You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Crown Oaks Preview
Established in 1861 as the VRC Oaks, it retained that title until 2007, when changed to the Crown Oaks. Between 2017 and 2023, the race was known as the Kennedy Oaks; however, in 2024, it reverted to the Crown Oaks.
The race is on day three of the Melbourne Cup Carnival, which is known as either 'Oaks Day' or 'Ladies Day' and is two days after the Melbourne Cup.
Crown Oaks Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Flemington tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered during the Melbourne Cup Carnival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Crown Oaks market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015, when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2024 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Crown Oaks, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Crown Oaks Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Crown Oaks Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Crown Oaks races over the last 10 renewals:
- Personal (2:36.98) in 2020
- Pinot (2:37.25) in 2017
- Lasqueti Spirit (2:37.73) in 2016
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 10 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Crown Oaks next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 7 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -4.30. Ahead of the 2025 Crown Oaks, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 2:36.98 was set by Personal in 2020, trained by Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes and ridden by Damien Oliver, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2015 when Jameka won in a time of 2:43.34 for trainer Ciaron Maher, who booked Damien Oliver in the saddle.
Crown Oaks Past Winners
Here are the Crown Oaks past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Crown Oaks are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:39.11 | Treasurethe Moment (AUS) 3yo 8-11 (12 of 14) 21/10F | Damian Lane Matt Laurie (AUS) |
| 2023 2:38.59 | Zardozi (AUS) 3yo 8-11 (5 of 12) 17/10F | James McDonald James Cummings (AUS) |
| 2022 2:39.14 | Shes Extreme (AUS) 3yo 8-11 (1 of 11) 13/10F | Tommy Berry Anthony Cummings (AUS) |
| 2021 2:40.99 | Willowy (AUS) 3yo 8-11 (2 of 11) 27/10F | Damien Oliver James Cummings (AUS) |
| 2020 2:36.98 | Personal (AUS) 3yo 8-11 (10 of 14) 5/1 | Damien Oliver Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes (AUS) |
| 2019 2:38.32 | Miami Bound (NZ) 3yo 8-10 (7 of 14) 16/5 | Damien Oliver Danny O'Brien (AUS) |
| 2018 2:40.54 | Aristia (AUS) 3yo 8-10 (4 of 15) 9/2 | Damian Lane Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra (AUS) |
| 2017 2:37.25 | Pinot (AUS) 3yo 8-10 (6 of 12) 9/2 | Stephen Baster Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott (AUS) |
| 2016 2:37.73 | Lasqueti Spirit (AUS) 3yo 8-10 (9 of 15) 100/1 | Brenton Avdulla Lee Curtis (AUS) |
| 2015 2:43.34 | Jameka (AUS) 3yo 8-10 (7 of 11) 18/5 | Damien Oliver Ciaron Maher (AUS) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Crown Oaks have been based:
- AUS: 10 winners with an additional 19 placings from 128 runners
- NZ: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
2024 Crown Oaks Replay
Crown Oaks Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Crown Oaks over the last 10 renewals is James Cummings, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Willowy (2021) and Zardozi (2023).
Here are some of the top Crown Oaks trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Cummings | 2-2-2 | +4.40 | +2.64 |
| Danny O'Brien | 7-1-3 | -2.80 | +0.92 |
| Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott | 4-1-1 | +1.50 | -0.30 |
| Anthony Cummings | 4-1-1 | -1.70 | -2.22 |
| Lee Curtis | 1-1-1 | +100.00 | +60.00 |
| Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.00 |
| Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra | 1-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.70 |
| Ciaron Maher | 1-1-1 | +3.60 | +2.16 |
| Matt Laurie | 1-1-1 | +2.10 | +1.26 |
| John Sargent | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -6.23 |
Crown Oaks Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Crown Oaks over the last 10 renewals is Damien Oliver, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Jameka (2015), Miami Bound (2019), Personal (2020) and Willowy (2021). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Crown Oaks is Damian Lane (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Crown Oaks jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Oliver | 6-4-6 | +12.50 | +9.15 |
| Damian Lane | 4-2-2 | +4.60 | +1.96 |
| James McDonald | 8-1-3 | -5.30 | -4.41 |
| Stephen Baster | 4-1-1 | +1.50 | -0.30 |
| Brenton Avdulla | 2-1-1 | +99.00 | +59.00 |
| Tommy Berry | 2-1-1 | +0.30 | -0.22 |
| Michael Dee | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -1.00 |
| Ben Melham | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -2.62 |
| Hugh Bowman | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -4.60 |
| Jamie Kah | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.40 |
2025 Crown Oaks Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 14, 6, 15, 5, 3, 1, 1, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 10 / 10 (64%) - Achieved an RPR of 89+ (Season)
- 10 / 10 (71%) - Placed within the last 1 start
- 10 / 10 (74%) - Ran in 2 - 5 races (90 Days)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Beaten no more -6l (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Dam is not CAN/IRE/JPN/NZ bred
- 10 / 10 (80%) - Ran over 5½f - 1m (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (80%) - Not in a G1/LST/Cl4 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (81%) - Not in a LST/Cl2-5 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Not BB/BK/BL/CG/GR in colour
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Not on SFT/STD (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - In a field of 10 - 16 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Furthest ran 1m1f - 1m2f
- 10 / 10 (87%) - Not on SFT (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (87%) - Within the first 11 of the market
- 10 / 10 (89%) - Carried 120 - 127lbs (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Flemington racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Crown Oaks. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Crown Oaks by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Crown Oaks Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +58.20, is when runners were Bay in colour.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 start in the past 90 days, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-26.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 12 (9,7) [14 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (11,2) [12 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (10,7) [11 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (11,3) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 10 (9,5) [14 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Crown Oaks is Flemington; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Flemington last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Crown Oaks; that stallion is Sebring, who has failed to produce a winner from 8 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lasqueti Spirit in 2016, winning for Lee Curtis at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of Brenton Avdulla. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals, there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the Crown Oaks
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Crown Oaks. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Treasurethe Moment Flemington - 1st of 12 (4/1) | HKJC World Pool Wakeful Stakes |
| 2023 - Zardozi Flemington - 2nd of 13 (6/5) | TAB Wakeful Stakes |
| 2022 - Shes Extreme Randwick - 3rd of 12 (16/5) | Moet & Chandon Spring Champion Stakes |
| 2021 - Willowy Flemington - 1st of 11 (10/1) | ZED RUN Wakeful Stakes |
| 2020 - Personal Flemington - 2nd of 14 (2/1) | G.H.Mumm Wakeful Stakes |
| 2019 - Miami Bound Flemington - 1st of 12 (7/1) | G.H. Mumm Wakeful Stakes |
| 2018 - Aristia Flemington - 1st of 11 (11/2) | Mumm Wakeful Stakes |
| 2017 - Pinot Caulfield - 1st of 16 (9/2) | New Zealand Bloodstock Ethereal Stakes |
| 2016 - Lasqueti Spirit Rosehill - 8th of 10 (81/1) | Schweppes Gloaming Stakes |
| 2015 - Jameka Moonee Valley - 1st of 11 (22/5) | Dilmah Exceptional Teas Vase |
Races Covered during the Melbourne Cup Carnival
Here are the other races that take place at the Flemington Racetrack during the Melbourne Cup Carnival that we also cover with blogs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Coolmore Stud Stakes | Switzerland (AUS) 3yo - 9/2 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
| Empire Rose Stakes | Atishu (NZ) 7yo - 13/5 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
| Victoria Derby | Goldrush Guru (AUS) 3yo - 7/1 | Andrew Gluyas Jamie Kah |
| Melbourne Cup | Knights Choice (AUS) 5yo - 90/1 | John Symons & Sheila Laxon Robbie Dolan |
| Crown Oaks | Treasurethe Moment (AUS) 3yo - 21/10 | Matt Laurie Damian Lane |
| VRC Champions Mile | Mr Brightside (NZ) 7yo - 4/1 | Ben, Will & JD Hayes Craig A Williams |
| VRC Champions Sprint | Sunshine In Paris (AUS) 5yo - 4/1 | Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald James McDonald |
| VRC Champions Stakes | Via Sistina (IRE) 6yo - 3/5 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Crown Oaks Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
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Andy Powell
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