
You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
This monthly updated article will take you through a meticulous analysis of trainer form by month, based on historical performance data. You will discover which trainers consistently shine in specific months.
The Comprehensive Guide to Horse Racing Trainer Form

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
Selection Process
With all things horse racing, personal preference is different for everyone, whilst we may find an interesting angle for a trainer, others might disagree and think another trainer would be better listed!
How Do We Pick the Trainers?
All of our research is done on HorseRaceBase, a site that we have used for many years, with key features in helping find the trainers every month.
There is a feature called 'Dig' where you can combine queries to find those profitable trainers, and then it's just a case of query after query looking for the right ones.
It's not all about profit either. We could put up trainers with bigger profits, but that is not what this is about; we want a trainer who has shown results year after year.
You could have a trainer who hits a 100/1 winner, which kind of skews the numbers, and we have to be careful, as the likelihood of them hitting another is low.
We would much rather have a trainer who hits a 25%-33% strike rate and makes a profit, so a winner every 3-4 runners, this is a more consistent trainer.
Nothing is Certain
Nothing is certain either, as things can drastically change within twelve months, let alone five years, so please do your own research into any picks that we put up on here.
A quick example of this would be Simon Crisford (July 2025), who had 4 out of 5 profitable months for the criteria, yet in 2025 returned 0-10 (0%) -10.00 for his picks!
Henry Daly is another (Feb 2025) who had strike rates of 22%, 27% & 30% for the previous three seasons, yet in 2025 saw just 1 winner from 20 (5%)!
Finding Consistency
Sometimes you have to dig deep to find the right formula of criteria, and by doing so, you hope to rule out as many losers as possible, which is as important as finding the winners.
The last thing you want is to be hitting winners but getting that profit wiped out by the losers, so it's about finding consistent trainers.
Between February & September, nine of the trainers listed returned a better strike rate in 2025 than they did in the previous five seasons combined, which is what we want!
Those nine trainers alone returned an LSP of +87.34, so if we can find consistency with the trainers we pick, then hopefully we can find more like those nine!
Monthly Statistics
Here is a full list of runners who have run under these conditions this month.
| Date | Trainer | Runner | Race | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2025 | William Haggas | Maelstrom | 18:10 Newcastle | To Run |
| 17/11/2025 | Venetia Williams | Lemoncello | 15:00 Exeter | To Run |
| 16/11/2025 | Gary & Josh Moore | Diplomatic Ash | 15:17 Fontwell | To Run |
| 16/11/2025 | Venetia Williams | Tanganyika | 14:55 Cheltenham | To Run |
| 15/11/2025 | Venetia Williams | Hunter Legend | 14:20 Cheltenham | Lost (13/2) |
| 15/11/2025 | Gary & Josh Moore | Issar Dairy | 14:20 Cheltenham | Non Runner |
| 12/11/2025 | Ger Lyons | Glyndwr | 15:40 Dundalk | Won (6/5) |
| 12/11/2025 | Ger Lyons | Hallelujah Rose | 15:40 Dundalk | Lost (40/1) |
| 10/11/2025 | Venetia Williams | Ostrava Du Berlais | 15:23 Carlisle | Placed 3rd (11/2) |
| 09/11/2025 | Venetia Williams | Falco Des Pins | 14:50 Ffos Las | Lost (5/2) |
| 09/11/2025 | Gary & Josh Moore | Invincible Nao | 13:00 Sandown | Won (11/2) |
| 08/11/2025 | William Haggas | Castle Cove | 15:45 Doncaster | Won (4/1) |
| 08/11/2025 | William Haggas | Realign | 14:35 Doncaster | Lost (9/2) |
| 08/11/2025 | Venetia Williams | Alcedo | 14:05 Aintree | Lost (10/1) |
| 07/11/2025 | Ger Lyons | Diego El Queso | 19:55 Dundalk | Placed 2nd (6/5) |
| 07/11/2025 | Ger Lyons | Empress Artemis | 18:45 Dundalk | Lost (25/1) |
| 07/11/2025 | Venetia Williams | Martator | 14:25 Exeter | Lost (9/1) |
| 07/11/2025 | William Haggas | Winter Flower | 14:18 Newcastle | Placed 2nd (7/2) |
| 07/11/2025 | Gary & Josh Moore | Sanitiser | 13:25 Fontwell | Lost (13/2) |
| 05/11/2025 | William Haggas | Carbine Harvester | 17:30 Kempton | Lost (11/2) |
| 05/11/2025 | William Haggas | Jewelry | 17:00 Kempton | Lost (22/1) |
| 04/11/2025 | Henry De Bromhead | Air Of Entitlement | 14:45 Fairyhouse | Lost (6/5) |
| 04/11/2025 | William Haggas | Mission Possible | 14:25 Redcar | Lost (7/4) |
| 01/11/2025 | Venetia Williams | Martator | 14:05 Ascot | Non Runner |
| 01/11/2025 | Gary & Josh Moore | Issar Dairy | 14:05 Ascot | Lost (13/2) |
This is a breakdown of how each trainer has performed in the current month.
| Trainer | Runners | Winners | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venetia Williams | 4 | 0 | -4.00 |
| Gary & Josh Moore | 3 | 1 | +3.50 |
| William Haggas | 6 | 1 | -1.00 |
| Ger Lyons | 4 | 1 | -1.80 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 1 | 0 | -1.00 |
| Total | 18 | 3 | -4.30 |
Year in Review
Here is a breakdown of how well the picks have gone over the past year. (Updated on the 1st of each month)
| Month | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October | 79 | 15 | 19% | -19.33 |
| September | 44 | 13 | 30% | +24.53 |
| August | 36 | 4 | 11% | +9.57 |
| July | 52 | 8 | 15% | +5.06 |
| June | 69 | 14 | 20% | +18.63 |
| May | 81 | 13 | 16% | -35.72 |
| April | 34 | 3 | 9% | -19.25 |
| March | 43 | 8 | 19% | -5.72 |
| February | 70 | 8 | 11% | -37.52 |
| January | 0 | 0 | N/A | +0.00 |
| December | 0 | 0 | N/A | +0.00 |
| November | 0 | 0 | N/A | +0.00 |
| Total | 508 | 86 | 17% | -59.75 |
Horse Racing Trainers to Follow November 2025
The flat racing season draws to a close in November, but, of course, all-weather racing continues all year round, so there is still something for flat fans to get stuck into.
Having said that, it is therefore no surprise that three of the five trainers we are following in November are jump trainers, with the two flat trainers targeting all-weather races once the turf finishes.
This is a cross-over period for horse racing, which does make things trickier, although the five highlighted trainers have a combined backdated 33% strike rate and an LSP of +301.08 for the previous five seasons.
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 46 | 10 | 22% | +14.39 |
| 2021 | 36 | 16 | 44% | +105.72 |
| 2022 | 41 | 10 | 24% | +16.21 |
| 2023 | 48 | 20 | 42% | +70.29 |
| 2024 | 44 | 16 | 36% | +94.47 |
| Total | 215 | 72 | 33% | +301.08 |
Venetia Williams
Top of the pile is Venetia Williams, and we are focusing on her runners aged 5 to 9 who are running in Handicap Chases. She holds a 32% strike rate for these over the last five seasons.
During those five seasons, she has shown a profit in three of the five and combined for an LSP of +77.82. Just of note, under these conditions, when the runner was a last time out winner, those have a record of 8-13 (62%) +20.91.
Here are the top three winners from Venetia Williams from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Cloudy Glen (33/1)
- Victtorino (20/1)
- Frero Banbou (17/2)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Venetia Williams runners:
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 19 | 5 | 26% | -1.97 |
| 2021 | 13 | 5 | 38% | +43.50 |
| 2022 | 24 | 5 | 21% | -8.50 |
| 2023 | 23 | 11 | 48% | +32.33 |
| 2024 | 19 | 5 | 26% | +12.46 |
| Total | 98 | 31 | 32% | +77.82 |
Gary & Josh Moore
Another fairly straightforward set of criteria for the dual license team of Gary & Josh Moore, we are looking for runners who are aged 6 or 7 and are running in a Handicap Chase.
With four profitable seasons from the last five, they have a 29% strike rate and an overall LSP of +66.12.
Here are the top three winners from Gary & Josh Moore from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Walk In The Wild (28/1)
- Angels Dream (22/1)
- Le Patron (12/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Gary & Josh Moore runners:
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +15.00 |
| 2021 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +0.91 |
| 2022 | 7 | 3 | 43% | +28.33 |
| 2023 | 6 | 0 | 0% | -6.00 |
| 2024 | 11 | 3 | 27% | +27.88 |
| Total | 34 | 10 | 29% | +66.12 |
William Haggas
William Haggas is one of the flat trainers whom we are continuing to follow this late in the year. We are focusing on these runners that are aged 3 or 4 in Handicap races.
He has shown a profit in four of the last five seasons with an impressive 40% strike rate; his LSP over the past five seasons is +57.12.
Here are the top three winners from William Haggas from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Boosala (22/1)
- Laafi (20/1)
- Bullet Point (12/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those William Haggas runners:
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +4.00 |
| 2021 | 5 | 4 | 80% | +24.66 |
| 2022 | 4 | 0 | 0% | -4.00 |
| 2023 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +18.33 |
| 2024 | 5 | 3 | 60% | +14.13 |
| Total | 25 | 10 | 40% | +57.12 |
Ger Lyons
Over in Ireland, we are keeping an eye on the Ger Lyons runners at Dundalk, in particular his 3-year-old runners who had previously run at the Dundalk track.
The last two seasons have been impressive with 55% and 40% strike rates along with +18.63 and +24.75 profits. Overall, for the last five seasons, his LSP is +53.13.
Here are the top three winners from Ger Lyons from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Blue Soul (25/1)
- Flyin Hawaiian (10/1)
- Many Tears (17/2)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Ger Lyons runners:
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 0 | 0% | -5.00 |
| 2021 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +15.25 |
| 2022 | 4 | 1 | 25% | -0.50 |
| 2023 | 11 | 6 | 55% | +18.63 |
| 2024 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +24.75 |
| Total | 31 | 12 | 39% | +53.13 |
Henry De Bromhead
Henry De Bromhead is coming into November in great form, and let's hope that continues this month as we focus on his runners aged 5 or older who run at Fairyhouse, but not a Maiden Hurdle.
He has shown a profit in each of the last five seasons, and whilst those are not massive profits, they are consistent, and over the last five seasons, he has a 33% with an LSP of +46.89.
Here are the top three winners from Henry De Bromhead from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Gua Du Large (25/1)
- Kavanaghs Corner (14/1)
- The Folkes Tiara (8/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Henry De Bromhead runners:
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 14 | 2 | 14% | +2.36 |
| 2021 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +21.40 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.88 |
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.00 |
| 2024 | 4 | 3 | 75% | +15.25 |
| Total | 27 | 9 | 33% | +46.89 |
Horse Racing Trainers to Follow January 2026
You would expect plenty of jump trainers at this time of the year; however, three flat trainers on the list will be looking to kick 2026 off in style on the all-weather tracks.
Whilst the overall numbers below are impressive, a +409.13 LSP for the past five seasons with a 35% strike rate, last year's numbers alone are also remarkable!
The five trainers combined with an LSP of +109.94, achieving 25 winners from 52 runners, which is a 48% strike rate. If we can get anywhere near that this year, we will be happy!
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 35 | 8 | 23% | +19.21 |
| 2022 | 39 | 14 | 36% | +84.11 |
| 2023 | 44 | 14 | 32% | +107.08 |
| 2024 | 43 | 13 | 30% | +88.79 |
| 2025 | 52 | 25 | 48% | +109.94 |
| Total | 213 | 74 | 35% | +409.13 |
Tony Carroll
Tony Carroll is the first of the trainers we are looking at. Here, we are focusing on his 4-8 year olds, which are GB-bred and are running over 5f - 7f at Wolverhampton.
2021 wasn't a great year with 0-8; however, each of the last four years has shown healthy profits and a decent strike rate, so let's hope that trend continues.
Here are the top three winners from Tony Carroll from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Red Alert (40/1)
- City Cyclone (20/1)
- Cinque Verde (18/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Tony Carroll runners:
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 8 | 0 | 0% | -8.00 |
| 2022 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +38.00 |
| 2023 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +13.50 |
| 2024 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +16.00 |
| 2025 | 13 | 6 | 46% | +29.53 |
| Total | 36 | 10 | 28% | +89.03 |
Hugo Palmer
Sticking with the all-weather runners with Hugo Palmer and a pretty simple filter of his 3yo runners over 7f or further.
Again, like Carroll, he drew a blank in 2021 (0-4), but since has hit a profit each year and a strike rate of 33% or better each year.
Here are the top three winners from Hugo Palmer from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Sweet Talkin Sue (66/1)
- Sweet Fantastic (6/1)
- Swordstick (6/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Hugo Palmer runners:
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0% | -4.00 |
| 2022 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +2.33 |
| 2023 | 12 | 4 | 33% | +2.58 |
| 2024 | 11 | 5 | 45% | +76.50 |
| 2025 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +11.00 |
| Total | 43 | 15 | 35% | +88.41 |
Richard Hannon
The third and final flat trainer is Richard Hannon Jnr. We are looking for his 3-5 year old Geldings or Fillies who are running in a Handicap.
He has hit a profit in four of the previous five years with these runners, 2024 being the off year, but has hit multiple winners each year and healthy profits in three of those.
Here are the top three winners from Richard Hannon from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Ciao Adios (26/1)
- Rebel Empire (20/1)
- Kodias Sangarius (12/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Richard Hannon runners:
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | 6 | 35% | +5.71 |
| 2022 | 17 | 8 | 47% | +33.28 |
| 2023 | 12 | 2 | 17% | +26.00 |
| 2024 | 15 | 2 | 13% | -6.25 |
| 2025 | 12 | 4 | 33% | +29.50 |
| Total | 73 | 22 | 30% | +88.24 |
Olly Murphy
Finally, on to a jumps trainer and that is Olly Murphy, here we are looking for his 7-8 year old runners who are in a NH Class 4 race.
Four of the five years have returned profitable LSPs, three of those with 20+ and in 2025, he hit a perfect 6 from 6 with an LSP of +22.23!
Here are the top three winners from Olly Murphy from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Spirit Of Waterloo (25/1)
- Clay Rogers (18/1)
- Best Trition (12/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Olly Murphy runners:
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +26.50 |
| 2022 | 6 | 0 | 0% | -6.00 |
| 2023 | 9 | 4 | 44% | +35.50 |
| 2024 | 9 | 4 | 44% | +1.04 |
| 2025 | 6 | 6 | 100% | +22.23 |
| Total | 35 | 16 | 46% | +79.27 |
Sue Smith (& Joel Parkinson)
Last on the list is Sue Smith, who now holds a dual license with Joel Parkinson, and we are looking for their runners' Class 5 races in Yorkshire. That means we are looking for local entries, given that the yard is based in Yorkshire.
Over the last four seasons, the strike rates have been impressive with 40%, 50%, 33% & 46% along with decent LSPs too. The yard obviously targets the local races at this time of the year.
Here are the top three winners from Sue Smith from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Edgar Allan Poe (28/1)
- Prairie Wolf (14/1)
- The Paddy Pie (11/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Sue Smith runners:
| Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0% | -1.00 |
| 2022 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +16.50 |
| 2023 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +29.50 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.50 |
| 2025 | 13 | 6 | 46% | +17.68 |
| Total | 26 | 11 | 42% | +64.18 |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Horse Racing Trainers to Follow are at hand, Darren Brett, James Banting & Andy Powell. They all work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews.
The content in this blog has been researched using the database on HorseRaceBase.





