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Horse Racing Trainers To Follow In September

Published: Aug 31, 9:53pm Last Updated: Sep 16, 5:25pm Scratville on Horse Racing 4 Comments 43 Views

September Trainers

  • After another profitable month, the horse racing trainers blog sits at an impressive+£107.71 LSP.  

  • September 2020 was around + £50 at LSP, I hope 2021 will be just as good. 

 

September brings the last classic, the big Ayr meeting and the Cambridgeshire meeting at the end of the month.  

We have 6 returning trainers and 3 additions, some big names amongst them so it will be a busy month.

 

FLAT TURF (GB)

JOHN & THADY GOSDEN (ALL)

A standing dish in the September blog, a bit of a dip in 2019 but back with a bang last year giving just over +£20 LSP

  • 2010 18/81 22% +£12.77
  • 2011 14/74 19% (£ 1.48)
  • 2012 13/59 22% +£ 6.94
  • 2013 7/49 14% (£ 1.05)
  • 2014 15/60 25% +£40.17
  • 2015 20/52 38% +£17.83
  • 2016 12/56 21% +£ 4.60
  • 2017 14/59 24% +£8.99
  • 2018 15/55 27% +£22.99
  • 2019 23/66 35%  (£4.54)
  • 2020 15/58 26%  +£ 3.10

Massive Early Price gains comparing our profit with the SP profit and the strike rate over a 7 year period with plenty of runners is cracking.  Goes into the month with two winners from his last two runners in August. 

Look to all of John Gosden's runners this month, but take special note of his Doncaster and Newmarket runners.

CLIVE COX (2&3yo's)

Has been the best performer in the September blog for the past two years, with a +£46.50 LSP in 2019 and +£23.62 last year.

  • 2016     6/48    13%    (£2.50)
  • 2017    11/34   32%   +£36.00
  • 2018     8/31    26%   +£23.04
  • 2019     6/39    15%    +£23.33
  • 2020     7/40    18%    +£14.78

Again loads of extra profit using Early Prices.  He was just 2/21 with his older horses over the 5 year period so it's important we omit his 4yo+ runners.

 

ANDREW BALDING (ALL)

The current leader of the trainer's championship will be keen to stave off the opposition with plenty of winners this month and his recent September record is decent.

  • 2017     15/83     18%     (£  7.18)
  • 2018     17/90     19%     (£ 12.56)
  • 2019     15/83     18%    +£ 19.91
  • 2020     16/107   15%    +£111.38

Ideally we would like a better strike rate but with 15+ winners there is every chance we would have made a profit in 2017 using early prices and it would be close to EV in 2018.  That coupled with his title ambitions and the feeling I have the bookies undervalue and overprice his runners unlike a Gosden so plenty of potential.  This would be the riskiest trainer of the month however so might not be for everyone.

 

TOM DASCOMBE (ALL)

Cheshire trainer who is having a decent season, he sits 21st in the trainer's championship but 15th in terms of the number of winners.

  • 2017     6/60     10%     (£16.33)
  • 2018     9/67     13%    +£70.88
  • 2019    10/51    20%    +£10.33
  • 2020     7/43     16%    +£12.00

Again the strike rate is a little short of ideal but LSP in each of the past three years and comes into the month with double-figure winners and LSP in June, July and August.

 

SIMON & ED CRISFORD (ALL)

Formally just Simon, a team that seems to get better year on year, they come into the month flying with three winners from their last four runners.

  • 2017     4/24     17%     +£ 5.00
  • 2018     5/29     17%      (£14.50)
  • 2019     5/20     25%     +£20.00
  • 2020    10/28    36%     +£18.84

The figures seem to back up the observation of incremental success and a repeat of either of the past two seasons will suffice.

 

 

NH (GB)

 

GARY MOORE (ALL)

We had Moore in both sections of the blog last year but his flat stats have become a little unreliable so we're just going with his NH runners this time.

  • 2016 4/11 36% +£10.16
  • 2017 2/9 22% +£9.75
  • 2018 2/7 29% +£17.00
  • 2019 1/7 14%  (£1.00)
  • 2020 3/15 20% +£2.63

Apart from 2019 where he gave a tiny loss its been solid stuff and he had seconds at 16's and 14's in 2019 so was a little unlucky.

 

DR RICHARD NEWLAND  (ALL)

A regular to the September blog (hence the longer list of figures), gave +£14.75 LSP last year.

  • 2012 3/8 38% +£ 4.63
  • 2013 4/10 40% +£ 4.92
  • 2014 4/11 36% +£ 5.76
  • 2015 2/8 25% (£ 0.63)
  • 2016 3/12 25% +£ 4.75
  • 2017 4/16 25% (£2.00)
  • 2018 7/16 44% +£5.44
  • 2019 7/24 29% +£4.38
  • 2020 7/26 27%  +£13.00

Around the 30% mark in terms of strike rate over a 9 year period is really impressive.  

As I always say when he's in the blog take particular notice of his Sunday runners.

Sunday runners and those at midland tracks should be on your radar for Newland winners.

CHARLIE LONGSDON (ALL) 

Another September regular whose figures date back even further than Newland!

  • 2010 1/1 100% +£16.00
  • 2011 8/22 36% +£19.78
  • 2012 2/13 15% (£ 6.77)
  • 2013 5/16 31% +£ 4.17
  • 2014 7/11 64% +£13.75
  • 2015 5/12 42% +£ 4.75
  • 2016 7/27 26% +£ 3.00
  • 2017 7/25 28% +£9.73
  • 2018 3/18 17% +£0.38
  • 2019 4/21 19% +£2.50
  • 2020 3/21 14%  (£6.50)

Recent years haven't been quite as profitable but still gave us +£3.60 LSP in 2018 and just short of +£7.00 LSP in 2019, last year in tiny profit +£0.50 on our own figures despite the loss on SP, he's on borrowed time but while he shows us a profit I'm reluctant to omit him.

 

 

AW

RALPH BECKETT (2&3YO'S)

Last up a blog favourite and the only AW trainer this month.

  • 2014 4/20 20% +£26.88
  • 2015 2/9 22% +£ 4.88
  • 2016 1/11 9% (£ 7.00)
  • 2017 1/9 11% +£17.00
  • 2018 5/23 21% +£5.25
  • 2019 3/18 17% (£5.00)
  • 2020 4/18 22% +£1.48

He's 1/14 and (£11.37) with his older horses over the same period so again just his younger runners.  

Plenty to go at this month, if we can get through it intact it should guarantee us a winning year.  

As always any questions leave below, good luck!

 

 

 

 

 

 

Results

1st - Uneventful start, two seconds were the best we could do.     0/5     (£5.00)

2nd - Slow start continues with just short ones from Baldind and Crisford.     2/13     (£7.75)

3rd - Three winners at Ascot gave us our best day to date but still a tiny loss.     3/11     (£0.83)

4th - It looked like it was going to be a really bad day but three late winners eased the pain but only a little.     4/22     (£9.65) 

5th - Double for Moore, level day.     2/7     +£0.00

6th - No Runners.

7th - Three winners but nothing bigger than 5/4.     3/10     (£4.98)

8th - Gosden 11's winner, first winning day.     1/7     +£5.00

9th - Four winners at Donny including a Gosden treble.     5/11     +£6.48

10th - Loads of runners, a nice Cox double paved the way for an almost level day.     5/28     (£0.94)

11th - It set off o so well with an 8's winner at Chester, then nothing.     1/17     (£8.00)

12th - Just the one winner again today, small loss.     1/6     (£1.67)

13th - Beckett had a nice winner at 14's (returned 15/2) and a 9/4 for Balding, we had one beat a sh hd at 11's and Beckett later a fast finishing hd at 18's.     2/9     +£9.25

 

Monthly Results

29/146     19.86%     (£18.09)

Yearly Results

370/2078     17.81%     +£89.62

Comments (4)

comment author: Nelson27

Nelson27

 Sep 1st, 2021 at 09:38

Great August, looking forward to this month. Anyone using the Racing Post for selections note that John Gosden is now listed as John & Thady Gosden. Good luck all!
comment author: Just Horseing Around

Just Horseing Around

 Sep 1st, 2021 at 11:59

Really looking forward to this month - especially the NH. Thanks again for the info.

Scratville

 Sep 1st, 2021 at 21:00

Thanks gang, good point Nelson, I'll change that when I get chance.
comment author: djparkie

djparkie

 Sep 4th, 2021 at 12:13

Agree on watching Ralph Beckett as we approach the autumn. He has a very good record of sending horses "up north" at this time of year and being well rewarded with more fancied runners, i.e. 5/1 or less. Last couple of years very good, with only a minimal loss in 2018.

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