Richmond and Northallerton Constituency Betting Odds: Rishi Sunak is 1/5 to hold on to his seat in Richmond and Northallerton with Labour 3/1 to leave PM embarrassed!

Updated: 844 Politics & Current Affairs

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is now the odds-on favourite to hold onto his constituency seat in Richmond with the newly found Richmond and Northallerton constituency set to be voted on at next month's General Election.

Richmond and Northallerton Constituency Betting Odds: Rishi Sunak is 1/5 to hold on to his seat in Richmond and Northallerton with Labour 3/1 to leave PM embarrassed!

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Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

  • Rishi Sunak is now 1/5 to hold onto Richmond and Northallerton Constituency seat at General Election
  • Labour Candidate Tom Wilson is the 3/1 second favourite in the market to win the seat
  • Sunak is expected to be replaced as Prime Minister by Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer at upcoming election

Rishi Sunak is now 1/5 to hold onto Richmond and Northallerton Constituency seat at General Election

The 2024 UK General Election will take place this time next month on July 4 and bookmakers continue to offer odds on all of the constituencies across the UK that will head to the polls.

One of those constituencies is Richmond and Northallerton which is new for the 2024 General Election after replacing Richmond as part of the 2023 Periodic review of Westminster constituencies last year.

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has held the Richmond seat ever since 2015 and the latest betting odds make it 1/5 that he does so again by winning the newly formed Richmond and Northallerton seat.

William Hill's latest betting market puts the PM as the clear favourite to win with an 83.3% implied probability given that he is voted in as MP there at the polls next month.

The odds though say that Sunak will be replaced as Prime Minister at the General Election with Labour expected to wipe the floor with the Conservatives when the UK goes to vote next month.

Richmond and Northallerton Constituency Winner
OddsProbability
Conservatives (Rishi Sunak)1/583.3%
Labour3/125.0%
Reform UK33/12.9%
Liberal Democrats66/11.5%
Green Party150/10.7%
What the expert says...

Rishi Sunak is expected to hold onto his seat in Richmond, now in a newly named constituency of Richmond and Northallerton, with the betting odds suggesting an 83.3% chance that he wins the most votes in his constituency at the election next month!

Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Labour Candidate Tom Wilson is the 3/1 second favourite in the market to win the seat

Tom Wilson was selected as Labour's Candidate for Richmond and Northallerton last month and he will be the man who will try and do the unthinkable in beating the current PM in his own seat.

Wilson hails from Darlington and will be looking to get the votes to topple Sunak from his seat in the new constituency with a big swing needed to replace him in the role.

The Labour candidate told the Labour Party's website that he is "hugely optimistic" about what can be achieved at the General Election adding that everything is up for grabs.

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Sunak is expected to be replaced as Prime Minister by Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer at upcoming election

The General Election will take place on 4 July 2024 and Labour have now been backed further into favourites at 1/66 to win following Nigel Farage's return to politics on Monday.

Farage announced that he is the new leader of Reform UK and will be running in Clacton next month and this has seen Labour's odds of winning grow further for the Election.

This is mainly due to Farage's party expecting to take votes away from the Conservatives which could well lead to free runs for the Labour Party at more seats that were expected to be tighter.

UK General Election WinnerOddsProbability
Labour1/6698.5%
Conservative14/16.7%
Reform UK28/13.4%
Liberal Democrat200/10.5%
Greens500/10.2%
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Political Betting Author Information

Nigel Skinner

Political Betting Expert

If you want to know anything about Political betting markets then Nigel is your go-to guy. Nigel has years of experience writing and following betting odds around a whole host of political markets including General Elections, By-Elections and even the infamous Brexit betting markets!

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Jake Ashton

Jake Ashton

Senior news editor

Jake is our News Content Manager. He reviews all content, fact-checks the data, edits the copy and enhances all of the OLBG News content from our expert team ahead of publication.

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