Horse Racing Trainers To Follow In September

Horse Racing Trainers To Follow In September
Horse Racing Trainers To Follow In September

September Trainers

A disappointing August but we still sit at +£69.10 LSP for the year, we roll on to September and the last classic at Donny and big meetings at Ayr and Newmarket.  It's going to be a quieter month with just 7 trainers and despite a losing September 2021 we still have 5 returnees who accumulated +£65 LSP between them last year.  We have 3 Flat, 3 NH and an AW regular, again nothing in Ireland as the stats failed to reveal anything of interest.

 

FLAT TURF (GB)

JOHN & THADY GOSDEN (ALL)

A standing dish in the September blog, and despite making a loss last year I think he still warrants inclusion.

  • 2010 18/81 22% +£12.77
  • 2011 14/74 19% (£ 1.48)
  • 2012 13/59 22% +£ 6.94
  • 2013 7/49 14% (£ 1.05)
  • 2014 15/60 25% +£40.17
  • 2015 20/52 38% +£17.83
  • 2016 12/56 21% +£ 4.60
  • 2017 14/59 24% +£8.99
  • 2018 15/55 27% +£22.99
  • 2019 23/66 35%  (£4.54)
  • 2020 15/58 26%  +£ 3.10
  • 2021 16/65 25%  (£16.91)

Having still managed a 25% strike rate again last year and our own figures showed just a 6pt loss, in 2020 we made a 20pt profit from early prices compared to the SP profit of just 3pts which shows plenty of EP potential.

 

 

CLIVE COX (2&3yo's)

Has been the best performer in the September blog for the past two years, with a +£46.50 LSP in 2019 and +£23.62 in 2020 and +£33.63 last year.

  • 2016     6/48    13%    (£2.50)
  • 2017    11/34   32%   +£36.00
  • 2018     8/31    26%   +£23.04
  • 2019     6/39    15%    +£23.33
  • 2020     7/40    18%    +£14.78
  • 2021     9/45    20%    +£23.43

Again loads of extra profit using Early Prices.  He was just 2/26 with his older horses over the 6 year period so it's important we omit his 4yo+ runners.

 

ED WALKER (ALL)

Lambourne trainer who is new to the September blog.

  • 2018     11/49     22%     +£ 4.74
  • 2019      8/40      20%    +£25.33
  • 2020      4/44       9%      (£26.50)
  • 2021     10/34     29%    +£ 8.43

It goes without saying we need to avoid a repeat of 2020 but any of the other recent seasons will do us fine.

 

 

NH (GB)

 

GARY MOORE (ALL)

Sussex trainer, back from last year wher he made a SP loss but an EP profit.

  • 2016 4/11 36% +£10.16
  • 2017 2/9 22% +£9.75
  • 2018 2/7 29% +£17.00
  • 2019 1/7 14%  (£1.00)
  • 2020 3/15 20% +£2.63
  • 2021 2/8  25%  (£2.38)

Our own figures were +£4.00 LSP so we'll include him again.

 

CHARLIE LONGSDON (ALL) 

Another September regular whose figures go back over 10 years and comes into the month with 3 winners from last 6 runners.

  • 2010 1/1 100% +£16.00
  • 2011 8/22 36% +£19.78
  • 2012 2/13 15% (£ 6.77)
  • 2013 5/16 31% +£ 4.17
  • 2014 7/11 64% +£13.75
  • 2015 5/12 42% +£ 4.75
  • 2016 7/27 26% +£ 3.00
  • 2017 7/25 28% +£9.73
  • 2018 3/18 17% +£0.38
  • 2019 4/21 19% +£2.50
  • 2020 3/21 14%  (£6.50)
  • 2021 5/18 28% +£9.58

Recent years haven't been quite as profitable but still gave us +£3.60 LSP in 2018 and just short of +£7.00 LSP in 2019, 2020 was a tiny profit +£0.50 on our own figures despite the loss on SP, last year much better with +£12.66 on our EP figures.

 

NICKY HENDERSON (ALL)

Blog favourite but not one I had down as an early season performer, his figures show otherwise.

  • 2018     4/11     36%     +£11.37
  • 2019     0/4        0%       (£ 4.00)
  • 2020     7/20     35%      (£ 2.71)
  • 2021     8/16     50%     +£39.00

I'm not worried about 2019, just 4 runners suggests something wasn't right and the loss in 2020 would almost certainly have been profit using EP from 7 winners, the other two years speak for themselves.

 

 

AW

RALPH BECKETT (2&3YO'S)

Last up is another blog favourite and the only AW trainer this month.

  • 2014 4/20 20% +£26.88
  • 2015 2/9 22% +£ 4.88
  • 2016 1/11 9% (£ 7.00)
  • 2017 1/9 11% +£17.00
  • 2018 5/23 21% +£5.25
  • 2019 3/18 17% (£5.00)
  • 2020 4/18 22% +£1.48
  • 2021 3/12 25% +£11.41

Our own figures were +£18.62 LSP last year and he's just 1/15 and (£12.37) with his older horses over the same period so again just his younger runners.  

 

 

Hopefully we can get back to winning ways this month and push towards the three figure LSP again.

 

As always, please leave any comments below, good luck!

 

Results

1st - Frustrating start, seconds at 47's 28's and 9's and a third at 22's.     0/9     (£9.00)

2nd - Same as yesterday but without the close calls.     0/7     (£7.00)

3rd - Winning Saturday's are always nice, 16's winner for Cox and Walker got off the mark with a 4's shot.     2/9     +£14.00

4th - Longsdon winner, almost level day.     1/3     (£0.75)

5th - No runners.

6th - Just Cox runners today and he bagged 2 winners to get us level for the month.     2/5     +£2.62

7th - Hendo winner at 8's and Beckett odds on winner bet at 9/4 in the morning.     2/9     +£2.80

8th - Winners for Gosden and Cox at Donny then a shorty for Cox at Chepstow and Beckett on the AW, nice day.     4/9     +£10.45

9th - No runners

10th - No runners

11th - Just two Cox runners, a kast and a 6's winner.     1/2     +£5.00

12th - Longsdon winner, level day.     1/5     (£0.15)

13th - First bad day since the 2nd.     0/7     (£7.00)

14th - We had 11/2 on the Gosden winner that just prevailed at 7/2 so a very small losing day.     1/7     (£0.50)

15th - Short winner, small loss.     1/4     (£1.75)

16th - Better day than I thought, loads of placed horses at big prices but no winners, or so I thought.......I'd managed to miss the Beckett AW runner which hurts the pocket but not the blog.     1/10     (£2.00)

17th - Poor Saturday, just a Gosden winner to save us a complete wash out.     1/15     (£7.50)

18th - Quiet day, two seconds from four runners.     0/4     (£4.00)

19th - No Runners

20th - No winners.     0/5     (£5.00)

21st - Walker winner, small loss.     1/6     (£1.67)

22nd - Gosden winner, small win.     1/3     +£1.50

23rd - A nice price on Kerdos (6's) help negate the losses on a poor day.     2/13     (£1.50)

24th - Similar to yesterday, a couple of Cox winner, small loss.     2/12     (£2.00)

25th - Such a frustrating day, we had 8 runners spanning 5 races, the results were 2nd @ 7's, 2nd at 11's, 2nd @ 18's, 3rd @ 15/8 and 2nd @ 25's.  To get no returns with 6 of 8 placed is pretty soul destroying.     0/8     (£8.00)

26th - Gosden shorty, small loss.     1/3     (£1.75)

27th - Two runners, both placed, we need to turn some of these into winners.     0/2     (£2.00)

28th - Level day with winners for Longsdon and Hendo but we hit the bar again with a 18's shot, just need one of these to land to get back on track for the month.    2/8     +£0.00

29th - Really good day, I was spewing when Havana Blue just failed to hold on at 16's but that pain was quickly eased as Cox followed up in the next (bet at 17/2), three winners at Warwick followed and Beckett in the last, all of which gives us a very small chance of getting in profit for the month wioth one day left.     5/15     +£11.83

30th - Decent finish, not quite enough to get in profit for the month but no damage done.     2/6     +£3.20

 

Monthly Total

33/186     (£10.07)

 

Yearly Total 

374/2200     +£59.03

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