
Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
Leamington Novices Hurdle Preview
Scheduled to take place in January of each year at the Warwick Racecourse is the Leamington Novices Hurdle, a race that is open to novices over hurdles who are aged five or older. The race is run over a distance of two miles and five furlongs in which eleven hurdles will have to be navigated.
Prior to the 2023-24 national hunt racing season, the BHA announced that the race would be dropped from the racing calendar meaning at present, the race is no longer active.
Leamington Novices Hurdle Information:
- Leamington Novices Hurdle Past Winners
- Leamington Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics
- Leamington Novices Hurdle Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Warwick tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?
How competitive is the Leamington Novices Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 19 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2002 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 19 renewals of the Leamington Novices Hurdle, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.
Leamington Novices Hurdle Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 19 if you had followed the winner of the Leamington Novices Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +10.50. See which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 19 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2016 renewal when Thomas Hobson from W P Mullins under the guidance of Danny Mullins, won in a time of 5:30.70, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Beakstown, trained by Dan Skelton and ridden by Harry Skelton set the quickest time of 4:50.20 in the 2019 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Leamington Novices Hurdle over the last 19 renewals:
- Beakstown (4:50.20) in 2019
- Cotton Mill (5:01.10) in 2012
- Mossy Fen (5:06.30) in 2020
Leamington Novices Hurdle Past Winners
Here are the Leamington Novices Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Leamington Novices Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse | Info |
---|---|---|
2023 5:20.30 | Grey Dawning (IRE) 6yo 11-2 9/2 | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
2022 5:17.66 | Stag Horn (GB) 5yo 11-0 100/30 | Nick Scholfield Archie Watson (GB) |
2021 5:14.10 | Adrimel (FR) 6yo 11-3 7/2F | Richard Johnson Tom Lacey (GB) |
2020 5:06.30 | Mossy Fen (IRE) 5yo 11-0 7/2 | Sam Twiston-Davies Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
2019 4:50.20 | Beakstown (IRE) 6yo 11-0 6/1 | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
2018 5:12.90 | Mr Whipped (IRE) 5yo 11-0 6/4F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
2017 5:14.40 | Willoughby Court (IRE) 6yo 11-4 11/4 | David Bass Ben Pauling (GB) |
2016 5:30.70 | Thomas Hobson (GB) 6yo 11-7 5/1 | Danny Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
2015 5:22.20 | Three Musketeers (IRE) 5yo 11-4 6/1 | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
2014 5:09.50 | Deputy Dan (IRE) 6yo 11-4 5/2 | Leighton Aspell Oliver Sherwood (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Leamington Novices Hurdle have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 24 placings from 131 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 5 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
Leamington Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Leamington Novices Hurdle over the last 19 renewals is Dan Skelton who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Three Musketeers (2015), Beakstown (2019) and Grey Dawning (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Leamington Novices Hurdle are Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 wins) and Emma Lavelle (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Leamington Novices Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Dan Skelton | 9-3-3 | +10.50 | +4.31 |
Nigel Twiston-Davies | 10-2-5 | -4.00 | -0.52 |
Emma Lavelle | 4-2-3 | +0.12 | +0.35 |
Paul Nicholls | 5-1-1 | -2.00 | -2.80 |
Nicky Henderson | 4-1-1 | -1.50 | -2.06 |
W P Mullins | 3-1-2 | +3.00 | +2.20 |
Tom Lacey | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +1.29 |
Oliver Sherwood | 3-1-2 | +0.50 | +0.50 |
Mark Bradstock | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.00 |
Ben Pauling | 2-1-1 | +1.75 | +0.72 |
Leamington Novices Hurdle Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Leamington Novices Hurdle over the last 19 renewals is Harry Skelton who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Three Musketeers (2015), Beakstown (2019) and Grey Dawning (2023). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Leamington Novices Hurdle are Sam Twiston-Davies (2 wins) and Graham Lee (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Leamington Novices Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Harry Skelton | 8-3-3 | +11.50 | +5.31 |
Sam Twiston-Davies | 7-2-5 | -1.00 | +2.57 |
Graham Lee | 2-2-2 | +1.36 | +0.85 |
Aidan Coleman | 4-1-1 | -1.50 | -2.10 |
Nick Scholfield | 3-1-2 | +1.33 | +1.14 |
Jack Quinlan | 2-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.30 |
David Bass | 2-1-1 | +1.75 | +0.72 |
Nico de Boinville | 2-1-1 | +0.50 | -0.06 |
Mattie Batchelor | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +5.00 |
Danny Mullins | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.00 |
Leamington Novices Hurdle Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 4, 1, F, 3, 4, 6, 1, 6, 3, 1, 5, PU
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 19 / 19 (50%) - No bigger than 8/1
- 19 / 19 (56%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 19 / 19 (71%) - Furthest Won 2m½f - 2m7f
- 19 / 19 (74%) - Break of 14 - 85 days (Last Win)
- 19 / 19 (75%) - Carried 152 - 162lbs (Last Win)
- 19 / 19 (76%) - No bigger than 7/1 (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (78%) - No bigger than 7/1 (Last Win)
- 19 / 19 (80%) - Had 1 - 3 wins (90 Days)
- 19 / 19 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 114+ (Last Win)
- 19 / 19 (83%) - Ran over hurdles (Last Win)
- 19 / 19 (83%) - Highest Won is not G3/LST/Cl6
- 19 / 19 (83%) - No more than -5lbs (Vs Max Weight)
- 19 / 19 (85%) - Carried 152 - 162lbs (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (85%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (180 Days)
- 19 / 19 (85%) - Won by at least ¾ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Warwick racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Leamington Novices Hurdle. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Leamington Novices Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.
Leamington Novices Hurdle Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +3.61 is when runners had 2 career places in Jumps (Hurdle) races. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 wins in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Leamington Novices Hurdle are Newbury and Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 132 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 6 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Leamington Novices Hurdle, that stallion Flemensfirth has produced 2 winners (2023,2015).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Leamington Novices Hurdle despite multiple attempts:
- Shantou (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Oscar (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 19 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Carruthers in 2008, winning for Mark Bradstock at odds of 8/1 under the guidance of Mattie Batchelor. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 19 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? If you are interested in other races at the Warwick racecourse, then why not read our blog for the Classic Chase?