You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Australian Guineas Preview
Scheduled to take place in either late February or early March of each year at the Flemington racecourse is the Australian Guineas. This Group 1 race is contested over 1,600m and is restricted to three-year-old runners who run off set weights. The race currently holds a purse of A$1m.
Australian Guineas Information:
- Australian Guineas Past Winners
- Australian Guineas Trainer Statistics
- Australian Guineas Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Flemington tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Australian Guineas, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Flemington throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races in Australia section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Australian Guineas market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021, when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2024 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Australian Guineas, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Australian Guineas Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Australian Guineas Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Australian Guineas Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Australian Guineas races over the last 10 renewals:
- Hey Doc (1:34.01) in 2017
- Alligator Blood (1:34.92) in 2020
- Grunt (1:34.99) in 2018
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 10 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Australian Guineas next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 10 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -3.10. Ahead of the 2026 Australian Guineas, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:34.01 was set by Hey Doc in 2017, trained by Tony McEvoy and ridden by Luke Currie, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2022 when Hitotsu won in a time of 1:36.83 for trainer Ciaron Maher & David Eustace, who booked John Allen in the saddle.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Australian Guineas Past Winners
Here are the Australian Guineas past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse that won, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Australian Guineas are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:35.46 | Feroce (NZ) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 15) 13/1 | Billy Egan Dominic Sutton (AUS) |
| 2024 1:35.48 | Southport Tycoon (AUS) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 16) 18/1 | Jamie Kah Ciaron Maher (AUS) |
| 2023 1:36.34 | Legarto (NZ) 3yo 8-9 (9 of 15) 11/2 | Michael Dee Ken & Bev Kelso (NZ) |
| 2022 1:36.83 | Hitotsu (AUS) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 15) 7/1 | John Allen Ciaron Maher & David Eustace (AUS) |
| 2021 1:35.86 | Lunar Fox (AUS) 3yo 9-0 (5 of 15) 300/1 | Michael Dee Paul Preusker (AUS) |
| 2020 1:34.92 | Alligator Blood (AUS) 3yo 8-13 (2 of 8) 17/10F | Ryan Maloney David Vandyke (AUS) |
| 2019 1:35.79 | Mystic Journey (AUS) 3yo 8-8 (1 of 16) 3/1F | Anthony Darmanin Adam Trinder (AUS) |
| 2018 1:34.99 | Grunt (NZ) 3yo 8-13 (16 of 16) 9/2 | Damien Oliver Mick Price (AUS) |
| 2017 1:34.01 | Hey Doc (AUS) 3yo 8-13 (1 of 16) 12/5F | Luke Currie Tony McEvoy (AUS) |
| 2016 1:35.28 | Palentino (AUS) 3yo 8-13 (15 of 15) 9/1 | Mark Zahra Darren Weir (AUS) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Australian Guineas have been based:
- AUS: 9 winners with an additional 19 placings from 139 runners
- NZ: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
- SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
2025 Australian Guineas Replay
Australian Guineas Trainer Statistics
Here are the Australian Guineas trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ciaron Maher | 5-1-1 | +14.00 | +5.00 |
| Chris Waller | 8-0-1 | -8.00 | -7.50 |
| Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr | 7-0-0 | -7.00 | -7.00 |
| Ben, Will & JD Hayes | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
Australian Guineas Jockey Statistics
There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Australian Guineas; Damian Lane has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are the Australian Guineas jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Kah (Planet Red) | 6-1-2 | +13.00 | +5.10 |
| Damian Lane (Sixties) | 10-0-2 | -10.00 | -7.40 |
| Ben Melham (Officiate) | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Ethan Brown (Observer) | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Daniel Stackhouse (Romantic Encounter) | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +8.50 |
| Ben Allen (West Of Swindon) | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Thomas Stockdale (Onavuitton) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2026 Australian Guineas Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 1, 7, 1, 1, 3, 13, 6, 3, 4
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 10 / 10 (65%) - Carried 118 - 128lbs (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (67%) - Not on HY/SFT/GF/STD (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (68%) - Had 1 - 3 wins (Career)
- 10 / 10 (71%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (71%) - Ran over 6f - 1m4½f (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (71%) - Break of 14 - 357 days (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (71%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Win)
- 10 / 10 (72%) - In a field of 6 - 16 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl2
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Fewer than 2 races (Further)
- 10 / 10 (79%) - Not in a G1-2/Cl4-5 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (82%) - Ran over 4½f - 7f (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (86%) - Furthest Placed 7f - 1m4½f
- 9 / 10 (42%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 9 / 10 (52%) - Placed within last 1 start
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Flemington racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Australian Guineas. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Australian Guineas by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Australian Guineas Trend Shortlist
Flemington will host the 2026 renewal of the Australian Guineas, which will be run at 5:20 am on Saturday, 28th February 2026, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer, jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Planet Red (4/1)
- Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr (7-0-0 -7.00 / -7.00)
- Jamie Melham (1-0-1 -1.00 / +0.15)
Others: West Of Swindon (14/15), Sixties (14/15), Observer (12/15), Officiate (10/15), Victorious Spirit (9/15), Bingi (7/15), Express Class (7/15), Onavuitton (7/15) and Romantic Encounter (5/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:43 pm Wednesday 25th February 2026), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Australian Guineas Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +309.20, is when runners ran on Good To Soft ground when last winning.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when the runner's last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-40.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 9 (6,5) [15 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 4 (6,9) [16 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 9 (7,8) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (3,11) [15 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 5 (15,9) [15 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Australian Guineas is Flemington; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Flemington last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 8 winners from a total of 130 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 17 runners.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Australian Guineas despite multiple attempts:
- Dundeel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Fastnet Rock (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Savabeel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Snitzel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lunar Fox in 2021, winning for Paul Preusker at odds of 300/1 under the guidance of Michael Dee. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 Australian Guineas. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the Australian Guineas
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Australian Guineas. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Feroce Flemington - 3rd of 13 (22/5) | C S Hayes Stakes |
| 2024 - Southport Tycoon Caulfield - 2nd of 8 (1/1) | Hyland Race Colours Autumn Stakes |
| 2023 - Legarto Riccarton Park - 1st of 9 (3/10) | Barneswood Farm 50th New Zealand 1000 Guineas |
| 2022 - Hitotsu Flemington - 1st of 16 (3/1) | Victoria Derby |
| 2021 - Lunar Fox Flemington - 12th of 14 (151/1) | CS Hayes Stakes |
| 2020 - Alligator Blood Flemington - 1st of 6 (4/5) | CS Hayes Stakes |
| 2019 - Mystic Journey Hobart - 1st of 7 (4/9) | Magic Millions Thomas Lyons |
| 2018 - Grunt Flemington - 1st of 16 (6/1) | CS Hayes Stakes |
| 2017 - Hey Doc Flemington - 1st of 14 (37/10) | CS Hayes Stakes |
| 2016 - Palentino Flemington - 2nd of 12 (33/10) | CS Hayes Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Australian Guineas Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races in Australia
Here are some other notable races throughout Australia which take place during the racing season that we also have blogs for.
Races at Flemington Racecourse
- Coolmore Stud Stakes
- Crown Oaks
- Empire Rose Stakes
- Melbourne Cup
- Victoria Derby
- VRC Champions Mile
- VRC Champions Sprint
- VRC Champions Stakes
