You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youāre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Cumberland Plate Preview
The Cumberland Plate is scheduled to take place in June of each year during Carlisle's biggest race day of the season, which will also feature the Carlisle Bell.
This race is run over a trip of one mile, three furlongs and thirty-nine yards and is open to runners who are aged three or older.
Cumberland Plate Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Carlisle tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners?
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How competitive is the Cumberland Plate market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Cumberland Plate, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Cumberland Plate Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Cumberland Plate Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Cumberland Plate races over the last 20 renewals:
- Aasheq (2:20.46) in 2018
- Sindarban (2:20.83) in 2016
- Commonsensical (2:22.05) in 2022
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Cumberland Plate next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -14.50. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 Cumberland Plate.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2005 renewal when Valance from Charles Egerton under the guidance of Nelson De Souza, won in a time of 2:32.27, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Aasheq, trained by Tim Easterby and ridden by David Allan set the quickest time of 2:20.46 in the 2018 renewal.
Cumberland Plate Past Winners
Here are the Cumberland Plate past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Cumberland Plate are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 2:28.54 | Rogue Millions (GB) 3yo 9-5 (2 of 9) 11/8F | Rossa Ryan James Owen (GB) |
| 2024 2:23.47 | Sea The Thunder (GB) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 12) 2/1F | Hector Crouch Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2023 2:28.37 | Two Brothers (GB) 5yo 9-6 (9 of 14) 6/1 | Billy Garritty Michael & David Easterby (GB) |
| 2022 2:22.05 | Commonsensical (GB) 4yo 9-11 (4 of 14) 13/2 | Ben Curtis Hugo Palmer (GB) |
| 2021 2:22.80 | Colony Queen (GB) 5yo 9-10 (17 of 13) 13/2 | Ben Curtis John Mackie (GB) |
| 2019 2:25.07 | Wheres Jeff (GB) 4yo 9-5 (6 of 17) 5/1F | Nathan Evans Michael Easterby (GB) |
| 2018 2:20.46 | Aasheq (IRE) 5yo 10-0 (11 of 9) 3/1 | David Allan Tim Easterby (GB) |
| 2017 2:29.98 | Dance King (GB) 7yo 9-6 (4 of 14) 8/1 | Paul Mulrennan Tim Easterby (GB) |
| 2016 2:20.83 | Sindarban (IRE) 5yo 9-10 (5 of 13) 5/1 | Phillip Makin Keith Dalgleish (GB) |
| 2015 2:23.34 | Kinema (IRE) 4yo 9-8 (8 of 16) 16/1 | Ben Curtis Alan Swinbank (GB) |
Cumberland Plate Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Cumberland Plate over the last 20 renewals, with both Tim Easterby and Michael Easterby, who have both won the race two times. Tim Easterby's winners have been with Dance King (2017) and Aasheq (2018). Michael Easterby's winners have been with Warlu Way (2013) and Where's Jeff (2019). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Cumberland Plate; Richard Fahey has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Cumberland Plate trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Easterby | 24-2-2 | -11.00 | -15.20 |
| Michael Easterby | 10-2-2 | +7.00 | +1.38 |
| Brian Ellison | 23-1-10 | -12.00 | +9.83 |
| Nicky Richards | 2-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.06 |
| Michael & David Easterby | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.75 |
| Donald McCain | 2-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.41 |
| Maurice Barnes | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +7.50 |
| Hugo Palmer | 1-1-1 | +6.50 | +4.06 |
| John Mackie | 1-1-1 | +6.50 | +4.06 |
| Ralph Beckett | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
Cumberland Plate Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Cumberland Plate over the last 20 renewals is Ben Curtis, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Kinema (2015), Colony Queen (2021) and Commonsensical (2022). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Cumberland Plate is David Allan (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Cumberland Plate jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Curtis | 8-3-4 | +24.00 | +13.79 |
| David Allan | 11-2-3 | +6.00 | +1.17 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 17-1-2 | -8.00 | -9.25 |
| James Sullivan | 5-1-2 | +0.50 | +1.31 |
| Billy Garritty | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.75 |
| Hector Crouch | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1-1-1 | +1.38 | +0.83 |
| Joe Fanning | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -5.87 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 9-0-1 | -9.00 | -6.50 |
| Tom Eaves | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | +0.00 |
2026 Cumberland Plate Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 12, 2, 2, (2, 9), 9, (1, 2), 1, 13, 1, 13, 3, 13, 3, 1, 12, 11, 6, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Within the first 11 of the market
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran in 1 - 6 races (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not on GS/FM (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -13½l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 48+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 77+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 3 - 14 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 22/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 1 - 17 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 1 - 8 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 7 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Highest Run is not G1-2/LST
- 19 / 20 (76%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 19 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 66/1 (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Carlisle racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Cumberland Plate. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Cumberland Plate by adding a tip on the race here.
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Cumberland Plate Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +38.75, is when runners had 1 career win over further.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career start over the trip, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-70.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 2 (6,1) [9 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 1 (10,9) [12 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 9 (13,3) [14 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 (6,1) [14 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 17 (14,2) [13 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Cumberland Plate are Hamilton and York; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 257 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 32 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Cumberland Plate; that stallion, Dubawi, has produced 2 winners (2025,2018).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Cumberland Plate despite multiple attempts:
- Mastercraftsman (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Red Ransom (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lochiel in 2008, winning for Sue Bradburne at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Neil Brown. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Cumberland Plate, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters. If you are interested in other races at the Carlisle racecourse, then why not read our blog for the Carlisle Bell?
Route to the Cumberland Plate
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Cumberland Plate. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Rogue Millions Chepstow - 1st of 12 (5/1) | Pricing By Real Bookmakers At Dragonbet Maiden Stakes |
| 2024 - Sea The Thunder Leicester - 2nd of 6 (9/2) | Racecourse Live Streams On Racing TV Extra Handicap |
| 2023 - Two Brothers Beverley - 3rd of 11 (6/1) | Sky Bet Sunday Series Middle Distance Handicap |
| 2022 - Commonsensical Ripon - 2nd of 4 (4/1) | Betting.Bet Betting Handicap |
| 2021 - Colony Queen Beverley - 1st of 7 (7/1) | Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap |
| 2019 - Wheres Jeff York - 3rd of 13 (6/1) | Queen Mothers Cup Handicap |
| 2018 - Aasheq Hamilton - 1st of 8 (5/4) | Weatherbys Printing Services Hamiltonian Handicap |
| 2017 - Dance King Ayr - 4th of 7 (11/4) | News Scotland Handicap |
| 2016 - Sindarban Hamilton - 1st of 5 (9/2) | Watch Racing UK In HD Maiden Stakes |
| 2015 - Kinema York - 4th of 13 (9/1) | DRS Television, CCTV Design & Installations Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Cumberland Plate Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
