Leinster National Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Updated: 769 Horse Racing

We look at the Leinster National ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 3m½f at Naas to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Leinster National.

Leinster National Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
In this article: Preview
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Leinster National Preview

Scheduled to take place in March of each year at the Naas racecourse is the Leinster National which is usually run on the Sunday before the Cheltenham Festival.

The race is Grade A which is run over a bit shorter than most nationals with a trip of three miles and is open to runners aged five or older who had previously competed in at least three steeplechases.

Leinster National Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Naas then head over to the Naas tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

How competitive is the Leinster National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 16 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 142%, whilst on average over the last 16 renewals of the Leinster National, the over-round has been 127%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £127 which is bet.

Leinster National Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 16 if you had followed the winner of the Leinster National next time out then you would have backed a total of 0 winners. Backing all 15 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -15.00. Ahead of the 2025 Leinster National why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

Over the last 16 renewals, it was the Daniel William O'Sullivan trained Benefit Night ridden by Davy Condon who set the fastest winning time in the Leinster National, the runner won the race in a time of 6:29.10 when winning the race in 2011. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Thomas Mullins and jockey Simon Torrens with Scoir Mear who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 7:01.50 in the 2021 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Leinster National over the last 16 renewals:

  1. Benefit Night (6:29.10) in 2011
  2. Pairofbrowneyes (6:30.00) in 2019
  3. Pairofbrowneyes (6:41.30) in 2018
What the expert says...
The Thyestes Chase has provided two of the last three winners of the Leinster National with Diol Ker (2022) and Espanito Bello (2023) and that record doesn't end there with Pairofbrowneyes (2019), Ballytrim (2010) and Emma Jane (2009) all coming from that race to win here and none of those five won the Thyestes Chase. Twelve of the fifteen winners went on to run in the Irish Grand National next time out, however, none of those twelve were able to follow up with 50% of them failing to complete the race.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Leinster National Past Winners

Here are the Leinster National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Leinster National as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2024
6:54.90
Hartur Darc (FR)
7yo 10-3 4/1
Sean Flanagan
Gavin Cromwell (IRE)
2023
6:49.80
Espanito Bello (FR)
9yo 11-4 7/2
Michael O'Sullivan (5lbs)
Barry Connell (IRE)
2022
6:55.50
Diol Ker (FR)
8yo 10-5 7/2F
Sean Flanagan
Noel Meade (IRE)
2021
7:01.50
Scoir Mear (IRE)
11yo 10-5 17/2
Simon Torrens (5lbs)
Thomas Mullins (IRE)
2020
6:45.80
Cap York (FR)
8yo 10-0 11/1
E Walsh (7lbs)
Noel Meade (IRE)
2019
6:30.00
Pairofbrowneyes (IRE)
10yo 11-0 12/1
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2018
6:41.30
Pairofbrowneyes (IRE)
9yo 11-4 9/2
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2017
7:01.10
Abolitionist (IRE)
9yo 10-12 12/1
Rachael Blackmore (3lbs)
Miss Ellmarie Holden (IRE)
2016
6:52.40
Venitien De Mai (FR)
7yo 9-12 100/30F
Jonathan Moore (5lbs)
J T R Dreaper (IRE)
2015
6:45.20
Miss Xian (IRE)
8yo 9-10 9/2
Mark Enright
F Flood (IRE)

Leinster National Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Leinster National over the last 16 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Emma Jane (2009), Ballytrim (2010) and Pairofbrowneyes (2018 & 2019). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Leinster National is Noel Meade (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Leinster National, Gordon Elliott has sent a total of 21 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Leinster National trainer statistics over the last 16 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
W P Mullins23-4-6+8.00+1.92
Noel Meade14-2-2+2.50-2.93
Thomas Mullins6-1-1+3.50+0.31
J T R Dreaper4-1-3+0.33+2.17
Miss Elizabeth Doyle3-1-1+5.00+2.38
A J Martin3-1-1+3.50+1.44
Kieran Purcell2-1-1+9.00+5.25
Gavin Cromwell2-1-1+3.00+1.50
Barry Connell2-1-1+2.50+1.19
Daniel William O'Sullivan1-1-1+33.00+20.63

Leinster National Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Leinster National over the last 16 renewals is Paul Townend who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Emma Jane (2009), Ballytrim (2010) and Pairofbrowneyes (2018 & 2019). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Leinster National is Sean Flanagan (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Leinster National, Phillip Enright has ridden a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Leinster National jockey statistics over the last 16 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Paul Townend9-4-4+22.00+11.67
Sean Flanagan9-2-2+0.50-2.31
Rachael Blackmore8-1-4+5.00+4.63
Danny Mullins8-1-3-1.50+0.44
Mark Enright5-1-2+0.50+0.20
Simon Torrens3-1-1+6.50+3.31
Jonathan Moore3-1-1+1.33+0.08
Michael O'Sullivan2-1-1+2.50+1.19
E Walsh1-1-1+11.00+6.88
Phillip Enright11-0-2-11.00-6.57

Leinster National Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 8+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +62.00 is when runners had 2 starts in the past 180 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 4 starts in the past 180 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-52.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Leinster National is Gowran Park, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Gowran Park last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Navan, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Navan last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 14 winners from a total of 196 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 18 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Leinster National:

  • Luso (3 Wins)
  • Oscar (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Leinster National despite multiple attempts:

  • Old Vic (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Presenting (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Bob Back (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Snurge (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 16 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Benefit Night in 2011, winning for Daniel William O'Sullivan at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Davy Condon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 16 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Leinster National remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Leinster National Preview is Andy. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International Horse Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing analyst with over 15 years of experience, delves into the intricacies of international horse racing, meticulously analyzing complex statistical data to uncover hidden trends. He spearheads the creation and management of OLBG's international horse racing trend blogs, providing valuable insights for bettors worldwide.

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