Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Crown Oaks Preview
Established in 1861 as the VRC Oaks, it retained that title until 2007 when changed to the Crown Oaks, between 2017 and 2023 the race was known as the Kennedy Oaks, however, in 2024 it reverted back to the Crown Oaks.
The race is on day three of the Melbourne Cup Carnival, which is known as either 'Oaks Day' or 'Ladies Day' and is two days after the Melbourne Cup.
Crown Oaks Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Flemington tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered during the Melbourne Cup Carnival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Crown Oaks market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2024 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Crown Oaks, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
Crown Oaks Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Crown Oaks next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -8.45. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Crown Oaks see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Dear Demi, trained by Clarry Conners and ridden by Jim Cassidy who set the fastest winning time in the Crown Oaks, the runner won the race in a time of 2:35.88 when winning the race in 2012. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Ciaron Maher and jockey Damien Oliver with Jameka who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:43.34 in the 2015 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Crown Oaks over the last 20 renewals:
- Dear Demi (2:35.88) in 2012
- Serenade Rose (2:36.35) in 2005
- Arapaho Miss (2:36.85) in 2007
Crown Oaks Past Winners
Here are the Crown Oaks past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Crown Oaks are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:39.11 | Treasurethe Moment (AUS) 3yo 8-11 (12 of 14) 21/10F | Damian Lane Matt Laurie (AUS) |
| 2023 2:38.59 | Zardozi (AUS) 3yo 8-11 (5 of 12) 17/10F | James McDonald James Cummings (AUS) |
| 2022 2:39.14 | Shes Extreme (AUS) 3yo 8-11 (1 of 11) 13/10F | Tommy Berry Anthony Cummings (AUS) |
| 2021 2:40.99 | Willowy (AUS) 3yo 8-11 (2 of 11) 27/10F | Damien Oliver James Cummings (AUS) |
| 2020 2:36.98 | Personal (AUS) 3yo 8-11 (10 of 14) 5/1 | Damien Oliver Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes (AUS) |
| 2019 2:38.32 | Miami Bound (NZ) 3yo 8-10 (7 of 14) 16/5 | Damien Oliver Danny O'Brien (AUS) |
| 2018 2:40.54 | Aristia (AUS) 3yo 8-10 (4 of 15) 9/2 | Damian Lane Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra (AUS) |
| 2017 2:37.25 | Pinot (AUS) 3yo 8-10 (6 of 12) 9/2 | Stephen Baster Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott (AUS) |
| 2016 2:37.73 | Lasqueti Spirit (AUS) 3yo 8-10 (9 of 15) 100/1 | Brenton Avdulla Lee Curtis (AUS) |
| 2015 2:43.34 | Jameka (AUS) 3yo 8-10 (7 of 11) 18/5 | Damien Oliver Ciaron Maher (AUS) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Crown Oaks have been based:
- AUS: 18 winners with an additional 34 placings from 236 runners
- HK: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 15 runners
- SIN: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 6 runners
- NZ: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 3 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Crown Oaks Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Crown Oaks over the last 20 renewals with both Ciaron Maher and James Cummings who have both won the race two times. Ciaron Maher's winners have been with Set Square (2014) and Jameka (2015). James Cummings winners have been with Willowy (2021) and Zardozi (2023).
Here are some of the top Crown Oaks trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ciaron Maher | 2-2-2 | +10.10 | +6.06 |
| James Cummings | 2-2-2 | +4.40 | +2.64 |
| David A Hayes | 15-1-3 | -12.50 | -8.60 |
| Danny O'Brien | 10-1-5 | -5.80 | +2.02 |
| John Sargent | 9-1-3 | -6.30 | -4.81 |
| Anthony Cummings | 8-1-1 | -5.70 | -6.22 |
| Robert Smerdon | 7-1-1 | -2.00 | -3.60 |
| Lee Freedman | 6-1-3 | -3.50 | -2.45 |
| Bart Cummings | 6-1-3 | -4.33 | +0.40 |
| Pat Carey | 4-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.60 |
Crown Oaks Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Crown Oaks over the last 20 renewals is Damien Oliver who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Jameka (2015), Miami Bound (2019), Personal (2020) and Willowy (2021). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Crown Oaks are Hugh Bowman (2 wins), Craig A Williams (2 wins) and Damian Lane (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Crown Oaks, Kerrin McEvoy has ridden 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Crown Oaks jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Oliver | 12-4-6 | +6.50 | +3.15 |
| Hugh Bowman | 13-2-5 | -3.65 | -4.52 |
| Craig A Williams | 11-2-4 | -5.50 | -4.35 |
| Damian Lane | 4-2-2 | +4.60 | +1.96 |
| James McDonald | 10-1-3 | -7.30 | -6.41 |
| Corey Brown | 7-1-1 | +0.00 | -2.40 |
| Brenton Avdulla | 4-1-1 | +97.00 | +57.00 |
| Stephen Baster | 4-1-1 | +1.50 | -0.30 |
| Danny Nikolic | 4-1-2 | +1.00 | +0.40 |
| Nash Rawiller | 4-1-1 | -1.30 | -1.98 |
2025 Crown Oaks Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 8, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 6, 3, 14, 6, 15, 5, 3, 1, 1, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Within the first 11 of the market
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not BB/BK/BL/CG/GR in colour
- 18 / 20 (65%) - Ran over 5½f - 1m (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (72%) - Beaten no more -8l (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (73%) - Not in a LST/Cl2-5 (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (74%) - Not in a LST/Cl4 (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (75%) - Not on HY/SFT (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (75%) - In a field of 10 - 18 (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (77%) - Furthest ran 1m - 1m2f
- 18 / 20 (78%) - Beaten no more -1½l (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (79%) - Off a break of 5 - 40 days
- 18 / 20 (79%) - Not in a Handicap (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (80%) - Carried 117 - 127lbs (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (80%) - Not on STD (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - Not in NZL (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Flemington racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Crown Oaks. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Crown Oaks by adding a tip on the race here.
Crown Oaks Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +50.35 is when runners ran in a race restricted to 2yo on debut.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 season start, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-51.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 12 (9,7) [14 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (11,2) [12 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (10,7) [11 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (11,3) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 10 (9,5) [14 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Crown Oaks is Flemington, there has been a total number of 12 winners of this race who ran at Flemington last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Moonee Valley, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Moonee Valley last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Crown Oaks:
- Fastnet Rock (2 Wins)
- Redoutes Choice (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Crown Oaks despite multiple attempts:
- Encosta De Lago (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Sebring (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Zabeel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Savabeel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- High Chaparral (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lasqueti Spirit in 2016, winning for Lee Curtis at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of Brenton Avdulla. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Crown Oaks why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Crown Oaks Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Races Covered during the Melbourne Cup Carnival
Here are the other races that take place at the Flemington Racetrack during the Melbourne Cup Carnival that we also cover with blogs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Coolmore Stud Stakes Victoria Derby Day | Switzerland (AUS) 3yo - 9/2 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
| Empire Rose Stakes Victoria Derby Day | Atishu (NZ) 7yo - 13/5 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
| Victoria Derby Victoria Derby Day | Goldrush Guru (AUS) 3yo - 7/1 | Andrew Gluyas Jamie Kah |
| Melbourne Cup Melbourne Cup Day | Knights Choice (AUS) 5yo - 90/1 | John Symons & Sheila Laxon Robbie Dolan |
| Crown Oaks Kennedy Oaks Day | Treasurethe Moment (AUS) 3yo - 21/10 | Matt Laurie Damian Lane |
| VRC Champions Mile Champions Stakes Day | Mr Brightside (NZ) 7yo - 4/1 | Ben, Will & JD Hayes Craig A Williams |
| VRC Champions Sprint Champions Stakes Day | Sunshine In Paris (AUS) 5yo - 4/1 | Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald James McDonald |
| VRC Champions Stakes Champions Stakes Day | Via Sistina (IRE) 6yo - 3/5 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
