season and is still on a good handicap mark, which has been dropped 2 lbs since his excellent run in the Newbury William Hill hurdle where he was outpaced over 2 miles. This 2 and half mile trip and galloping open track should suit this horse and his trainer is still in great form with 3 of his last 6 runners winning.
In profit on Horse Racing for 5 of the previous 6 months
WIN @
Jeriko Du Reponet ran a rather strange race at Exeter and qualified for this Pertemps Final on a workable mark of 135. He was an exciting prospect last season, winning three out of four novice hurdles before losing his unbeaten record in the Supreme at this festival. Clearly highly regarded, he was sent off as odds-on favourite for all three wins, including a Grade 2 at Doncaster. However, he was pulled up here at Cheltenham when the Henderson stable was under a cloud. His chasing career didn’t work out, and he was sent back over hurdles, producing an ordinary effort in a Grade 3 at Newbury, finishing a 10-lengths 5th of 13. The decision to step him up in distance, having stayed on well in the closing stages of that Newbury race, brought some improvement. He went close at the festival bumping into an underestimated Doddiethegreat who was allowed to make a decisive move entering the straight. Despite a 4lb penalty, he looks still the classy individual in this contest and should go well again at around 17/2.
In profit on Horse Racing for 6 of the previous 6 months
EW @
Has run some cracking races in firstly a Listed event and then some real competitive big field handicaps finishing 2254 on last four starts and deserves to land a big one soon. That fifth was a staying on run in the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham suggesting a step up to 3m would suit and next run at Aintree when getting 3m for the first time backed that opionion up with an unlucky in running fourth. Mark Walsh's choice of the JP McManus battalion and must go close here. Looks still well handicapped to me as is just 1lb higher than those two big Festival runs in the UK off his British mark of 132 and has to be the each way banker here with plenty of places on offer. Proved stamina for this trip and drying ground not an issue and should go well if not over the top and can finally nail a decent pot.
Won on Rinky Tinky Tinky @51.00 Yesterday
WIN @
A 5-time career winner who has bounced back to form in the last 2 runs, finishing second over 3 miles at Haydock in February, followed by an impressive win in the Pertemps Final at the Cheltenham Festival. Won there with a bit to spare and a big chance if able to repeat that performance today.
+1093 profit on Horse Racing in the last 6 months
WIN @
He's on a bit of a redemption mission here, having fallen last time out when racing far too keenly for his own good. If none the worse for the tumble, I think the handicapper has been kind here, dropping him 2 lbs from his British handicap mark. His form is rock solid in the context of this type of race. He won a Grade 2 novice back in December, beating Quebcois easily, with 5L separating them at the line. That form looks well now with the runner-up beating Jump Allen off a mark of 131 next time out. Jump Allen, in turn, won a decent handicap off 128 at Sandown this weekend just gone. His career-best effort came in the Challow Hurdle, finishing a 5L 3rd behind The New Lion. Obviously, that form has worked out well with the winner going on to win The Turners Novice Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival. If Richie and the tongue tie can keep a lid on his eagerness to travel keenly, he's got plenty to give off his current mark, despite this being an ultra-competitive handicap.
+1286 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
EW @
Although well held in 6th in the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival, that form stacks up pretty well here. Stepping up in distance shouldn't be a problem.
Won on Love Billy Boy @5.50 on Monday
EW @
Is holding his form well and went with plenty of promise in the Pertemps final at Cheltenham on his latest outing. Faded late on but might have just needed the run having been off for three months. Decent each way claims.
48% strike rate on Horse Racing in the last 3 months
EW @
Flicker of Hope didn't show a lot at Cheltenham in the Albert Bartlett but had shown good forward progress until that run. It can give this a proper shot back on home turf.
EW @
The yard has won 2 of the last 5 runnings of the race. Second beaten 3 lengths in a novice hurdle over 2m4f at Ayr. Latest form of previous graded run franked at top level. Stamina to prove, but should be thereabouts if holds up at each way price.
+541 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
EW @
Winner on penultimate outing at Haydock back in February on good to soft ground. Ran well when staying on for fifth place in the Pertemps at the recent Cheltenham Festival. Looks a big price here for each-way purposes with many bookies paying out on extra places, and with the newly crowned UK champion jockey taking the ride, a big positive.
+1761 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
EW @
Monbeg Park has been mainly chasing of late, including a listed win in March. He gets back to hurdling and its lower mark today and could be in the mix at the end of this one. EW 6P.
In profit on Horse Racing for 4 of the previous 6 months
EW @
Looked progressive early season when being stepped up in trip. Bombed out in the Pertemps final LTO, but this race and track should suit more. With the jockey's claim, just 5lbs above the penultimate win at Leopardstown over Christmas when Pertemps 4th Feet of a Dancer was back in 3rd.
+1562 profit on Horse Racing in the last 6 months
EW @
I LOVE MY BAIE runs for high-prpofile owners and may not be the second-string that the market suggests for Munir & Souede. This lightly-raced type should strip much sharper for his first run for ten months at Ayr recently and that effort hinted this more extreme distance would suit.
+693 profit on Horse Racing this month
EW @
Despite a lackluster performance in the handicap hurdle at Aintree 27 days ago, the veteran has potential in this competitive field of 28. His history as a C&D winner makes him a contender, and you can never rule out an Elliott horse. At 40/1 each-way, this bet offers excellent value.
+129 profit on Horse Racing in the last 3 months
EW @
Raced too freely when 11L third in a handicap hurdle at Clonmel most recent run. Well treated on previous win, good ground suits solid each way NAP.
Won on Transprint @23.00 Yesterday
WIN @
The model I run suggests All For Rachel can win this race. Admittedly, this model output looks a bit questionable, but I thought that earlier in the week when it predicted Buy Some Time to win at 51/1, so I have to take this at face value. All For Rachel has the highest RPR on the racecard, but the lowest official ranking, meaning this horse steps out carrying the lowest weight of the field. It is a horse in reserve, so it might not even run. But 67s is huge and looks overpriced to me. Each way is still viable at these prices and extra places on offer.
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Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
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