You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Empire Rose Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in either late October or early November of each year at the Flemington racecourse is the Empire Rose Stakes, a race that features on the opening day of the Melbourne Cup Carnival, the Saturday before the Melbourne Cup takes place.
Created in 1988, this race was originally listed but was upgraded in 1995 to G3, then again in 1997 to G2, and finally, since 2004, has held G1 status. The race is open to fillies and mares aged three or older and is run over a 1,600m distance.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Empire Rose Stakes will hold the title of 'TAB Empire Rose Stakes'.
Empire Rose Stakes Information:
- Empire Rose Stakes Past Winners
- Empire Rose Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Empire Rose Stakes Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Flemington tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Empire Rose Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Flemington throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered during the Melbourne Cup Carnival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Empire Rose Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2024 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Empire Rose Stakes, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ117 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Empire Rose Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Empire Rose Stakes Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Empire Rose Stakes Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Empire Rose Stakes races over the last 10 renewals:
- Colette (1:34.84) in 2021
- Shillelagh (1:34.86) in 2018
- Pride Of Jenni (1:34.86) in 2023
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 10 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Empire Rose Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 10 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +3.00. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Empire Rose Stakes, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2022 renewal when Icebath from Brad Widdup under the guidance of Craig A Williams, won in a time of 1:37.81, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Colette, trained by James Cummings and ridden by Damien Oliver set the quickest time of 1:34.84 in the 2021 renewal.
Empire Rose Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Empire Rose Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Empire Rose Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:35.93 | Atishu (NZ) 7yo 9-0 (9 of 13) 13/5F | James McDonald Chris Waller (AUS) |
| 2023 1:34.86 | Pride Of Jenni (AUS) 6yo 9-0 (16 of 16) 15/1 | Declan Bates Ciaron Maher & David Eustace (AUS) |
| 2022 1:37.81 | Icebath (NZ) 6yo 9-0 (3 of 16) 10/1 | Craig A Williams Brad Widdup (AUS) |
| 2021 1:34.84 | Colette (AUS) 5yo 9-0 (8 of 14) 12/1 | Damien Oliver James Cummings (AUS) |
| 2020 1:35.37 | Shout The Bar (AUS) 4yo 8-13 (11 of 13) 30/1 | Damien Oliver Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott (AUS) |
| 2019 1:37.78 | Melody Belle (NZ) 5yo 9-0 (13 of 16) 14/5F | Opie Bosson Jamie Richards (NZ) |
| 2018 1:34.86 | Shillelagh (NZ) 7yo 9-0 (9 of 16) 11/2 | James McDonald Chris Waller (AUS) |
| 2017 1:35.26 | Shoals (AUS) 3yo 7-12 (10 of 16) 19/5F | Dean Yendall Anthony Freedman (AUS) |
| 2016 1:35.56 | I Am A Star (NZ) 3yo 7-10 (10 of 15) 15/2 | Dean Yendall Shane Nichols (AUS) |
| 2015 1:37.75 | Politeness (AUS) 5yo 9-0 (10 of 15) 18/1 | Dwayne Dunn Robert Smerdon (AUS) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Empire Rose Stakes have been based:
- AUS: 9 winners with an additional 20 placings from 145 runners
- NZ: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
2024 Empire Rose Stakes Replay
Empire Rose Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Empire Rose Stakes over the last 10 renewals is Chris Waller, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Shillelagh (2018) and Atishu (2024).
Here are the Empire Rose Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Waller | 17-2-5 | -6.90 | -5.34 |
| Ciaron Maher | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | +5.00 |
| Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.20 |
| Matthew A Smith | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Grahame Begg | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Empire Rose Stakes Jockey Statistics
Here are the Empire Rose Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Craig A Williams (Benagil) | 8-1-2 | +3.00 | -1.50 |
| Declan Bates (Pride Of Jenni) | 3-1-1 | +13.00 | +5.50 |
| Mark Zahra (Leica Lucy) | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -6.50 |
| Blake Shinn (Damask Rose) | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Michael Dee (Idle Flyer) | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -3.50 |
| Kerrin McEvoy (Fangirl) | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Ben Melham (On Display) | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Jamie Kah (Abounding) | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.10 |
| Tommy Berry (Lazzura) | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +4.50 |
| Adam Hyeronimus (Firestorm) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Jordan Childs (Splash Back) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2025 Empire Rose Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 13, 12, 1, 11, 1, 7, 7, 4, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 10 / 10 (64%) - Achieved an RPR of 100+ (Class)
- 10 / 10 (65%) - Ran over 5½f - 7f (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (65%) - Ran in 6 - 11 races (Season)
- 10 / 10 (69%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 10 / 10 (75%) - Achieved an RPR of 97+ (Going)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 101+ (Last 3)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Highest Run is G1
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Ran in 3 - 6 races (180 Days)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - No bigger than 30/1
- 10 / 10 (77%) - No bigger than 15/1 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Furthest Placed 7½f - 1m4f
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Carried 119 - 126lbs (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (87%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl2
- 10 / 10 (87%) - Furthest ran 1m - 1m4f
- 10 / 10 (89%) - No bigger than 80/1 (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Flemington racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Empire Rose Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Empire Rose Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Empire Rose Stakes Trend Shortlist
Flemington will host the 2025 renewal of the Empire Rose Stakes, which will be run at 6:00 am on Saturday, 1st November 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Fangirl (14/5)
- Chris Waller (17-2-5 -6.90 / -5.34)
- Kerrin McEvoy (4-0-0 -4.00 / -4.00)
- 15/15 Lazzura (9/1)
- Chris Waller (17-2-5 -6.90 / -5.34)
- Tommy Berry (2-0-1 -2.00 / +4.50)
Others: Pride Of Jenni (14/15), Abounding (13/15), Benagil (13/15), Damask Rose (12/15), Leica Lucy (12/15), Idle Flyer (11/15), Splash Back (11/15), Firestorm (10/15) and On Display (8/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (11:29 am Wednesday 29th October 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Empire Rose Stakes Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +41.90, is when runners were off a break of 21 days.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career win in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-36.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 9 (2,13) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 16 (8,14) [16 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (15,4) [16 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 8 (3,12) [14 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 11 (7,13) [13 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Empire Rose Stakes is Caulfield; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Caulfield last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Empire Rose Stakes; that stallion, Savabeel, has produced 2 winners (2024,2018).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Empire Rose Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Sebring (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Street Cry (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Shout The Bar in 2020, winning for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott at odds of 30/1 under the guidance of Damien Oliver. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Empire Rose Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the Empire Rose Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Empire Rose Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Atishu Caulfield - 3rd of 8 (3/1) | Sportsbet Might And Power |
| 2023 - Pride Of Jenni Caulfield - 6th of 16 (13/1) | Hyland Race Colours Toorak Handicap |
| 2022 - Icebath Randwick - 9th of 12 (4/1) | The Invitation |
| 2021 - Colette Caulfield - 1st of 7 (49/20) | Lexus Tristarc Stakes |
| 2020 - Shout The Bar Randwick - 11th of 14 (15/1) | Bentley Angst Stakes |
| 2019 - Melody Belle Hastings - 1st of 13 (3/10) | Livamol |
| 2018 - Shillelagh Caulfield - 4th of 18 (7/1) | Aquis Toorak Handicap |
| 2017 - Shoals Caulfield - 2nd of 8 (22/5) | Schweppes Thousand Guineas |
| 2016 - I Am A Star Moonee Valley - 3rd of 12 (5/2) | P.W. Glass Fillies |
| 2015 - Politeness Caulfield - 1st of 10 (5/2) | Cape Grim Beef Steaks |
Races Covered during the Melbourne Cup Carnival
Here are the other races that take place at the Flemington Racetrack during the Melbourne Cup Carnival that we also cover with blogs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Coolmore Stud Stakes | Switzerland (AUS) 3yo - 9/2 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
| Empire Rose Stakes | Atishu (NZ) 7yo - 13/5 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
| Victoria Derby | Goldrush Guru (AUS) 3yo - 7/1 | Andrew Gluyas Jamie Kah |
| Melbourne Cup | Knights Choice (AUS) 5yo - 90/1 | John Symons & Sheila Laxon Robbie Dolan |
| Crown Oaks | Treasurethe Moment (AUS) 3yo - 21/10 | Matt Laurie Damian Lane |
| VRC Champions Mile | Mr Brightside (NZ) 7yo - 4/1 | Ben, Will & JD Hayes Craig A Williams |
| VRC Champions Sprint | Sunshine In Paris (AUS) 5yo - 4/1 | Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald James McDonald |
| VRC Champions Stakes | Via Sistina (IRE) 6yo - 3/5 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Empire Rose Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
