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2022 John Musker Fillies Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Sep 14, 12:36pm Last Updated: Sep 15, 3:51pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 342 Views

2022 John Musker Fillies Stakes Preview

The John Musker Fillies Stakes is one of the highlights for the flat season at Yarmouth racecourse having first been introduced back in 1993, this listed race is open to fillies and mares who are aged three or older and is run over a trip of one mile, two furlongs and twenty-three yards. The majority of the winners go on to run in some high-class races, a couple have gone over to run in the Grade 1 E P Taylor Stakes over at Woodbine (Canada) with Sheikha Reika winning that race in 2018.

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Yarmouth Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:04.04 was set by Cape Amber in 2008, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam and ridden by Alan Munro. The slowest winning time was set in 2010 when Nouriya won in a time of 2:15.49, booked to ride was Ryan Moore on this Sir Michael Stoute trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run John Musker Fillies Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2008 - Cape Amber (2:04.04)
  • 2019 - Fanny Logan (2:04.17)
  • 2020 - Majestic Noor (2:04.31)

How competitive is the John Musker Fillies Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2011 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the John Musker Fillies Stakes, the over-round has been 118% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the John Musker Fillies Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.51. Before placing your bet on the 2022 John Musker Fillies Stakes see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

John Musker Fillies Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the John Musker Fillies Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the John Musker Fillies Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
2:05.60
Ville De Grace
3yo 8-10 (3 of 12) 13/2
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute
2020
2:04.31
Majestic Noor
3yo 8-11 (13 of 14) 9/2
Hollie Doyle
John Gosden
2019
2:04.17
Fanny Logan
3yo 9-0 (16 of 15) 6/5F
Robert Havlin
John Gosden
2018
2:04.42
Sheikha Reika
3yo 8-11 (2 of 9) 7/1
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian
2017
2:09.09
Beautiful Morning
4yo 9-2 (2 of 11) 9/4F
Colm O'Donoghue
Mrs John Harrington
2016
2:06.07
So Mi Dar
3yo 9-3 (1 of 8) 11/8F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2015
2:05.50
Talmada
4yo 9-2 (4 of 8) 7/2
William Buick
Roger Varian
2014
2:07.48
Hadaatha
3yo 8-10 (1 of 11) 100/30
Paul Hanagan
Roger Varian
2013
2:05.98
Miss You Too
3yo 8-10 (8 of 11) 20/1
Chris Catlin
David Simcock
2012
2:07.86
Semayyel
3yo 8-10 (5 of 13) 125/1
Frederik Tylicki
Clive Brittain

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the John Musker Fillies Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 39 placings from 213 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 6 runners
  • QA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner

John Musker Fillies Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the John Musker Fillies Stakes over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Dance Partner (2006), So Mi Dar (2016), Fanny Logan (2019) & Majestic Noor (2020). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the John Musker Fillies Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (3 wins) & Roger Varian (3 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the John Musker Fillies Stakes, William Haggas has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top John Musker Fillies Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
John Gosden 19-4-6 +6.08 +1.35
Sir Michael Stoute 13-3-5 +1.25 -1.05
Roger Varian 11-3-5 +5.83 +4.80
Saeed bin Suroor 9-1-4 +3.00 +1.05
Peter Chapple-Hyam 6-1-1 +0.00 -2.00
David Simcock 3-1-2 +18.00 +11.30
George Margarson 1-1-1 +2.50 +1.50
Mrs John Harrington 1-1-1 +2.25 +1.35
William Haggas 13-0-2 -13.00 -9.73
James Fanshawe 7-0-3 -7.00 -3.38

John Musker Fillies Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the John Musker Fillies Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Frankie Dettori & Ryan Moore who have both won the race 2 times. Frankie Dettori winners have been with Echoes In Eternity (2003) & So Mi Dar (2016). Ryan Moore winners have been with Nouriya (2010) & Ville De Grace (2021).

Here are some of the top John Musker Fillies Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 9-2-5 +5.38 +9.43
Ryan Moore 6-2-3 +5.25 +3.05
Tom Queally 8-1-1 -3.00 -4.60
Andrea Atzeni 6-1-2 +2.00 +0.40
William Buick 5-1-1 -0.50 -1.90
Robert Havlin 4-1-1 -1.80 -2.28
Neil Callan 2-1-1 +3.50 +1.70
Paul Hanagan 2-1-2 +2.33 +3.10
Hollie Doyle 1-1-1 +4.50 +2.70
Jamie Spencer 8-0-3 -8.00 -3.61

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,3,3,1,3,3,(1,4),3,7,2,12,3,10,2,1,1,8,1,5,3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Contested at least a Class 2
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 15 career starts
  • 19 / 20 (66%) - Within first 7 of the market
  • 19 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - No older than average age
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 20/1 on Debut
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Debut was no further than 1m
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Last win was on turf

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Yarmouth racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the John Musker Fillies Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the John Musker Fillies Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

John Musker Fillies Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +148.50 is when runners ran in a race worth £4,000 on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 3, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-35.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 3 (8,1) [12 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 13 (8,6) [14 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 16 (11,3) [15 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 2 (9,4) [9 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 2 (12,9) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the John Musker Fillies Stakes is Sandown, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are York and Newbury, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the John Musker Fillies Stakes:

  • Cape Cross (2 Wins)
  • Sea The Stars (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the John Musker Fillies Stakes, that stallion is Singspiel who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Semayyel in 2012 when winning for Clive Brittain at odds of 125/1 under the guidance of Frederik Tylicki. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2022 John Musker Fillies Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

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