Ayr Picks

Ayr racetrack picks. See what the profitable handicappers at OLBG are tipping to win at Ayr races today. For picks from all tracks see the main horse racing picks page.

Below are the picks for Ayr racing, we have a full Ayr racetrack betting guide which includes track bias, stats and trends to help you find more winners at Ayr.

  • Ayr Racetrack Betting Guide 

    Ayr is the premier Scottish racetrack and is best known for staging the Scottish Grand National a week or so after the Aintree Grand National. 

    It is a dual-purpose track on the west coast of Scotland with the most prestigious flat race being the Ayr Gold Cup. This race normally held in September is for sprinters over 6 furlongs and is worth over two hundred thousand pounds.

    Type of Racing: Flat and National Hunt.

    Highlights: Ayr Gold & Silver Cups (September), Scottish Grand National (April). 

    The Firth of Clyde Stakes, Harry Rosebery Stakes and Doonside Cup are also notable races staged during the Gold Cup meeting in September.

    * All statistics below are based on the previous five years at Ayr

    Ayr Outright Favourite Statistics

    • Flat Handicaps: 129-450 (29%) -42.27
    • Flat Non-Handicaps: 38-84 (45%) -7.01
    • Handicap Chases: 41-117 (35%) +6.56
    • Handicap Hurdles: 41-127 (32%) +11.30
    • Non-Handicap Chases: 8-16 (50%) -0.25
    • Non-Handicap Hurdles: 48-85 (56%) +4.84
  • Ayr Racecourse Map

    Both tracks are left-handed, 1m4f circuit and slightly undulating. Races up to six furlongs on the flat are run on the straight track.

    Ayr Racetrack Address: Whitletts Rd, Ayr KA8 0JE

    Ayr Racetrack Telephone Number: 01292 264179

    Ayr Flat Racecourse Map
    Ayr Flat Racecourse Map
    Ayr National Hunt Racecourse Map
    Ayr National Hunt Racecourse Map
  • Ayr Draw Bias

    With an LSP of +55.80, the most successful stall at Ayr is stall 2 when backing runners over a trip of 5f over the last five years. With an LSP of -62.63, the most unsuccessful stall at Ayr is stall 1 when backing runners over a trip of 6f over the last five years.

    Here we have the draw bias for Ayr taken into consideration races with ten or more runners, we will break down the figures by race distance, draws can be much more important over the shorter trips in which runners do not have time to find their position during the race meaning the draw is probably more important than the races over longer distances.

    • Sprints (5f to 7½f)
    • Mile (1m to 1m1½f)
    • Middle Distance (1m2f to 1m5½f)

    The following table shows a breakdown over a group of trips and shows how each position of the draw does, for example in a twelve runner race would be Low (Stalls 1-4), Mid (Stalls 5-8) and High (Stalls 9-12), the positions will always be lowest stall number to highest.

  • How to get the best betting picks for Ayr Races

    Check the OLBG handicappers who are in good tipping form. You can check the top horse racing tipsters for the last 12 months.

    Note Irish trainers with well handicapped “sleepers” who have travelled from Ireland with a “few”, especially when they say, “we were coming over, so brought an xxx horse for the experience”. There is often a late Irish “plot”.

    Note travellers to Ayr, especially for non-weekend races with big prize money. Any horse that has travelled over 300 miles should be noted.

    Note the “Scottish Mafia” of trainers who like to keep the cash north of the border. Listen to the pundits with connections in Scotland (Alex Steedman, Gordon Brown).

    Look for horses that have run well in the most recent Scottish meeting, who are on a retrieval mission, e.g. their last run was at Hamilton, Kelso, Musselburgh or Perth.

    Check Irish stallion’s offspring whose progeny have a good record at Ayr. On evening meetings at Ayr look for jockeys who rode in England in the afternoon.

    Wait for weather reports, Ayr does have an odd climate. Check trainers who have had previous race success in a specific race.

    Check previous handicap weight bands of winners of specific races, if the bulk of winners of a specific race come from the most common weight band, look deeper into those runners.

  • Ayr Jockey & Trainer Statistics (Flat)

    Who are the best flat jockeys and trainers to bet on at Ayr?

    When looking at profitable trainers only then it is R Michael Smith who leads the way with a total of twenty-nine winners producing an LSP of +52.13 whilst Keith Dalgleish leads the overall list with forty-eight winners but shows a loss overall. If you are more of an eachway player then you may want to know which trainer is best to follow at Ayr and that would be Mrs Dianne Sayer who shows the best eachway LSP which is +26.16 thanks to their twenty-one placings (eight winners). The trainer with the worst record at Ayr based on LSP is Keith Dalgleish who has only a 9% strike rate with forty-eight winners from five hundred twenty-two runners which have returned an LSP of -147.40.

    Daniel Tudhope is the leading jockey here at Ayr with thirty-six winners but you would have recorded a loss if you backed all of their rides whilst following Paul Mulrennan would have returned the most winners (thirty-three) from a profitable jockey. Andrew Breslin is the jockey to follow at Ayr if you are backing eachway as they show the best LSP of all the jockeys in the eachway markets, that is +32.46 which is courtesy of their twenty placings (eleven winners). At the other end of the spectrum is Tom Eaves who has a terrible record at Ayr, of all the jockeys their LSP of -129.29 is the worse, they have a 4% strike rate with six winners from one hundred sixty-three rides.

    Ayr Top Jockey and Trainer Combinations

    Here are the best trainer and jockey combinations here at Ayr based on the number of winners:

    • 21 Wins: D O'Meara & Daniel Tudhope
    • 16 Wins: K A Ryan & Kevin Stott
    • 15 Wins: R A Fahey & Paul Hanagan
    • 15 Wins: M Johnston & Joe Fanning
    • 14 Wins: T D Easterby & David Allan

    Ayr Top Trainers By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

    Trainer R-W-P Win EW
    R Michael Smith 229-29-63 +52.13 +17.52
    T D Easterby 200-25-71 +45.09 +14.04
    J J Quinn 102-17-50 +26.73 +20.62
    Mrs Dianne Sayer 39-8-21 +24.50 +26.16
    B Ellison 31-6-12 +12.38 +11.49
    Tristan Davidson 23-6-10 +5.68 +3.92
    W J Haggas 12-6-7 +8.74 +5.12
    Archie Watson 28-5-14 +5.50 +5.92
    John James Feane 15-5-7 +3.13 +0.59
    Tom Dascombe 20-4-6 +21.25 +10.35

    Ayr Top Jockeys By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

    Jockey R-W-P Win EW
    Paul Mulrennan 237-33-83 +6.54 -3.42
    Kevin Stott 167-26-65 +25.75 +4.68
    G Lee 171-23-44 +51.91 +20.40
    Patrick Mathers 153-21-46 +47.88 +28.06
    Jamie Gormley 148-17-37 +13.50 -5.57
    Andrew Breslin 65-11-20 +63.57 +32.46
    Duran Fentiman 39-5-10 +47.00 +21.85
    Richard Kingscote 33-5-12 +18.75 +10.07
    Donagh O'Connor 13-5-6 +23.33 +12.48
    Jack Garritty 21-4-12 +34.50 +23.69
  • Ayr Jockey & Trainer Statistics (NH)

    Who are the best national hunt jockeys and trainers to bet on at Ayr?

    Whilst N G Richards is the most successful trainer at Ayr with a total of thirty-nine winners, if you backed all of their runners you would be showing a loss. N W Alexander is the most successful trainer at Ayr for those who show a profit if backing all their runners thanks to a total of twenty-eight winners and an LSP of +23.00. Julia Brooke is the trainer to follow at Ayr if you are backing eachway as they show the best LSP of all the trainers in the eachway markets, that is +13.34 which is courtesy of their seven placings (five winners). At the other end of the spectrum is R Michael Smith who has a terrible record at Ayr, of all the trainers their LSP of -92.77 is the worse, they have a 5% strike rate with seven winners from one hundred fifty-three runners.

    Backing all of the Brian Hughes rides would have produced backing the most winners for a jockey here at Ayr with sixty-two but you would have returned a loss by doing so, Derek R Fox leads the way for profitable jockey with an LSP of +35.63 from their twenty-one winners. When looking at jockeys and looking for some eachway value at Ayr, then the jockey who shows the best eachway profit is Harry Reed, whose LSP is +20.16 which has been accumulated by a total of thirteen placings which includes six winners. A total of six winners from one hundred one rides at Ayr has S Mulqueen at the wrong end of the jockeys' list with their 6% strike rate and worst LSP of -66.77.

    Ayr Picks & Hints

    Here are some factors at Ayr for certain trainers or jockeys which have been profitable:

    • 9-19 (47%) +21.98 - Backing Ross Chapman rides when on horses aged 6yo
    • 5-6 (83%) +15.65 - Backing Fergal O'Brien runners when horses are aged 6yo

    Ayr Top Jockey and Trainer Combinations

    Here are the best trainer and jockey combinations here at Ayr based on the number of winners:

    • 19 Wins: N G Richards & Brian Hughes
    • 14 Wins: Miss Lucinda V Russell & Derek R Fox
    • 14 Wins: D McCain Jnr & Brian Hughes
    • 10 Wins: Daniel Skelton & Harry Skelton
    • 8 Wins: N W Alexander & Lucy Alexander

    Ayr Top Trainers By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

    Trainer R-W-P Win EW
    N W Alexander 225-28-71 +23.00 +10.07
    D W Whillans 57-7-18 +4.33 +3.88
    Julia Brooke 15-5-7 +25.25 +13.34
    Fergal O'Brien 12-5-7 +9.65 +4.39
    William Young Jnr 27-4-5 +14.38 +2.26
    Tristan Davidson 25-4-11 +3.83 +4.33
    B M R Haslam 13-3-4 +8.00 +3.21
    Ruth Jefferson 13-3-5 +4.48 +4.69
    Mrs S A Watt 9-3-5 +7.00 +5.40
    Graeme P McPherson 9-3-4 +4.80 +1.25

    Ayr Top Jockeys By Most Winners and a Level Stakes Profit

    Jockey R-W-P Win EW
    Derek R Fox 181-21-51 +35.63 +13.58
    Henry Brooke 121-16-26 +6.63 -17.96
    Sean Quinlan 127-13-43 +33.64 +17.23
    Grant J Cockburn 75-7-14 +18.00 -2.10
    A P Heskin 20-7-11 +1.78 +0.25
    Harry Reed 49-6-13 +40.83 +20.16
    Callum Whillans 44-5-13 +5.00 +2.52
    Tom Scudamore 22-5-5 +3.60 -5.25
    Daryl Jacob 20-4-12 +0.38 +4.42
    J J Slevin 11-4-7 +19.50 +11.11

Experts are OLBG tipsters with high strike rates, current month or 6 month profitability for a particular sport

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