Chepstow Picks

Chepstow picks page with all the Chepstow Racecourse facts to assist you with your Chepstow betting. For today's racing picks from all courses please head to the main page for 'Horse Racing Picks'.

  • Chepstow Racecourse Guide

    Just inside the Welsh border, Chepstow is a busy track with around 32 race days a year covering flat and national hunt racing. It’s the most important race track in Wales holding four Graded National Hunt races.

    Highlights: The Welsh National, Finale Juvenile Hurdle, Persian War Novice Hurdle, Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle, the quality of races are better over jumps than the flat, with predominantly handicaps on the flat.

    The big meeting of the year is normally the day after Boxing Day with the Coral Welsh National and Finale Hurdle taking place that day. The National meeting can suffer from inclement weather and has been cancelled 3 times in recent years.  

    Bookmaker Streaming Services Available From Ladbrokes, William Hill.

    * All statistics below are based on the previous five years at Chepstow

    Chepstow Outright Favourite Statistics

    • Flat Handicaps: 115-348 (33%) -4.67
    • Flat Non-Handicaps: 51-125 (41%) -15.87
    • Handicap Chases: 42-133 (32%) +7.41
    • Handicap Hurdles: 41-111 (37%) +18.42
    • Non-Handicap Chases: 9-30 (30%) -11.99
    • Non-Handicap Hurdles: 56-125 (45%) -8.35
  • Chepstow Racecourse Map

    Left-handed, an oval configuration with the course undulating, making NH races stop-start, it's neither galloping nor speedy, horses over jumps need to get the distance, especially when the going is heavy, as it often is. A 5 furlong home straight takes some getting when horses are becoming tired.

    Chepstow Racecourse Address: St Lawrence Rd, Chepstow NP16 6BE

    Chepstow Racecourse Telephone: 01291 622260

    To buy tickets for a race day at Chepstow, head over to their official ticket booking webpage.

    Chepstow Flat Racecourse Map
    Chepstow Flat Racecourse Map
    Chepstow National Hunt Racecourse Map
    Chepstow National Hunt Racecourse Map
  • Picks From Chepstow Racecourse

    It is key to know that the flat course has a long 1 mile straight, running in a straight line for a mile can take a lot out of a horse, and it seems a long way home. Bends slow horses down, with no bends you can get inexperienced jockeys going off too fast and not getting home, running in a straight line when the going is heavy is even more taxing for the horse.

    Look to the top flat jockeys at Chepstow up to a mile as we feel the course needs to be ridden well and pace handled perfectly which the better more experienced jockeys are ably equipped, Adam Kirby riding for Clive Cox is one example.  

    When looking at the going description for the Welsh National over the last 10 years, it either featured the word heavy or soft in the description, in some cases both! So look for a mudlark at Chepstow just below top class who is well weighted to win National Hunt races. We would say that you should always check the going description at Chepstow, as this has more relevance to finding winners than at many other race tracks.  Trainers expect heavy and target those from their stables who do not mind 'Somme' like conditions. The Chepstow fences are not the hardest in comparison to other courses but do find out tiring horses, they still need to be jumped!

    Check above the brilliant OLBG members Chepstow picks, members research and add their best picks, helping all of us in the battle to beat the bookies.

    On non-racing days at Chepstow, why not head over to the horse racing 'Best Tipsters Page' to see what the best OLBG handicappers are selecting for today's racing.

  • Chepstow Draw Bias

    If you want the most profitable stall at Chepstow then you need to look at races over 7f and focus on stall 8 as this has produced an LSP of +72.20 over the last five years. With an LSP of -75.23, the most unsuccessful stall at Chepstow is stall 6 when backing runners over a trip of 7f over the last five years.

    Here we have the draw bias for Chepstow taken into consideration races with ten or more runners, we will break down the figures by race distance, draws can be much more important over the shorter trips in which runners do not have time to find their position during the race meaning the draw is probably more important than the races over longer distances.

    • Sprints (5f to 7½f)
    • Mile (1m to 1m1½f)
    • Middle Distance (1m2f to 1m5½f)
    • Long Distance (1m6f or further)

    The following table shows a breakdown over a group of trips and shows how each position of the draw does, this for example in a twelve runner race would be Low (Stalls 1-4), Mid (Stalls 5-8) and High (Stalls 9-12), the positions will always be lowest stall number to highest

    Made with Flourish

  • Chepstow Jockey and Trainer Statistics (Flat)

    Who are the best flat jockeys and trainers to bet on at Chepstow?

    Following Eve Johnson Houghton would have returned a profit here at Chepstow with an LSP of +13.84 and their twenty-one winners have them at the head of the profitable trainers' list. P D Evans does lead the trainers' list overall with twenty-five winners but shows an overall loss. With an eachway LSP of +22.85 at Chepstow, Ed De Giles leads the trainers in profit for backing eachway which has been helped by their twenty-four placings which include a total of fifteen winners. Mrs N S Evans does not have a great record at Chepstow, their LSP of -73.00 has them stone dead bottom of the trainers' list, that has come from zero winners from seventy-three runners which is a 0% strike rate.

    Focusing only on jockeys who show a profit when backing all of their rides, top of the pile at Chepstow for the number of winners is Rossa Ryan who has produced a total of thirty winners in return of an LSP of +52.16. If you are more of an eachway player then you may want to know which jockey is best to follow at Chepstow and that would be Cameron Noble who shows the best eachway LSP which is +38.38 thanks to their five placings (three winners). A total of six winners from one hundred rides at Chepstow has William Cox at the wrong end of the jockeys' list with their 6% strike rate and worst LSP of -66.09.

    Chepstow Picks & Hints

    Here are some factors at Chepstow for certain trainers or jockeys which have been profitable:

    • 5-9 (56%) +47.75 - Backing Kate Leahy rides when over a trip of 6f
    • 5-8 (63%) +23.13 - Backing Francis Norton rides when over a trip of 1m2f
    • 5-10 (50%) +16.16 - Backing Adam Kirby rides when on horses aged 4yo


    Chepstow Top Jockey and Trainer Combinations

    Here are the best trainer and jockey combinations here at Chepstow based on the number of winners:

    • 10 Wins: Eve Johnson Houghton & Charles Bishop
    • 8 Wins: Ed De Giles & Callum Shepherd
    • 7 Wins: P D Evans & Rossa Ryan
    • 5 Wins: Sir Mark Prescott & Luke Morris
    • 5 Wins: J G M Oshea & Kate Leahy


    Chepstow Top Trainers By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

    Trainer R-W-P Win EW
    Eve Johnson Houghton 81-21-40 +13.84 +9.38
    R M Beckett 59-16-24 +8.72 -6.31
    M R Channon 103-15-36 +7.13 -1.96
    Ed De Giles 63-15-24 +48.25 +22.85
    A W Carroll 109-14-32 +14.50 +7.52
    R A Harris 123-13-24 +1.60 -26.41
    Miss G Harris 110-11-16 +50.00 +1.63
    J L Flint 74-10-23 +3.00 -3.27
    Charles Hills 50-8-24 +4.75 +3.32
    M Mullineaux 56-7-17 +10.58 +10.17

    Chepstow Top Jockeys By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

    Jockey R-W-P Win EW
    Rossa Ryan 135-30-59 +52.16 +26.65
    Callum Shepherd 85-16-29 +36.50 +16.34
    J P Fahy 56-9-19 +40.25 +21.12
    Mitch Godwin 72-8-21 +13.58 +5.19
    Jim Crowley 34-8-14 +26.65 +12.28
    Adam Kirby 27-8-15 +11.54 +6.19
    David Egan 28-7-17 +28.83 +27.82
    Nicola Currie 64-6-17 +3.58 +4.86
    Timmy Murphy 60-6-14 +22.00 +6.47
    Liam Jones 48-5-6 +0.75 -13.03
  • Chepstow Jockey and Trainer Statistics (NH)

    Who are the best national hunt jockeys and trainers to bet on at Chepstow?

    Not only is P F Nicholls the most successful trainer at Chepstow in terms of the number of winners but they have also returned a profit if back all of their runners, P F Nicholls has notched up a total of forty-six winners for an LSP of +19.49. T Lacey is the trainer to follow at Chepstow if you are backing eachway as they show the best LSP of all the trainers in the eachway markets, that is +28.69 which is courtesy of their eighteen placings (twelve winners). The trainer with the worst record at Chepstow based on LSP is C L Tizzard who has only a 13% strike rate with twenty-nine winners from two hundred eighteen runners which have returned an LSP of -72.16.

    With a total number of forty winners at Chepstow, Richard Johnson leads the way for winners from jockeys who have shown a profit (+26.89) for all of their rides at Chepstow. With an eachway LSP of +36.08 at Chepstow, Jack Tudor leads the jockeys in profit for backing eachway which has been helped by their seven placings which include a total of five winners. David G Noonan does not have a great record at Chepstow, their LSP of -79.75 has them stone dead bottom of the jockeys' list, that has come from four winners from ninety-eight rides which is a 4% strike rate.

    Chepstow Picks & Hints

    Here are some factors at Chepstow for certain trainers or jockeys which have been profitable:

    • 12-22 (55%) +15.77 - Backing P F Nicholls runners when in a NH Flat race
    • 18-40 (45%) +12.56 - Backing P F Nicholls runners when over a trip of 2m


    Chepstow Top Jockey and Trainer Combinations

    Here are the best trainer and jockey combinations here at Chepstow based on the number of winners:

    • 21 Wins: P F Nicholls & Harry Cobden
    • 18 Wins: P J Hobbs & Richard Johnson
    • 17 Wins: Evan Williams & Adam Wedge
    • 10 Wins: P F Nicholls & Sam Twiston-Davies
    • 9 Wins: C L Tizzard & R M Power


    Chepstow Top Trainers By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

    Trainer R-W-P Win EW
    P F Nicholls 171-46-83 +19.49 -3.76
    T Lacey 43-12-18 +60.88 +28.69
    M Sheppard 68-10-20 +34.38 +2.88
    Tom Symonds 26-5-10 +19.48 +17.62
    Jamie Snowden 35-4-15 +0.01 +1.28
    Olly Murphy 22-4-11 +3.00 +10.05
    C J Down 20-4-6 +14.50 +9.55
    Alastair Ralph 14-4-5 +18.25 +8.65
    Ali Stronge 16-3-5 +19.00 +9.00
    J W Mullins 36-2-8 +44.00 +22.80

    Chepstow Top Jockeys By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

    Jockey R-W-P Win EW
    Richard Johnson 177-40-85 +26.89 +7.98
    Tom Scudamore 117-21-42 +0.91 -17.19
    Adam Wedge 141-19-50 +27.79 -4.64
    Sean P Bowen 102-18-33 +22.99 -5.12
    P J Brennan 80-14-26 +24.50 -2.42
    Stan Sheppard 65-12-21 +16.26 -7.92
    Bridget Andrews 34-7-15 +19.50 +15.27
    Jack Tudor 22-5-7 +68.75 +36.08
    Lee Edwards 30-4-10 +17.25 +7.10
    Andrew Tinkler 28-4-5 +16.00 -4.30

Experts are OLBG tipsters with high strike rates, current month or 6 month profitability for a particular sport

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