Scottish Grand National Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

The Scottish Grand National is always an anticipated contest at Ayr, run over a trip of 4m. In this guide, we take a closer look at the winning connections, past records, and the key trends that could help you pinpoint this year's Scottish Grand National winner.
Scottish Grand National Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Scottish Grand National Preview

First run in 1858, the Scottish Grand National moved to its current home of Ayr in 1966. The race carries the same Class 1 Premier Handicap status as the Aintree Grand National, and the runners (aged 5 years and upwards) tackle 27 standard national hunt chase obstacles over a distance around 25 yards short of 4 miles.

Usually staged a couple of weeks later than Aintree, depending on the Easter calendar. The only horse to win both races in the same year was the great Red Rum back in 1974. Music Hall was the first horse to win both in 1922, and the most recent dual winner, Earth Summit in 1994, is the only horse to have won the Scottish Grand National, Welsh Grand National and English Grand National.

Scottish Grand National Information:

We also have a dedicated Ayr tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Ayr Racecourse section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Scottish Grand National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2007, when the race had an over-round of 125%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 145%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Scottish Grand National, the over-round has been 135%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ135 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Scottish Grand National Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Scottish Grand National Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Scottish Grand National races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Hot Weld (7:55.10) in 2007
  2. Joe Farrell (8:00.50) in 2018
  3. Takingrisks (8:02.40) in 2019

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Scottish Grand National next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -7.25. Ahead of the 2027 Scottish Grand National, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 7:55.10 was set by Hot Weld in 2007, trained by Ferdy Murphy and ridden by P J McDonald, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2026 when Kap Vert won in a time of 9:05.23 for trainer Philip Hobbs & Johnson White, who booked Sean Houlihan in the saddle.

What the expert says...
Something worth keeping an eye on is last time out winners, between 2006 & 2017, only two of the winners of the race came here having won last time out; however, things seem to be changing as six of the last eight winners have now been runners who won last time out.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Scottish Grand National Past Winners

Here are the Scottish Grand National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Scottish Grand National are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2026
9:05.23
Kap Vert (FR)
6yo 10-12 20/1
Sean Houlihan
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White (GB)
2025
8:20.56
Captain Cody (IRE)
7yo 11-4 9/1
Harry Cobden
W P Mullins (IRE)
2024
8:25.96
Macdermott (FR)
6yo 10-7 18/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)
2023
8:10.29
Kittys Light (GB)
7yo 11-0 4/1F
Jack Tudor
Christian Williams (GB)
2022
8:04.57
Win My Wings (IRE)
9yo 10-12 13/2F
Mr R James (7lbs)
Christian Williams (GB)
2021
8:21.70
Mighty Thunder (GB)
8yo 11-1 8/1
Tom Scudamore
Lucinda Russell (GB)
2019
8:02.40
Takingrisks (IRE)
10yo 10-1 25/1
Sean Quinlan
Nicky Richards (GB)
2018
8:00.50
Joe Farrell (IRE)
9yo 10-6 33/1
Adam Wedge
Rebecca Curtis (GB)
2017
8:05.50
Vicente (FR)
8yo 11-10 9/1F
Sam Twiston-Davies
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2016
8:24.10
Vicente (FR)
7yo 11-3 14/1
Sam Twiston-Davies
Paul Nicholls (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Scottish Grand National have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 53 placings from 436 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 6 placings from 53 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners

2026 Scottish Grand National Replay


Scottish Grand National Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Scottish Grand National over the last 20 renewals, with Paul Nicholls, W P Mullins, and Christian Williams having all won the race twice. Paul Nicholls winners have been with Vicente (2016 & 2017). W P Mullins winners have been with Macdermott (2024) and Captain Cody (2025). Christian Williams winners have been with Win My Wings (2022) and Kittys Light (2023). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Scottish Grand National. Sue Smith (0-22), David Pipe (0-18), Nicky Henderson (0-14), Venetia Williams (0-13), Philip Hobbs (0-12) and Sandy Thomson (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Scottish Grand National trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Paul Nicholls29-2-5-4.00-7.18
W P Mullins13-2-4+16.00+14.88
Christian Williams4-2-3+8.50+5.87
Nigel Twiston-Davies23-1-9-10.00+16.15
Peter Bowen18-1-2+23.00+13.50
Alan King17-1-6-4.00+7.13
Lucinda Russell16-1-1-7.00-10.00
Nicky Richards10-1-2+16.00+10.26
Rebecca Curtis2-1-1+32.00+19.63
Tim Vaughan2-1-1+6.50+3.69

Scottish Grand National Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Scottish Grand National over the last 20 renewals is Sam Twiston-Davies, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from Vicente (2016 & 2017). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Scottish Grand National; Harry Skelton has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Scottish Grand National jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Sam Twiston-Davies15-2-5+10.00+9.57
Sean Quinlan8-1-2+18.00+11.63
Harry Cobden7-1-1+3.00-0.37
Danny Mullins6-1-2+13.00+7.75
Robert Dunne5-1-1+21.00+11.63
Adam Wedge3-1-1+31.00+18.63
Sean Houlihan2-1-1+19.00+11.50
Jack Tudor2-1-2+3.00+2.81
P J McDonald1-1-1+14.00+8.75
Mr R James1-1-1+6.50+4.06

Scottish Grand National Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +109.00, is when runners had 1 win in the past 90 days.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Heavy ground on debut, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-68.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Scottish Grand National is Cheltenham; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 489 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 7 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Scottish Grand National:

  • Dom Alco (3 Wins)
  • Pistolet Bleu (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Scottish Grand National despite multiple attempts:

  • Milan (0 Wins from 13 runners)
  • Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Brian Boru (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Saddler Maker (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Beneficial (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Iris De Balme in 2008, winning for Sean Curran at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Charlie Huxley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Scottish Grand National, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Route to the Scottish Grand National

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Scottish Grand National. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Kap Vert
Taunton - 1st of 5 (6/5)
DragonBet The Roar Before Cheltenham Dragonboosts Handicap Chase
2025 - Captain Cody
Cheltenham - UR of 18 (12/1)
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
2024 - Macdermott
Fairyhouse - 1st of 9 (5/1)
Envirogreen Building Services Handicap Chase
2023 - Kittys Light
Newcastle - 1st of 13 (7/4)
Eider Chase
2022 - Win My Wings
Newcastle - 1st of 16 (11/2)
Eider Chase
2021 - Mighty Thunder
Uttoxeter - 2nd of 20 (18/1)
Midlands Grand National
2019 - Takingrisks
Carlisle - 1st of 6 (11/2)
Aglionby Veterans Handicap Chase
2018 - Joe Farrell
Newbury - 1st of 6 (3/1)
Rosemary Appeal Novices Limited Handicap Chase
2017 - Vicente
Aintree - F of 40 (16/1)
Grand National
2016 - Vicente
Cheltenham - 5th of 20 (14/1)
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup

Scottish Grand National 2026 Runners

The first declarations will consist of a large field, trainers will pull out runners for various reasons, and then there will be five-day declarations, which will narrow the field down drastically before the final declarations, which will be on the Thursday before the race. There is a maximum of thirty horses allowed in the Scottish Grand National.

  • Five-Day Declarations (12th April)
  • Final Declarations (15th April)
  • The Race (17th April)

Scottish National Tips

There are several ways of narrowing down the field to find yourself a Scottish National tip, and the most popular are by using the trends, which look back at previous renewals to find trends, a full list of which you can find above.

You don't want a runner who was unfancied too badly last time it ran, runners who came into the Scottish National having been sent off bigger than 18/1 in their last race have not produced a winner from a total of 132 runners!

In this type of race, you certainly do not want a horse that has been over-run, but at the same time, you need one that has seen a racecourse. Those who have 3-7 starts in the past year are the ones to focus on; those outside of those numbers are 0-93.

  1. Use Trends to narrow down the field
  2. Read the Comments from the best horse racing tipsters
  3. View the most popular Scottish National tips

In such a demanding race, the weight a horse has to carry, too, can be a factor. Grey Abbey in 2004 was the last successful runner to win carrying top weight. Sixteen of the last twenty winners carried 10lbs+ less than the top-weighted horse, and ten of those carried 20lbs+ less than the top weight.

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Scottish Grand National Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Expert Guide

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for jump racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful national hunt racing blogs for OLBG.

Other Principal races at Ayr Racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Ayr racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in September

FAQ

Scottish Grand National FAQ's

  • What date is the 2027 Scottish Grand National?

  • Who are the Scottish Grand National 2027 runners?

  • What are the best Scottish Grand National tips?

  • What are the past Scottish Grand National winners?

  • What is the favourite for the Scottish Grand National?

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