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Won on Transprint @23.00 Yesterday
Daily Racing
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The model I run suggests The Other Mozzie should get over the line first here. Sets out carrying the most weight, but is the highest RPR of the field and the highest official rank here. Previous good win at Ayr just over 2 weeks before this so comes here in good form.
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The model I run suggests Keep Running can get over the line first here. Keep Running sets out with the highest RPR of the field but is nowhere near the highest official ranking on the card, meaning the weights being carried over the 2m round trip are manageable. Sean Bowen picks up the reins, who's in excellent form. Prior form readings of 1, 1, 2 in the last 3 races over Jan/Feb.
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The model I run suggests Vital Island can win this one and get over the line first. This horse steps out with a mid-range RPR but carries quite a bit less weight than the main pack due to Mr. Stone on board claiming 7 lbs. This is a monster distance of 4m 1f, and Vital Island hasn't been run since winning this event last year. Admittedly, with a 15-runner field, you need things to go your way, but some of the other horses' forms don't look particularly great either, so maybe it's a returning victory for Vital Island.
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The model I run suggests All For Rachel can win this race. Admittedly, this model output looks a bit questionable, but I thought that earlier in the week when it predicted Buy Some Time to win at 51/1, so I have to take this at face value. All For Rachel has the highest RPR on the racecard, but the lowest official ranking, meaning this horse steps out carrying the lowest weight of the field. It is a horse in reserve, so it might not even run. But 67s is huge and looks overpriced to me. Each way is still viable at these prices and extra places on offer.
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The model I run suggests Timetoshine can cause an upset here. Sixandahalf is large odds-on favorite, but Timetoshine comes in here in spectacular form. Prior readings of 1, 1, 1 in last 3 outings over this 2m trip. Big odds offer each way angle and there are 3 places paying in this 10-runner field.
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The model I run suggests Crambo can win this. Crambo steps out with a relatively high RPR, only 4 diff to the top of the market. All runners carry the same weight with the exception of Jetara. Teahupoo is the previous winner of this event last year and is the big favourite, but Crambo is also a previous Class 1 Grade 1 3m winner at Ascot. So if the same kind of form can be shown, it could be interesting.
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The model I run suggests Ksar Fatal should win this one. Highest RPR of the field, Mullins yard in fine form, and doesn't carry any extra weight for the privilege. I think it's interesting Patrick prefers this to Dani Donadoni. Prior form figures of 1, 1.