Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Cumberland Plate Preview
The Cumberland Plate is scheduled to take place in June of each year during Carlisle's biggest race day of the season which will also feature the Carlisle Bell.
This race is run over a trip of one mile, three furlongs and thirty-nine yards and is open to runners who are aged three or older.
Cumberland Plate Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Carlisle tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?
How competitive is the Cumberland Plate market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Cumberland Plate, the over-round has been 124%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £124 which is bet.
Cumberland Plate Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Cumberland Plate next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -14.50. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Aasheq, trained by Tim Easterby and ridden by David Allan who set the fastest winning time in the Cumberland Plate, the runner won the race in a time of 2:20.46 when winning the race in 2018. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Charles Egerton and jockey Nelson De Souza with Valance who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:32.27 in the 2005 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Cumberland Plate over the last 20 renewals:
- Aasheq (2:20.46) in 2018
- Sindarban (2:20.83) in 2016
- Commonsensical (2:22.05) in 2022
Cumberland Plate Past Winners
Here are the Cumberland Plate's past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Cumberland Plate and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:23.47 | Sea The Thunder (GB) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 12) 2/1F | Hector Crouch Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2023 2:28.37 | Two Brothers (GB) 5yo 9-6 (9 of 14) 6/1 | Billy Garritty Michael & David Easterby (GB) |
| 2022 2:22.05 | Commonsensical (GB) 4yo 9-11 (4 of 14) 13/2 | Ben Curtis Hugo Palmer (GB) |
| 2021 2:22.80 | Colony Queen (GB) 5yo 9-10 (17 of 13) 13/2 | Ben Curtis John Mackie (GB) |
| 2019 2:25.07 | Wheres Jeff (GB) 4yo 9-5 (6 of 17) 5/1F | Nathan Evans Michael Easterby (GB) |
| 2018 2:20.46 | Aasheq (IRE) 5yo 10-0 (11 of 9) 3/1 | David Allan Tim Easterby (GB) |
| 2017 2:29.98 | Dance King (GB) 7yo 9-6 (4 of 14) 8/1 | Paul Mulrennan Tim Easterby (GB) |
| 2016 2:20.83 | Sindarban (IRE) 5yo 9-10 (5 of 13) 5/1 | Phillip Makin Keith Dalgleish (GB) |
| 2015 2:23.34 | Kinema (IRE) 4yo 9-8 (8 of 16) 16/1 | Ben Curtis Alan Swinbank (GB) |
| 2014 2:23.74 | Noble Alan (GER) 11yo 9-1 (16 of 14) 13/2F | Ian Brennan (3lbs) Nicky Richards (GB) |
Cumberland Plate Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Cumberland Plate over the last 20 renewals with both Tim Easterby and Michael Easterby who have both won the race two times. Tim Easterby winners have been with Dance King (2017) and Aasheq (2018). Michael Easterby's winners have been with Warlu Way (2013) and Wheres Jeff (2019). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Cumberland Plate, Richard Fahey has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Cumberland Plate trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Easterby | 23-2-2 | -10.00 | -14.20 |
| Michael Easterby | 11-2-3 | +6.00 | +2.26 |
| Brian Ellison | 23-1-10 | -12.00 | +9.83 |
| Nicky Richards | 2-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.06 |
| John Mackie | 2-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.06 |
| Michael & David Easterby | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.75 |
| Donald McCain | 2-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.41 |
| Maurice Barnes | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +7.50 |
| Hugo Palmer | 1-1-1 | +6.50 | +4.06 |
| Ralph Beckett | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
Cumberland Plate Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Cumberland Plate over the last 20 renewals is Ben Curtis who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Kinema (2015), Colony Queen (2021) and Commonsensical (2022). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Cumberland Plate is David Allan (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Cumberland Plate, Joe Fanning has ridden 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Cumberland Plate jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Curtis | 8-3-4 | +24.00 | +13.79 |
| David Allan | 10-2-3 | +7.00 | +2.17 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 17-1-3 | -8.00 | -7.37 |
| Graham Lee | 6-1-1 | -2.75 | -3.59 |
| James Sullivan | 5-1-2 | +0.50 | +1.31 |
| Billy Garritty | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.75 |
| Nicky Mackay | 1-1-1 | +7.50 | +4.69 |
| Hector Crouch | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
| Joe Fanning | 10-0-2 | -10.00 | -6.87 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 9-0-1 | -9.00 | -6.50 |
2025 Cumberland Plate Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 12, 5, 12, 2, 2, (2, 9), 9, (1, 2), 1, 13, 1, 13, 3, 13, 3, 1, 12, 11, 6, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Within the first 11 of the market
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 51+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran in 1 - 6 races (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on GS/FM/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Beaten no more -13½l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Run is not G1-2/LST/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 3 - 14 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 22/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 7 races (Season)
- 19 / 20 (63%) - Achieved an RPR of 77+ (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (76%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 19 / 20 (85%) - Ran over 1m1f - 2m (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - Highest Won is not G3/LST/Cl2/Cl6
- 19 / 20 (89%) - In a field of 4 - 14 (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Carlisle racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Cumberland Plate. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Cumberland Plate by adding a tip on the race here.
Cumberland Plate Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +33.75 is when runners had 1 career win over further. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career start over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-70.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 (10,9) [12 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 9 (13,3) [14 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 (6,1) [14 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 17 (14,2) [13 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 6 (9,17,14) [17 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Cumberland Plate are York and Hamilton, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 269 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 30 runners.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Cumberland Plate despite multiple attempts:
- Mastercraftsman (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Red Ransom (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lochiel in 2008, winning for Sue Bradburne at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Neil Brown. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Cumberland Plate. If you are interested in other races at the Carlisle racecourse, then why not read our blog for the Carlisle Bell?
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Cumberland Plate Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
