Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Istabraq Hurdle Preview
Scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Tipperary racecourse is the Istabraq Hurdle which for sponsorship purposes is currently known as the Horse & Jockey Hotel Hurdle, this is a Grade 3 hurdle that is open to runners aged four or older and a total of nine hurdles face the runners over the two-mile trip.
Istabraq Hurdle Information:
Our dedicated Tipperary tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Istabraq Hurdle but will also have predictions for each meeting at Tipperary throughout the season so be sure to head over there.
How competitive is the Istabraq Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Istabraq Hurdle, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
Istabraq Hurdle Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Istabraq Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.31. Ahead of the 2024 Istabraq Hurdle why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:44.40 was set by Rebel Fitz in 2014, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Michael Winters and ridden by Barry Geraghty. The slowest winning time was set in 2008 when Megans Joy won in a time of 4:11.00, booked to ride was Davy Russell on this C A Murphy trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run Istabraq Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:
- 2014 - Rebel Fitz (3:44.40)
- 2007 - Salford City (3:44.60)
- 2013 - Captain Cee Bee (3:45.30)
Istabraq Hurdle Past Ten Winners
Here are the Istabraq Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Istabraq Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 4:03.60 | Fils Doudairies (FR) 8yo 11-8 9/2 | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2022 3:49.20 | Jesse Evans (IRE) 6yo 11-3 7/4F | B J Cooper Noel Meade (IRE) |
| 2021 3:57.60 | Saldier (FR) 7yo 11-3 4/7F | Danny Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2020 3:53.60 | Saint Roi (FR) 5yo 11-2 4/7F | Mark Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 3:52.50 | Davids Charm (IRE) 8yo 11-0 6/4F | Phillip Enright John J Walsh (IRE) |
| 2018 3:51.60 | Bedrock (GB) 5yo 11-7 12/1 | Rachael Blackmore Iain Jardine (GB) |
| 2017 4:07.40 | Jezki (IRE) 9yo 11-0 6/1 | Mark Walsh Mrs John Harrington (IRE) |
| 2016 3:55.30 | Ivan Grozny (FR) 6yo 11-7 2/5F | R Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2015 3:49.50 | Plinth (IRE) 5yo 11-7 6/1 | Mark Walsh A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2014 3:44.40 | Rebel Fitz (FR) 9yo 11-4 30/100F | Barry Geraghty Michael Winters (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Istabraq Hurdle have been based:
- IRE: 19 winners with an additional 18 placings from 111 runners
- GB: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
Istabraq Hurdle Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Istabraq Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Noel Meade who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Harchibald (2005), Go Native (2009), Donnas Palm (2010) and Jesse Evans (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Istabraq Hurdle are W P Mullins (3 wins), Gordon Elliott (2 wins) and Edward P Harty (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Istabraq Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noel Meade | 9-4-6 | +0.20 | +1.59 |
| W P Mullins | 11-3-5 | -6.46 | -4.22 |
| Gordon Elliott | 7-2-2 | +11.50 | +2.50 |
| Edward P Harty | 2-2-2 | +10.88 | +6.58 |
| Mrs John Harrington | 5-1-1 | +2.00 | -0.25 |
| A P O'Brien | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.75 |
| Michael Winters | 2-1-2 | -0.70 | -0.24 |
| Iain Jardine | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +7.50 |
| C A Murphy | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +5.00 |
| E J O'Grady | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.72 |
Istabraq Hurdle Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Istabraq Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Mark Walsh who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Captain Cee Bee (2012 & 2013), Plinth (2015), Jezki (2017) and Saint Roi (2020).
Here are some of the top Istabraq Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Walsh | 9-5-7 | +19.45 | +14.50 |
| Danny Mullins | 4-1-2 | -2.43 | -1.01 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.50 |
| Jack Kennedy | 3-1-1 | +2.50 | -2.00 |
| Phillip Enright | 1-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.94 |
| Paul Townend | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -5.00 |
| Robbie Power | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Jody McGarvey | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +4.75 |
| Denis O'Regan | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +0.25 |
| Martin Burke | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
2024 Istabraq Hurdle Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, (1, F), 4, 2, 3, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 3, 1, 4, 3, 1, 1, 1, (1, 4), PU
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (71%) - No bigger than 12/1
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 128+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Made 5 - 33 starts (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Beaten no more -17½l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Carried 131 - 164lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 109+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran over 1m2f - 2m4f (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 18/1 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Run is not G2/LST/Cl3
- 19 / 20 (65%) - Highest Placed is not G2/LST/Cl2/Cl4
- 19 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
- 18 / 20 (70%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Never fallen (Career)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 131+ (Non-Hcps)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Tipperary racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Istabraq Hurdle. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Istabraq Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.
Istabraq Hurdle Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.97 is when runners had 0 career places in the class. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 4 career wins in Non-Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-17.
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Istabraq Hurdle are Listowel and Galway, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 101 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 14 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Istabraq Hurdle:
- Germany (2 Wins)
- Milan (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Scarthy Lad in 2006, winning for Thomas Gerard O'Leary at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Barry Geraghty. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 12 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Istabraq Hurdle.
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