2023 Leamington Novices Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jan 13, 7:22pm Last Updated: Jan 16, 10:30am Horse Racing 0 Comments 227 Views

2023 Leamington Novices Hurdle Preview

Scheduled to take place in January of each year at the Warwick Racecourse is the Leamington Novices Hurdle, a race that is open to novices over hurdles who are aged five or older. The race is run over a distance of two miles and five furlongs in which eleven hurdles will have to be navigated.

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Warwick Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

The runner that holds the record over the past 18 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2016 renewal when Thomas Hobson from W P Mullins who under the guidance of Danny Mullins, won in a time of 5:30.70, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Beakstown, trained by Dan Skelton and ridden by Harry Skelton set the quickest time of 4:50.20 in the 2019 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Leamington Novices Hurdle over the last 18 renewals:

  • 2019 - Beakstown (4:50.20)
  • 2012 - Cotton Mill (5:01.10)
  • 2020 - Mossy Fen (5:06.30)

How competitive is the Leamington Novices Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 18 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 86%. The race in 2002 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 18 renewals of the Leamington Novices Hurdle, the over-round has been 111% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 18 if you had followed the winner of the Leamington Novices Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 5 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +12.50. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Leamington Novices Hurdle.

Leamington Novices Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Leamington Novices Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Leamington Novices Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
5:17.66
Stag Horn (GB)
5yo 11-0 100/30
Nick Scholfield
Archie Watson (GB)
2021
5:14.10
Adrimel (FR)
6yo 11-3 7/2F
Richard Johnson
Tom Lacey (GB)
2020
5:06.30
Mossy Fen (IRE)
5yo 11-0 7/2
Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
2019
4:50.20
Beakstown (IRE)
6yo 11-0 6/1
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2018
5:12.90
Mr Whipped (IRE)
5yo 11-0 6/4F
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2017
5:14.40
Willoughby Court (IRE)
6yo 11-4 11/4
David Bass
Ben Pauling (GB)
2016
5:30.70
Thomas Hobson (GB)
6yo 11-7 5/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
5:22.20
Three Musketeers (IRE)
5yo 11-4 6/1
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2014
5:09.50
Deputy Dan (IRE)
6yo 11-4 5/2
Leighton Aspell
Oliver Sherwood (GB)
2013
5:26.10
The New One (IRE)
5yo 11-7 1/2F
Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Leamington Novices Hurdle have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 23 placings from 124 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 5 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Leamington Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Leamington Novices Hurdle over the last 18 renewals with all of Nigel Twiston-Davies, Dan Skelton & Emma Lavelle having all won the race 2 times. Nigel Twiston-Davies winners have been with The New One (2013) & Mossy Fen (2020). Dan Skelton winners have been with Three Musketeers (2015) & Beakstown (2019). Emma Lavelle winners have been with Labelthou (2007) & Court In Motion (2011).

Here are some of the top Leamington Novices Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 18 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Nigel Twiston-Davies 10-2-5 -4.00 -0.52
Dan Skelton 8-2-2 +6.00 +1.50
Emma Lavelle 4-2-3 +0.12 +0.35
Paul Nicholls 4-1-1 -1.00 -1.80
Nicky Henderson 4-1-1 -1.50 -2.06
W P Mullins 3-1-2 +3.00 +2.20
Oliver Sherwood 3-1-2 +0.50 +0.50
Mark Bradstock 2-1-1 +7.00 +4.00
Tom Lacey 2-1-1 +2.50 +1.10
Ben Pauling 2-1-1 +1.75 +0.72

Leamington Novices Hurdle Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Leamington Novices Hurdle over the last 18 renewals with all of Harry Skelton, Sam Twiston-Davies & Graham Lee having all won the race 2 times. Harry Skelton winners have been with Three Musketeers (2015) & Beakstown (2019). Sam Twiston-Davies winners have been with The New One (2013) & Mossy Fen (2020). Graham Lee winners have been with Inglis Drever (2004) & No Refuge (2005).

Here are some of the top Leamington Novices Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 18 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Harry Skelton 7-2-2 +7.00 +2.50
Sam Twiston-Davies 7-2-5 -1.00 +2.57
Graham Lee 2-2-2 +1.36 +0.85
Aidan Coleman 4-1-1 -1.50 -2.10
Nick Scholfield 3-1-2 +1.33 +1.14
Jack Quinlan 2-1-1 +4.50 +2.30
David Bass 2-1-1 +1.75 +0.72
Nico de Boinville 2-1-1 +0.50 -0.06
Mattie Batchelor 1-1-1 +8.00 +5.00
Danny Mullins 1-1-1 +5.00 +3.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,1,1,1,1,3,1,4,1,F,3,4,6,1,6,3,1,5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 18 / 18 (49%) - No bigger than 8/1
  • 18 / 18 (56%) - Within first four of market
  • 18 / 18 (76%) - Never bigger than 7/1 (LTO)
  • 18 / 18 (79%) - Had won in the last 90 days
  • 18 / 18 (81%) - Won with last 2 starts
  • 17 / 18 (67%) - Previously won over 2m3½f+
  • 17 / 18 (76%) - Never off bigger than 25/1

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Warwick racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Leamington Novices Hurdle. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Leamington Novices Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Leamington Novices Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 9+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +7.61 is when runners had 2 career places in Jumps (Hurdle) races. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 wins in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Leamington Novices Hurdle are Newbury and Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 125 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 6 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Leamington Novices Hurdle despite multiple attempts:

  • Shantou (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Oscar (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 18 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Carruthers in 2008 when winning for Mark Bradstock at odds of 8/1 under the guidance of Mattie Batchelor. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 18 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Leamington Novices Hurdle see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today. If you are interested in other races at Warwick racecourse, then why not have a read of our blog for the Classic Chase.

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