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Won on Destroytheevidence @17.00 on Friday
WIN @
Steps up in trip on reappearance. Sent straight over the larger obstacles. Her record after a break is decent enough so lack of run is no issue with her. She won her sole point run with plenty in hand. So encouraging to see the yard waste no time getting her sent over the larger obstacles. She won 2 of her 5 runs over hurdles last term. Her win over hurdles on debut last term rates decent enough form. She beat a useful horse in Florencethemachine. Beating her with any amount in hand. She doubled her tally nto. Beating Endless Supply just over 1L. She didn't manage to win in her next 3 runs. But tbf she ran in much better races. A pair of listed races sandwiched between a competitive class 3 handicap race. She finished a honorable 5th in the class 3 handicap , beaten 9L. Then finished 2nd in a listed mares handicap on her final run of the season. Soft ground is no bother for her. She's won on good to soft too so unless it's rattling fast ground. She will be fine. Stepping up in trip should suit given she's won over 3M.
EW @
This is a competitive race, no doubt, with a few interesting opponents in here. But I, for one, am most pleased to see him sent over fences. He drops back in trip this time. Admittedly, this trip is probably a tad sharp for him. He will likely prove more effective upped in trip. However, this is a nice starting point for him. He won 2 and placed twice in his 10 runs over hurdles, with one of his wins coming over track and trip. Admittedly, the form isn't anything to shout about, but it at least proves he can go well at this particular track. His best run came in a Class 2 handicap race at Aintree, finishing 3rd behind subsequent Long Walk Hurdle winner Crambo, beaten just over 2L by that horse. A solid bit of form. He should take to fences. He finished a decent 2nd behind Meetingofthewaters in his 2nd point run. That also rates as decent form. A mark of 115 is surely underestimating his ability.
WIN @
Makes his handicap debut today. Given a mark of 134. With the jockey taking off a handy 5 lbs with his claim. His overall form warrants this type of mark, to be fair. He won over track and trip on hurdling debut. He absolutely battered the opposition. Admittedly, it wasn't a strong race, but he won with plenty of authority. He finished 2nd in a Grade 2 novice 2 runs later behind Jeriko Du Reponet. A solid run behind a useful opponent. He managed to win a Grade 2 novice next out. Held up out the back, he travelled smoothly, took up the running, and pulled away to record a silky success. Never in any danger. He was outclassed, flying high on his final start of the campaign, finishing 5th in a Grade 1 novice behind the likes of Mystical Power and Firefox. No disgrace there. Now his sights are lowered. Back at a course he's won at before, I think he's the one to beat in this type of race.
EW @
He's another I want on my side. Having his first run for this yard. Running off what looks to be a decent enough mark. With Kielan Woods booked to ride, which is no bad thing given he knows this horse better than anybody. Admittedly, this ground might not be of any use for him. Arguably, he wants it softer in truth. I'm just struggling to get that Imperial Cup run out of my mind. What a solid effort that was. He finished 3rd behind Go Dante and Faivoir, beaten just 4L by the winner. A solid effort given how keen he was. That form, for me, is up there with the best single pieces of form on offer. He did manage to win one for his former stable, winning a handicap with plenty in the tank. The runner-up came out and won cosily next time out.
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Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.